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Which Way For Gold? Up? Down? More Of The Same?

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Author Replies: 101 / Views: 5,038Next Topic
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Valued Member

United States
273 Posts
 Posted 08/30/2025  01:26 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add glenmorenee to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
Since April, gold has worked its way into a tighter and tighter pattern, with higher lows and a ceiling at about $3440. Here is point and figure chart on GLD. Looks to me flag will be broken to the upside but there seems to be plenty of sellers at this level.
Which-Way-For-Gold?--Up?-Down?--More-Of-The-Same?
Pillar of the Community
United States
1024 Posts
 Posted 08/30/2025  07:12 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add I6609 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Good question I wish I knew the answer. Personally think it will remain relatively flat until something major happens. Which I think will happen but when? And what.
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United States
2597 Posts
 Posted 08/30/2025  2:50 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coin rejector to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
IMO, by this time next year gold will be $4000+ & silver $50+
Valued Member
United States
273 Posts
 Posted 08/30/2025  4:52 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add glenmorenee to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
We"ll know soon enough. Prices could get pinched even tighter in that wedge but looks like its going to break one way or the other.
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ArrowsAndRays's Avatar
United States
1528 Posts
 Posted 08/30/2025  5:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add ArrowsAndRays to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The dollar is tanking. It's not that gold is worth more, it's that the dollar is worth less.
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MrPink2018's Avatar
United States
1910 Posts
 Posted 08/30/2025  10:21 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MrPink2018 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
The dollar is tanking.


i agree with that.

I'm one of those people who's been watching the daily price action of gold (and to a lesser degree silver) for quite a while. I'm happy to report that I haven't gone mad. I don't know how many other people (ccf members) do the same, but I've also noticed the tight range since april. gold has been basically rangebound between the $3400-$3200 marks, breaching below $3200 a couple times and above $3400 a couple times through may, and then tightening up between $3400-$3300, breaching below $3300 a few times and breaching above $3400 a few times, but the close this past week was a strong one, well over the $3400-mark. it's hard to know where it goes from here. it doesn't help that the markets aren't honest, which isn't really a reflection of the markets themselves, but of 'other drivers'.

gee, it'd be great to see my assets appreciate normally & freely, the way most people presume they would, or should, but of course that means bad news elsewhere.

...aaaand, I stop myself right there, lest I launch a rant. I don't want to rant.


Quote:
It's not that gold is worth more, it's that the dollar is worth less.


yes.

at this point I wish the stupid thing (the dollar) would just die already.

and I'm glad someone else started this thread because I had been thinking about doing it myself.
Edited by MrPink2018
08/30/2025 10:23 pm
Valued Member
United States
273 Posts
 Posted 08/31/2025  11:54 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add glenmorenee to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The Genius Act, July 2025, pretty much seals in concrete the role of USD as the world reserve currency. There are no reliable challengers. Stablecoins like Tether and USDC will be the standard for world commerce. They are 100% backed by US T-Bills and Treasuries.

All of us here with life experience know that the dollar will constantly deflate. Sometimes faster, sometime slower. We just have to live with it. We've figured out the first thing to do is get a roof over our heads. Then avoid too much debt, buy a few toys, and with what's left buy some PM. I can't imagine what the average consumer buys affects the PM markets at all. There will always be emerging economies that need to buy gold. These are the players that drive the market. They have to show they are serious and that their currencies are serious and the only way to do that is to buy pallets of gold.
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ArrowsAndRays's Avatar
United States
1528 Posts
 Posted 08/31/2025  4:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add ArrowsAndRays to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
"The dollar's not stable."
"No worries, we'll fix it with pretend money."
"No way that's safe."
"No worries, it's backed by dollars."
"Genius!"

What a world...
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thq's Avatar
United States
3297 Posts
 Posted 09/01/2025  11:25 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add thq to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Glad I bought it when I did, and I'm not interested in "more". The only thing I miss is not getting any more collectable dates. No more cc's and early S's. The ones I got are all priced below bullion now.
"Two minutes ago I would have sold my chances for a tired dime." Fred Astaire
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MrPink2018's Avatar
United States
1910 Posts
 Posted 09/01/2025  6:48 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MrPink2018 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
..and now gold is encroaching on $3,500. that was a nice run up the past few days.
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jbuck's Avatar
United States
171010 Posts
 Posted 09/02/2025  10:23 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
..and now gold is encroaching on $3,500. that was a nice run up the past few days.
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Freespeech57's Avatar
United States
418 Posts
 Posted 09/02/2025  11:05 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Freespeech57 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Although the topic is gold, dont forget the rise of silver, today (9/2/2025)-$40.68 an oz!
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IndianGoldEagle's Avatar
United States
34628 Posts
 Posted 09/02/2025  12:30 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add IndianGoldEagle to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Lots of talk on the web about $10,000 plus gold. We will most likely see gold backing U.S. and world currencies at some point in the not to distant future.
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CoinHunter53562's Avatar
United States
2020 Posts
 Posted 09/02/2025  12:37 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CoinHunter53562 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Lots of talk on the web about $10,000 plus gold. We will most likely see gold backing U.S. and world currencies at some point in the not to distant future.


This would be quite the validation for those of us who told the naysayers that it's a good idea to put part of your portfolio into precious metals only to get laughed at. I may have to circle back and remind them of what they said should this happen.
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jbuck's Avatar
United States
171010 Posts
 Posted 09/02/2025  2:00 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
We will most likely see gold backing U.S. and world currencies at some point in the not to distant future.
Gold would have to be closer to $20k/ozt to back the world's money supply, and that is assuming all the gold in the world was confiscated to do it.

Which means no one would be able to stack it. To save some for private holding, $50k/ozt would be more likely and still not many of us be will be stacking it.
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MrPink2018's Avatar
United States
1910 Posts
 Posted 09/02/2025  5:05 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MrPink2018 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm always curious to know what others are thinking about this subject (gold and where it's going).

(Which Way For Gold? Up? Down? More Of The Same?), so whenever a post about gold (and/or silver) is made there tends to be a lot of discussion along similar lines... reserve currency, confiscation, industrial use, collector value, etc... still, the OP's question remains and is not overlooked.

a lot of people (not just here, but all around) have been talking about the current bull run, before the bull run began and it's future. with as little time as spot spent in the $3,400 range, are we witnessing the next leg up in the current bull run? or is this just a head fake and by friday gold is bumbling around back at $3,408?

so where is it going? up, down or sideways? for the last three days it's been up. since I'm playing the long game, I only presume that over time gold is going to continue upward, but I won't get into why beyond what's already been said.

over the years I've learned to not get too excited about the gains, though admittedly it's sometimes hard not to. when I first started getting into it, that's where my focus was: "gold is gonna make me some money". over time, my thoughts shifted to "gold is gonna preserve what I've earned", and I'm glad I learned that. gold isn't really making me money, it is holding the value of what I have already earned. before price inflation eats up everything I've earned I've exchanged as much of my failing dollars for gold as I could, and that gold is holding it's value-- as it should-- and I'm pretty happy about that, considering the costs of everything lately.

are we seeing the next leg up in the current bull run?

here's another question:

if a gold confiscation event emerges, how many of you are going to willingly give up your holdings? just curious. because I only see gold continuing to rise, even if it pauses a while or falls back and shuffles around range-bound for a while, I still see it rising. am I going to willingly give up my gold if a confiscation event emerges? that would be a big NOPE.

gold continues to rise.
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