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Replies: 44 / Views: 4,909 |
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Valued Member
Canada
128 Posts |
There is a lot of air between the 50 and 200 MA and the price ,but it also looks like a flag pattern so either up or down lol.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2462 Posts |
i am not buying any bullion at the moment. my income is limited and spot/premiums are high enough to keep me away for a bit. it's all good, though. I'm trying to just enjoy the show & consider what i'll nab next for my type album.
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Valued Member
United States
136 Posts |
Just a quick thing on spot. I got interested in coins partly because I spent decades on wall street and some of what I was trading was commodities. So spot itself tends to be lower than where people will sell physical bars for a few reasons. Number 1, contracts for silver are good for 5000 ounces which is 135k at current prices which is a lot. Most retail buyers are buying a few ounces and the smaller the trade the more sellers want a bit of a premium for the hassle. Retail sellers of gold or silver bars will often sell not that far from spot for 1oz and 100 oz respectively, but will charge a lot for small clips that make them no money. Number 2, whilst COMEX futures are indeed theoretically deliverable into the underlying, in practice this almost never happens. I am one of the very few wall street traders that has ever taken delivery of even a few futures, and I can promise you it is a massive hassle and almost none of the major futures players are equipped to take delivery. it is also expensive to do so. So even if silver costs a dollar more to buy than the spot, no wall street bank is going to take physical delivery and sell to retail guys. It's just too expensive to do all that. If silver is ever trading at say 10 dollars over spot, they will indeed come and do that probably and the arbitrage will go away. Number 3, related to 1 even if you are a seller to retail you usually wont be bringing in 5000 ounces all at once if you know the market can easily move a dollar in a day and your margins are tight. Perhaps if you are very big and 5000 ounces is just a day's inventory you might do that but you can buy direct from the producers almost as cheaply if you do that size. Number 4, at very high levels or very low levels of spot the price between spot and physical tends to diverge the most. If the price has been going up dealers tend to feel comfortable charging a bit more or if the price has been going up due to physical demand they may have trouble sourcing close to spot. Conversely, if the price has been going down dealers may be stuck with inventory at higher levels and need to sell and better spreads to average in back to having a profit. Having said all that, in a very stable market, I have seen physical trade significantly below spot particularly if it is below 0.999 fineness for the same AGW
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Valued Member
United States
487 Posts |
Hello, Been away for quite sometime. Glad to be back. Since metals have skyrocketed since the first of the year I have reduced my stacking by quite a bit. Only acquisitions have been 1-1 gold gram bar and 1- 5 gram bar.
Edited by rastatodd 04/28/2024 11:46 am
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Valued Member
United States
312 Posts |
"There is a lot of air between the 50 and 200 MA and the price ,but it also looks like a flag pattern so either up or down lol."
Always a lot of air after what could be the start of a substantial move. Yes, looks like a flag, until it is not a flag!
Check out the middle chart showing oversold bottom around Feb 13 and staying overbought until the oversold bottom Apr 30 just yesterday. Looks to me like the start of a good move up.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2841 Posts |
Based on the $SLV chart, I'd be comfortable starting a new position here. During the month of April, it broke out of the year-long trading range, hit mid-upper $26pps. Within the last few weeks, RSI has cooled off from nearly 80 to current sub 50, appears $24 pps could be the new support.
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Bedrock of the Community
Australia
21786 Posts |
Inflation rates for governments around the World difficult to bring down just now.
Gold is a hedge against inflation, but does not yield much real increase above inflation.
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Valued Member
United States
312 Posts |
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2841 Posts |
Another lucky guess on my part.... 3 weeks ago $SLV price was $24, currently $29 aka +21% ROI. RSI overcooked at 80, would exit position & wait for a pullback to $27 to fill in the gap to start another position. $26 would not be a surprise to retest support.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1768 Posts |
Yes, still buying. Much like the stock market, I cost average in. Silver and gold are a store of money. The stock market makes money.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2049 Posts |
Quote: Yes, still buying. Much like the stock market, I cost average in. Silver and gold are a store of money. The stock market makes money. I generally try to do the same thing but passed up on an opportunity to go to a coin show this past weekend due to the recent run up. With everything else getting to be crazy expensive and a couple of unexpected medical bills, I decided to try to keep more dry powder available so to speak. Still will continue to buy throughout the year, but cutting back a bit lately.
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New Member
United States
15 Posts |
I'm still buying...and selling.
I have been "hunting" vintage rounds through auction sites that list "assorted rounds". I pull the cool stuff and list the rest. Also, to spread out the flat rate shipping cost I bid on other rounds and 10oz bars. I have been slowly collecting the unique stuff I like to collect and anything I can't sell gets added to the stack. I'm usually able to sell it though. I list it at about a $1 over spot or a little more if I'm moving Philharmonics or something that generally has more of a premium. But I'm not looking to make tons of money off them. Just enough to buy the next lot.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
3343 Posts |
It's time for some more selling. Bullion is my go-to for making purchases right now. A brush chipper is a good thing to have, and bullion is the best medium of exchange.
"Two minutes ago I would have sold my chances for a tired dime." Fred Astaire
Edited by thq 05/27/2024 10:03 am
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2841 Posts |
As anticipated from a couple weeks ago, slv filled in the gap @ the $27 pps & dipped into the high $26 range. Rsi currently at 50 wouldn't be surprised to see low $26 & a sub 50 rsi in the next few days, but imo a good time to start a new position.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2841 Posts |
So, 3 weeks later.... today SLV dipped to $26.09, RSI sub 50, (appears to be a decent support level) all-in on a new position. Rinse & repeat.
Edited by coin rejector 06/26/2024 4:25 pm
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Replies: 44 / Views: 4,909 |
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