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1914-D Lincoln Cent / Money Jar Contest!

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Pillar of the Community
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 Posted 01/11/2017  4:27 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add dd27 to your friends list

Quote:
Congratulations kena and thank you turingmach, for the contest!



That was fun!
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 Posted 01/11/2017  6:26 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add chipjones to your friends list
Bedrock of the Community
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 Posted 01/11/2017  6:32 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Coinfrog to your friends list
Congrats!
Valued Member
United States
422 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2017  6:58 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add hozer to your friends list
Fun contest, thank you
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15435 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2017  7:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nickelsearcher to your friends list
Outstanding contest ... thank you
turingmach for it and much appreciated.

David
Take a look at my other hobby ... http://www.jk-dk.art
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 Posted 01/11/2017  8:22 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Susuman to your friends list
Congratulations, Kena, on a job well done!

I am curious about how everyone came up with their guess. Were they random or a serious attempt at calculation? I went with the serious attempt on this one.

First, using the diameter of the clearest nickel, I determined the diameter and height of the jar, and doing my best to account for the perspective of the camera and irregularities of shape. I came up 1022 ml. Within error, this looks like a 1 liter volume bottle. The bottle looks like about 85% full. From these numbers, I went to the bank and got $100 in change in a mix of nickels, dimes, and quarters. visually, the jar looks extra heavy with nickles, so I used more of those in my mix. There are no cents visible, so none were added. I added a few halves as that seemed reasonable for a change jar. The water bottle I used was a little less in diameter that the contest one, so I added $5 to my estimate because the larger diameter will pack a little more efficiently. In the end, I underestimate the fraction of quarters and had way too many nickles I was close on dimes.

But, not all was lost I got a 1940 nickel in one of the bank rolls. All the dime rolls were 100% BU 2016, so I kept one roll. Best of all, I had fun
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 Posted 01/11/2017  9:48 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add turingmach to your friends list
Susuman, congrats on your nickel find and the roll of BU dimes.

So, in the interest of coin-guessing science, I emptied my wife's jar and filled it with water. Turns out that up to the base of the screw-on cap, its total capacity is just shy of 1.5 liters. Maybe 1450 ml. Also, according to at least one website I checked out, the predicted distribution of change received (by number of coins rather than volume, and disregarding one cents and half dollars) would be about 14.8% nickels, 29.6% dimes, and 55.6% quarters; the distribution in the jar was around 20.1% nickels, 37.8% dimes, and 42.1% quarters. My wife does occasionally pay with change in some transactions before the coins make it to the jar, so that may explain the discrepancy.
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 Posted 01/12/2017  4:44 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add kena to your friends list
Just a wild guess on my part.
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 Posted 01/12/2017  4:56 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add schmidty to your friends list

Quote:
I am curious about how everyone came up with their guess. Were they random or a serious attempt at calculation? I went with the serious attempt on this one.


I used a method almost as scientific as yours. First I made a mildly educated guess that there was between $100 and $200 in there. Then, I made my guess based off 13, my lucky number. Came up with $131.30 and was much closer than I think I've ever been on any sort of "guess the jar" contest!
Valued Member
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 Posted 01/12/2017  6:47 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add NoPoMoCo to your friends list
I let everyone else come up with the educated guesses. These I sorted in a spreadsheet and selected the midpoint between the two having the greatest spread. This gave me more "chances" than anybody (except at the extremes) but obviously failed miserably! Haha, it was fun!!
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 Posted 01/12/2017  7:18 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coin197 to your friends list
I CRH, so I made a guess based on how full my jars are and how much is in them.
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 Posted 01/12/2017  7:24 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nickelsearcher to your friends list
Wild guess on my part ... great contest indeed.

Many thanks to the host turingmach

David
Take a look at my other hobby ... http://www.jk-dk.art
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3516 Posts
 Posted 01/16/2017  6:04 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Dustin6 to your friends list
Finally got the time. Man, only 14 off. Hurts. LOL. Big congrats Kena and thanks turigmach for the contest. Only 1 of 4 I needed to finish. Grrrrrr.
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 Posted 01/16/2017  8:37 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add llewellin to your friends list
I used the same method as NoPoMoCo
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 Posted 02/14/2017  5:37 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add kena to your friends list
Just to let everyone know that I now got the coin across the pond and into an airtite.

The coin is very nice.

Many thanks to turingmach for the contest and fantastic prize.
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