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Redbook

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First Page  Showing last 15 replies.
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Pillar of the Community
Australia
560 Posts
 Posted 06/10/2012  5:53 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Enlil to your friends list
I do not rely on books for pricing, though I thought you were talking about Mao Tse Dung's book when I saw the title.
Pillar of the Community
United States
1348 Posts
 Posted 06/10/2012  9:12 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add w1a9c8k5 to your friends list
Carl that makes a little more sense. You would just think a company would put in the effort to put up a book where I could go into a coin shop and look at coin, look up the price, and be able to show the dealer and not hear, "That books is way to low. no one uses that book." Then I could show him complete auctions that reflect what the book is saying.
I guess I am asking for a Utopia though.

hmmmmmmmmmm. who here has tech skills? Make a phone ap for coin pricing that would reflex the price of gold and silver automatically. An app that would go into the depth of bust dimes and such. That could be useful. Not just a simple melt guide. Something that would take into the factor of the silver and the numismatic value with realistic market prices. I'd buy it!
Pillar of the Community
United States
1620 Posts
 Posted 06/10/2012  9:27 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add daniels to your friends list
I like the RedBook its a good reference guide and of course your not gonna sell a coin at a price you see in book the people today want a deal on everything I was just looking at the 1955 DDO on ebay some asking 2000 or more for a 1955 DDO nobody is gonna pay that much in todays market 1969 s DDO in ms 65 the Red Book says 55000 unless your rich and at an auction full of rich people who just have money to spend your never gonna get that much for a coin its just a reference guide and a good one I think
Pillar of the Community
United States
1348 Posts
 Posted 06/10/2012  10:00 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add w1a9c8k5 to your friends list

Quote:
The RedBook provides great pictures and mintages etc, just a lot of information, but you can't expect a price to stay the same on all coins for a year straight. The prices are outdated before its even published. Supply and demand can change quickly, and the RedBook can't forecast the changes. Prices are easy to find out, just look at realized auctions, or subscribe to the greysheet.


This is exactly why this should be made! My goodness thats my whole point get a book that goes off past auctions/sales so if I walk into a coin shop and I'm hunting for a 1834 bust dime I pull of this legendary book and know that if I'm hunting for this dime in VF the past auction average for the last year was $55. Not $80 like the RedBook states.

Even coin dealers offer less than greysheet now. They use it just to get the bare minimum price and then cut it by 20%
Moderator
Learn More...
United States
16679 Posts
 Posted 06/10/2012  10:24 pm  Show Profile   Check vermontensium's eBay Listings Check vermontensium's eCrater Listings Bookmark this reply Add vermontensium to your friends list
As a Colonial collector, I can tell you, if those were the actual prices of most, I'd be buying a lot more. Try and find a St. Patrick Halfpenny in VG for what they say...good luck.
swcoin.ecrater.com
Pillar of the Community
United States
1348 Posts
 Posted 06/10/2012  10:45 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add w1a9c8k5 to your friends list
like I said we need something thats spot on within 10% not within 40%
Valued Member
Australia
243 Posts
 Posted 06/11/2012  08:10 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add enoilgam to your friends list
I'm a moderator on a popular high school students forum in Australia and one of the most popular threads that comes up is an "estimate my final mark". With this, its a guessing game due to the nature of the system. So what I tell people is "an estimate is often unreliable and inaccurate. It can however, give you a general idea of what you might get based on the information your provide".

Now what does this have to do with Red Book? Its a similar principle when it comes to the values in Red Book "the values are often unreliable and inaccurate, but they can give you a general idea of what a coin might be worth". Red Book is just a guide, it gives you a ball park figure on what a coin might be worth. The true value of a coin is whatever a collector is willing to pay - this is impossible to predict accurately.
Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts
 Posted 06/11/2012  10:11 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add just carl to your friends list
Back to me making excuses for Whitman. One of the many problems with the Red Book is it is a book, not a magazine or newsletter. Some of those come out weekly or monthly. Producing a book with numerous variations in size, covers, etc. takes time. The Red Book, like almost any book is possibly being tabulated, inspected, proof read, compiled, etc. a long, long time prior to being issued. And too it comes out only once a year. Very possibly prices are estamated almost a year prior to the issue date. It takes a lot of time to produce a book with all the info this one has and that to Whitman is probably more inportant than the price accuracy. If there is a sudden downfall in coin pricese during the last Months of preparation, there is no way they would stop production to correct this.
What many fail to remember is that there is no such thing as an actual price for any coin. There is no manufacturers suggested list price for coins. The only true, accurate, realistic price is what is noted on the coins. A Quarter Dollar is only a Quarter Dollar and if someone is willing to pay a thousand dollars for that, then that is now the price.
Pillar of the Community
United States
1348 Posts
 Posted 06/11/2012  3:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add w1a9c8k5 to your friends list
Blah I guess this will never be truely fixed. If it does, if a book comes out every year with average auction prices and suchi would buy it in a heart beat
Pillar of the Community
United States
1348 Posts
 Posted 06/11/2012  3:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add w1a9c8k5 to your friends list

