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Silver Down 4.00...look Out Below

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Pillar of the Community
Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2011  02:28 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
arrrrggg just went to 2 dealers tryin to buy 10 oz bar none of them would sell me any...

I thought that only the bars cut people off when they have had too much!
Bedrock of the Community
sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2011  08:14 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The current trend line value for silver is around $25 right now. Looking long term, from a chartist's point of view, I guess that the value will stabilise at around $20, before trending up again.

My long term position for silver is very long term. I have lots of World coins I bought for their interest as coins, not bullion. I don't mind if the silver value goes below $10, which is the the typical silver bullion value that most of my coins silver coins were acquired at.

I have about 10 ounces ASW of silver culled from my collection, but I have never been particularly bothered to realise on their silver value. Too lazy, I guess. My local coin dealer has always been happy to accept them at his price.

I have never felt pressured to buy or sell on either the upward or downward side of this spike. If I seem dispassionate, that's OK. Been there, done that.
Pillar of the Community
Bizybackson's Avatar
United States
1817 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2011  10:43 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Bizybackson to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I wouldn't mind if silver went back to last June's price which was right around $18-$20/oz. Silver coins were available and plentiful then. Don't really expect to see $10/oz. again, but who knows. Shed another $2 this morning, so this definitely a slide, and not just a correction or breather as most people were expecting. 25% loss from the peak of less than a week ago will scare more than a few investors with jittery hands.
Valued Member
IHPO8S's Avatar
United States
374 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2011  11:36 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add IHPO8S to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
$35.90 just checked it. By the weekend will fall to 30.
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swrbxxx's Avatar
Canada
834 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2011  11:41 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add swrbxxx to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I see $31 by close tomorrow
CME is really killing the price of silver
for some this is a good time to buy to bring your cost average down f you were vying in the 40$ + range
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fenton's Avatar
United States
4989 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2011  12:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add fenton to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Short term selloff is probably overdone. I picked up 8 May calls on SLV hoping to make $800 for every dollar above 38 that silver reaches in May. A quick return to 50 would be nice. The cool thing about those "lotto" calls is you can get them for pennies. Each contract for 100 shares was only about $15. Lets you risk a little to make a lot on short term price swings.
Pillar of the Community
United States
648 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2011  12:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tripncoins to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
fenton - getting in calls/options is nice - too bad I don't have L2 access yet.

I also see low 30's and my chance to stock up / cost average down.
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spaceace's Avatar
United States
797 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2011  1:34 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add spaceace to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
wow, I wonder if it will crack back into the 20's, that would be nice to continue buying coins.
Valued Member
bryan1234's Avatar
United States
463 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2011  2:00 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add bryan1234 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
agggrrr I wish I didnt hold most of my silver now but again if it cointiues to fall I will ad more silver and thats not a bad thing at all. I dont like how it fell 13 dollars in less then a week, you dont loose anything until you sell
Pillar of the Community
spaceace's Avatar
United States
797 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2011  3:20 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add spaceace to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
cool Franklin halves melt under $13 melt. loving this. Might be heading out to buy my 1 silver eagle soon :)
Valued Member
gmwatson's Avatar
United States
234 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2011  08:43 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add gmwatson to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Next test at 200 day moving average of + $29. I would expect the 200 should hold, but don't underestimate the ability of those that can manipulate the market.

The fed is more beholden to JPM Chase than they are the taxpayers.
Valued Member
Typesetmaker's Avatar
United States
97 Posts
 Posted 05/07/2011  01:30 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Typesetmaker to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
spaceace-it did big time are you in now?
Bedrock of the Community
sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 05/07/2011  01:59 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I have been around a long time. Been there, done that. I have seen other markets than silver dive way down below the moving average then to recover to some sort of stability near the moving average.

I think, perhaps, it has to do with market sentiment, otherwise known as mob mentality, and hasn't much to do with the rational market price.

When the professional speculators move out of a specific market, taking their profits with them, they sit on the sidelines, looking for the next opportunity.

Real estate came and went, shares came and went, now precious metals, in particular, silver. The stock market is where these animals usually hang out, because there is more readily accessible capital tied up in this area, and they can be less noticed.

It is a good way to distort capital markets, and therefore an economy, and is part of the reason why the U.S. economy is in trouble. A nasty little human foible called greed is a strong causative factor.

That is one of the reasons why it is rational to diversify your investments.
Valued Member
3_Cent_Silver's Avatar
United States
111 Posts
 Posted 05/07/2011  06:37 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 3_Cent_Silver to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Silver went up to $35.62, that's a $0.96 or 2.76% increase. I don't really care a whole lot where silver is, because if I buy silver coins (which I don't very often), they tend to be old (i.e. Barber, Capped Bust).
Pillar of the Community
Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/07/2011  4:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
A nasty little human foible called greed is a strong causative factor.

Indeed so... along with his brother, Fear. Between the two of them they can distort any market beyond recognition.
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