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Which Way For Gold? Up? Down? More Of The Same?

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Author Replies: 101 / Views: 5,031Next Topic
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jbuck's Avatar
United States
171009 Posts
 Posted 10/01/2025  09:46 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
$4,000 gold by halloween?
I am going to go out on a limb and say no, but it will not be going down either. When it comes to reaching 4K, you all might liken it to horseshoes or hand grenades (close counts).
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barryg's Avatar
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5340 Posts
 Posted 10/01/2025  09:52 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add barryg to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I am going to go out on a limb and say no


I'm going to go out on a slightly flimsier limb and say yes, but only briefly before falling back down below $4000. My reasoning is that when it hits $4000 this will trip a lot of automatic sell commands (or whatever the correct terminology is) which will almost immediately drive prices back down.
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jbuck's Avatar
United States
171009 Posts
Valued Member
United States
273 Posts
 Posted 10/01/2025  12:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add glenmorenee to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The relentless buying looks like the central banks. I can't imagine retail demand doing this. I would guess the top will come when retail demand reaches a fever pitch. I think this will be when the gold holdings of gold ETF, GLD, hits all time highs.

"The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ETF had its highest gold holdings in December 2012, with a peak of about 1,353 tonnes of gold, which is approximately 43.5 million ounces. This was during the period when gold prices were at record highs around $1,900 an ounce."

"The latest gold holdings of the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ETF as of late September 2025 is approximately 1,005.72 tonnes of gold."
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barryg's Avatar
United States
5340 Posts
 Posted 10/02/2025  10:01 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add barryg to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Gold briefly topped $3900/oz this morning before falling back down a bit. Interesting times, to be sure!
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jbuck's Avatar
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 Posted 10/02/2025  11:25 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Gold briefly topped $3900/oz this morning before falling back down a bit. Interesting times, to be sure!
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barryg's Avatar
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5340 Posts
 Posted 10/03/2025  09:38 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add barryg to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
And, once again, gold has peeked its head above $3900 this morning. I don't expect it to stay up there for long, but we'll see...
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jbuck's Avatar
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 Posted 10/03/2025  11:53 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
And, once again, gold has peeked its head above $3900 this morning. I don't expect it to stay up there for long, but we'll see...
Like I said, close. I am still thinking this side of $4k is the ceiling this cycle, but am always prepared to be wrong.
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MrPink2018's Avatar
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1910 Posts
 Posted 10/03/2025  3:44 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MrPink2018 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm sitting here looking at the gold price chart.

(by the way, before I keep going with my thought, a question: what is the better/best price chart to look at when looking at gold (and silver) prices? I'm just looking for who has the most reliably accurate price charts. what site's charts do our ccf members examine? I've been watching the charts on GoldPrice.org)

always interesting to watch the final hour or two on a friday. gold is noodling around the $3,888-mark. will it stay around there, or will it bust upward through $3,900 to close, or will it get slapped down to $3,850ish again, as has happened two or three times this week?



edit after 5pm:

i see it parked for the weekend generally where it was earlier. gold heads & chart observers can take the weekend off.
Edited by MrPink2018
10/03/2025 5:21 pm
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-makecents-'s Avatar
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 Posted 10/03/2025  5:56 pm  Show Profile   Check -makecents-'s eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add -makecents- to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I love to read your posts on this and other threads and have little or nothing to offer. I have been into the poor man's gold (silver) for several years now and am thinking of dumping some because I think it will fall again and can buy it back at a cheaper price. It's fun to listen to you guys throw numbers around that I have little comprehension of. I like it.
-makecents-
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United States
273 Posts
 Posted 10/03/2025  8:38 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add glenmorenee to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I like this charting service. I am not a subscriber, just a freeloader.

It is easy to toggle between 5day to 20 year charts. I have added short term and medium term oscillators below the main chart.

The symbol for spot gold is "GCY00".

https://www.barchart.com/futures/qu...dyheight=100
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Marve65's Avatar
United States
7266 Posts
 Posted 10/03/2025  8:48 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Marve65 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Crazy to think I was buying gold St Gaudens at $500 in the early 2000's and thought that was too high of a price!
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MrPink2018's Avatar
United States
1910 Posts
 Posted 10/03/2025  9:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MrPink2018 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I love to read your posts on this and other threads and have little or nothing to offer. I have been into the poor man's gold (silver) for several years now and am thinking of dumping some because I think it will fall again and can buy it back at a cheaper price. It's fun to listen to you guys throw numbers around that I have little comprehension of. I like it.


i enjoy reading everyone's posts, especially as it pertains to gold, because I know very little. there are many ccf members who are much more savvy re: the markets than i. I have almost no friends anymore and they aren't into coins/PMs. I'm sure both of those people get tired of me constantly yammering about what gold is doing. I get enough camaraderie here to get me by. I tend to babble, so I try to limit posting. dunno 'bout you, but I can stay in bed all day and do nothing but read about coins & PMs on ccf, not to mention looking at all the pictures.

i like silver, too, but I intentionally keep only a certain amount, for various reasons, and I can only have just so much gold, primarily because of the cost of it and what I can afford. I got in at a good time and have been fortunate enough to make some good purchases, like those three 2016 gold centennial commemoratives... man, am I glad I acquired those. it's almost unbelievable what they are selling for now.



see that? I got to babbling and lost the point I was getting to...

well, maybe it'll come back to me later.

i wouldn't be surprised to see a correction, but I think gold has much farther to go before it tops.
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-makecents-'s Avatar
United States
7529 Posts
 Posted 10/03/2025  9:45 pm  Show Profile   Check -makecents-'s eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add -makecents- to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
MrPink, I always enjoy your posts, regardless of what they are about.

As for gold, maybe someday but am spread a little thin from many other things I have my hands in. I have the wedding ring on my finger and a crown on a molar, that is my gold worth for now.
-makecents-
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MrPink2018's Avatar
United States
1910 Posts
 Posted 10/04/2025  04:04 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MrPink2018 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
i have a chunk of gold in my head, too. I have a gold crown on my #3 molar, but I lack a wedding band, which is fine because I don't do jewelry anymore; I'm too thin. if I start adding serious jewelry it throws me off balance. having the gold crown in my head is bad enough, I'm constantly listing to port and veering off course.

if gold keeps rising, i'll be looking to go after the $1 gold coins needed for my type album instead of acquiring/stacking bullion. I've seen other ccf members post similar thoughts.


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