Quote:
Working with Q. David Bowers, Kenneth E. Bressett, and other legendary numismatists, Whitman offers the most historically accurate references. Inside the pages of the Whitman line, collectors can find pricing grids, mintages, populations, historical information, tips on collecting and much more. Whitman Publishing takes pride in its commitment to providing the best in numismatic literature.


BLAH!
Bedrock of the Community
United States
12437 Posts
 Posted 06/11/2012  4:00 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biokemist6 to your friends list

Quote:
1969 s DDO in ms 65 the Red Book says 55000 unless your rich and at an auction full of rich people who just have money to spend your never gonna get that much for a coin

That is one of the cases of the RedBook being on the low end of value. 1969-S DDOs are incredibly rare and valuable and you will NEVER find an MS65 example for 55k, double that number and then you will be getting close to the actual value of an MS65. A 69-S DDO in MS64RB sold for 80.5k in Feb 2012 and an MS63RD sold for 57.5k in Oct 2011, both from Heritage Auctions. Mint State 69-S DDOs are rare enough that a major auction is the only proper venue to sell one.
Bedrock of the Community
United States
12437 Posts
 Posted 06/11/2012  4:12 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biokemist6 to your friends list
As far as collecting sales prices to publish values in the RedBook, the majority of data comes from aggregated dealer sales. ebay has to be ignored for the most part because it is a flawed marketplace with the vast majority of coins sold by amateurs and not professional dealers. That may sound like an elitist statement but it really is not. Many variables affect the sales price on Ebay- the seller's reputation, quality of the photos, auction list indexing, shipping costs and location restrictions, etc. You could give the same coin to two different ebay sellers and the final prices could have a difference of 25-50% when all of the variables are factored in. Give that same coin to two professional coin dealers and the sales prices will be fairly close in many cases.

Then you also have an issue with the flood of problem coins on ebay, how would you take them into account when publishing pricing data? Yes, dealers also sell problem coins too but the problem coins that dealers do not touch with a ten foot pole typically end up in places like ebay where the coin might be doctored and the images photoshopped all in the name of getting higher bids.
Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts
 Posted 06/11/2012  6:04 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add just carl to your friends list

Quote:
Blah I guess this will never be truely fixed. If it does, if a book comes out every year with average auction prices and suchi would buy it in a heart beat

Here is an idea. Instead of questioning this forum about a book published by Whitman, contact them. Make a list of your concerns and send to them. Regardless of page numbering, coin prices, types of cover pages, size of print or almost anything, send to Whitman Publishing. Send to Dennis Tucker, Publisher, Whitman Publishing. Most would say yeah, right, dumb. Gets you no where. Oddly enough they do listen and attempt to correct problems. And they do reply to most normal ideas and suggestions. I know since I've done that many, many times. And as a sort of reward I've been sent books on coins for free due to my attempts to help make it a better book. Try it. You can use the internet so it will not even cost you a postage stamp, only your time.
Pillar of the Community
United States
531 Posts
 Posted 06/11/2012  7:10 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Penny Guy to your friends list
The expectation that Whitman Publishing, or anyone else for that matter, publish an accurate pricing guide for coins is doomed to failure. Many posters here have explained the complexities and variables involved but that informaton seems to be rejected.

I'd recommmend the OP take his idea and bring it to market. The only issue I see is getting the collecting community to adhear to his price guide. As soon as the mandatory price guide for coins hits the market, I like the sequel in the series to address pricing on automobiles.
Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts
 Posted 06/12/2012  08:45 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add just carl to your friends list

Quote:
As soon as the mandatory price guide for coins hits the market, I like the sequel in the series to address pricing on automobiles.

There really could never be a steady, constant price Guide for coins. Only some of the reasons are there never was a manufacturers suggested list price to start with. Only what is stated on the ooin itself. And with coins there are numerous variables such as varieies to attempt to almost guess. Then too the market for coins changes due to popularity, the weather, the job market, availability and many more variables. In every Price Guide all prices listed are really just Guides to what a coin could, should, might, would sell for, maybe.
For the auto industry, there is a sort of standard for old cars that insurance companies go by. It's the auto Blue Book. Regardless of who says what, if a car is totaled, they give you that and that is that. You could say BUT it's got hardly any miles on it. To bad, you get blue book prices.
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