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PCGS MS-66.1 Or MS-66.9 ?

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biggfredd's Avatar
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9104 Posts
 Posted 04/23/2012  8:55 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
The whole think seems silly to me +, cac, it's bad enough there are 11 designations of UNC.

As the thread title suggests, no matter how "precisely" you grade a coin, you can always split it further.

It used to be there were two grades, new and used.

Eventually, "new" became uncirculated, BU, ChBU, GemBU and SuperbBU.

When numerical grading started, it was AU50 and AU55, then MS60, 65 and 70. Later, they added 63 and 67, still later 64, then 66, 68, 69, 61 and 62.

Now, it's 66+, in a few years, it will be 66.5, 66.7, etc.

All of which is bullship, because it pretends an accuracy that can't be replicated, which I'll explain further down.
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 Posted 04/23/2012  9:19 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 1893S to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Here's another one for you. I own a 1878 8TF that appears to be a gorgeous Gem, MS66 or MS67, but on close examination you can see minute rubbing or wear if you like on the breast feathers. What you would call a real slider. There is no wear on the Obverse whatsoever and no discerenable bagmarks or hairlines. Absolutely sharp srike and beautiful frosty luster. This coin has not been polished, whizzed, cleaned, etc. I've showed it to many reputable dealers and fellow collectors and one thing we all agree on is it is impossible to put a grade on. I paid MS63 price for it because of it's beauty. Now, I could send this off for TPG grading and get a AU58+ or CAC bean and it sill would not be a correct valuation or evaluation of this coin.
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biggfredd's Avatar
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 Posted 04/23/2012  9:21 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
, Mechman!
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SteveCaruso's Avatar
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1796 Posts
 Posted 04/23/2012  9:32 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SteveCaruso to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The Sheldon Scale is already too granular at 70 grades. The + designation nearly doubles it to 139 (as I do not believe they give out a MS70+).

There needs to be some sort of more objective and quantifiable overhaul and the Librarian in me is crying out to do something...! -- But the Sheldon Scale is already pretty ensconced in the hobby and changing it now would be next to impossible...

...unless you're PCGS and decide to add a +.

Good grief.
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 Posted 04/23/2012  10:00 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 1893S to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I don't think that the scale is necessarily a problem as it is but it CAN NEVER really accurately evaluate a coin. It's only a tool for sight unseen trading. As I've said many times most people I know would rather by RAW coins and if they buy Slabs they crack'em...
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biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 04/23/2012  10:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
It would seem that 11 UNC grades should be enough but with the $ for some coins being a huge jump from one to another I guess it isn't a bad thing to add some more subtlety.

There's the rub. If there is a 5-10x multiple in price between grades, there is a legitimate demand for more "precision" in grading.

The problem is, that doesn't exist. Scales can be accurate, precise or both, but just because they are one doesn't mean the other follows.

You can buy a scale that is precise to 0.001 g, but if a 100 g weight reads 105.072 g and a 100.1 g weight reads 105.172, it's precise, and even consistent, but it's certainly not accurate. Another scale may only weigh to the nearest gram, but hit both those weights at 100 g every time, so it's accurate, but not real precise.

With grading, anyone here can grade. A six-year-old can grade. The question is repeatability (accuracy) and consistency (precision).

Given 100 coins, even the kid can arrange them from worst to best. The same grader may be able to jumble and re-sort them in substantially the same order. That's the first hurdle.

The second jump is to say #16 is good, but #17 is vg and #94 is ms64. Or maybe they were a couple rolls of unc cents and #16 is ms61, but #17 is ms62 and #94 is ms67.

Enter grader 2, who can do the same line-up, etc. That's easy. How likely is he to put them in the same order? Maybe plus of minus 10, but perhaps substantially differently.

Hurdle 3 is for grader 2 to look at grader 1's order, and decide where to make the grade breaks. Not easy, especially if he'd have rated certain coins significantly higher or lower.

Finally, both graders have to match some sort of standard, as well as each other.

So we have two (million) graders, who will not be able to order the same group in the same order, and even if they could, couldn't match each other's order, much less agree on matching the standard.

So back to precision not existing. There are going to be coins all along the scale where reasonable graders can't even agree on g vs vg, or au vs ms. If one says ms64 and the other says ms66 (and we've seen wider ranges on "grade my coin" posts), exactly what does ms65.23 mean? Purty.

But if you think ms65.23 is a bit more precise than ms64 or ms66, you're only fooling yourself.
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SteveCaruso's Avatar
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 Posted 04/23/2012  10:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SteveCaruso to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Well, the Scale right now is hopelessly lopsided and the difference between grades is vast at the lower end, increasingly smaller at the higher end, and has a serious qualitative "hiccup" when it reaches MS60-70.
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biggfredd's Avatar
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 Posted 04/23/2012  10:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
funny it's only a green CAC sticker and not a gold CAC

While poking around on ebay, I saw evidence that buyers look for jellybeans. Slobbed coins had one or two beans with stuff like "choice" or "nice" on them.

At which point I'd like to smack someone, but hey, why not?
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biggfredd's Avatar
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9104 Posts
 Posted 04/23/2012  10:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Then line them up from the best looking 1881-S MS63 to the poorest looking. Now, what grade are all of these coins individually?

According to standards, prolly ms62.
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biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 04/23/2012  10:18 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I could send this off for TPG grading and get a AU58+ or CAC bean and it sill would not be a correct valuation or evaluation of this coin.

That's because AU58+ or CAC is the accurate grade. That has nothing to do with value. I've bought AU coins for MS prices, and vice versa.
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 Posted 04/23/2012  10:34 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 1893S to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
That's what I was getting at BF. VALUE. And I think too much emphasis is put on the Slab grade as to real value of the coin....Your previous long post above tells it like it is...Good work.
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