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Replies: 26 / Views: 3,703 |
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Moderator
 United States
23522 Posts |
Quote: Also of note is how many rolls they have sold: 3,790 at 60 bucks a pop is pretty crazy All I can come up with is a strong sense of jealousy.
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
17884 Posts |
Quote: honestly if someone was finding anything of value in these then why wouldn't you take the time to search them as one 09svdb would be worth more than all the rolls you sold. No I wouldn't. The odds of there being an SVDB in 76,000 random wheat cents is VERY low. Say some one did find one, what would the odds of there being a SECOND SVDB in the group? Then consider that 76,000 cents is 1,520 rolls or 15 bags. It can take 3 hours to search a bag or 45 hours to search all of them. If my time is worth $10 an hour it costs me $450 to search them and when I am done I have searched wheats worth 3 cents each or $2,280. Assuming I paid Two Cents each I now have a net cost of $1,970 in them for a profit of $310. Now instead of wasting time searching them I just sell them unsearched as he is doing and I'm getting $6 a roll like he is. I make $9,120 less the $1,520 I paid for them and I make $7,600 Even if by some miracle someone does get an SVDB I'm still making $7,300 more this way than by searching them and his reported find just helps me sell them. In short I would have much better potential just selling them unsearched than wasting time searching. Say he had searched them and found that SVDB and sold it for $1,000. His profit would still be less than what he can sell them for as an unsearched lot. Quote: I agree that the rolls look way too fresh to be original bank rolls. He never claimed they were original bank rolls, he said the were bank wrapped rolls. A original bank wrapped roll implies a roll of uncirculated coins all of the same date and mint. A bank wrapped roll can be any grouping of circulated/uncirculated coins that could have been wrapped at any time, even yesterday. Quote:I bought 3 rolls recently off ebay from a man claiming he didn,t have the time to search them before rolling. Well, after 3 rolls, I got we he guaranteed, 1 steel or IHC in each roll. Unsearched? How did he know the steels were buried in the middle? Easy. I have a bag of unsearched wheat cents. I dump in 100 steel cents and indian heads and mix thoroughly. I still haven't searched them have I? But I can guarantee with some confidence that you will get either a steel cent or an indian head in every roll. If I want to be really confident I might dump in 75 of each. Quote: Did you read his feedback? His overall score is good, but the negs are mostly about these wheats. That is common with sellers of bulk unsearched lots, and through no fault of their own. Buyers of unsearched bulk go in with stars in their eyes and dreams of finding valuable keys. Then when reality hits them in the face they are upset about it. 90% of all the wheat cents were made in the 50's. 95% were made in the 40's and 50's. You buy a truly unsearched lot of 100 random wheat cents and 95 of them will be from the 40's and 50's. The other 5 could also be 40's and 50's but if they aren't they are still most likely to be common pieces from the teens, 20's, or 30's. The chances of one of the five coins being a key or even a semi key are vanishingly small. But when they aren't the buyer gets upset over the loss of his dream and posts a neg.
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Rest in Peace
 United States
3039 Posts |
Condor101, well thought out replies.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1109 Posts |
While I agree that this is likely a new twist on an old racket, I also agree with Conder's response. Either way, I wouldn't buy into it, but if someone else does, and they find something cool, good for them.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
979 Posts |
My bank uses those wrappers. I could have my commons wrapped like that and seed them with some cheap indians and steels if I wanted to be an ebay crook. Though I agree with Conder101's logic, there are some axioms that I must point out. First off, you're assuming innocent until proven guilty. I would tend to be the opposite with "unsearched" roll dealers. The assumption that he is honest and then defending the reasoning leads to a possible conclusion that may very well be right. He might be honest, and maybe it wasn't worth his time. Sound reasoning. However, if we assume first that the seller is dishonest, then try to prove how/why, we can get a different answer. Here is my thinking: How could someone fake this and make it look good? Buy commons in bulk. 3 cents a piece, maybe a few cents more for some older ones for seeding and some steelies. Then get a few rolls of cheap indians. A cheap roll of indians is $50 maybe on it's own. You could do better in bulk. Seed those babies out and all the sudden your rolls that were worth $1.50 a roll are now selling at $6 a roll. Assume maybe 5 10 cent wheats, uncluding steelies, and a $1 indian. that brings the total value around $3, and you can double your money. In most cases, I am VERY optimistic, even to a fault at times. I annoy people often by looking on the bright side consistently. However, with coins, I am very careful because my investments effect my family's financial stability. So in coin dealings I have to strap on some cynicism. I have used my coin hobby to get my wife and I through some tight times. Things like these rolls should only be purchased for 100% entertainment purposes. That being said, if there really is a physical store in CNY, I wonder where it is? Maybe I'll have to look it up. Coin shop owners around here are VERY honest people who just love coins. If I met the guy and heard it from the horses mouth I might believe they are unsearched. And for $6 what the hay, I'd probably buy one for fun. But to get locked into $60 worth of uncertainty isn't something I would do. 
Edited by Broseph 09/24/2013 5:30 pm
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Moderator
 Australia
16836 Posts |
There are probably some genuine "unsearched" rolls of coins on ebay. But the people selling them - people who are genuinely ignorant about coins - don't know they're supposed to be using the word "unsearched". "Unsearched" is coin jargon. So there really is no point in scouring ebay for "unsearched" and expecting to find genuine, fair dinkum unsearched rolls. Nor do they go around making promises or guarantees about what's in the rolls - since they're genuinely unsearched, they literally have no clue about what's in them. Personally, I think this whole "unsearched" phenomenon on ebay is a scam, designed to get around ebay's prohibitions on "lucky dips" and "mystery items".
Don't say "infinitely" when you mean "very"; otherwise, you'll have no word left when you want to talk about something really infinite. - C. S. Lewis
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Valued Member
United States
388 Posts |
Condor, that was an awesome reply.
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
17884 Posts |
Broseph, whether he is honest or dishonest my comments about the odds of finding anything even in truly unsearched rolls should point out the folly in buying them at $6 a roll honest seller or not.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
979 Posts |
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Rest in Peace
 United States
3039 Posts |
At least this not blatant salting with an Indian, 3 cent piece or Barber dime on the end.
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Valued Member
United States
329 Posts |
After reading condors reply all I can think is by his reasoning the coin lot can easily have been searched and then seeded anyway. If he has a storefront I would think many collectors would not believe him or spend that kind of money on this item.
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Replies: 26 / Views: 3,703 |