Quote:Very interesting.

Very interesting indeed.
Not something I was expecting to see at all.
I'm going to have to watch closely and possibly change my strategy on metals. I went short on SLV and then Friday I went short GLD. I was only expecting a small pullback to $62-$60 anyway.

Up to this point I wasn't betting on Silver going to $69-$70
However the probability is definitely more likely now.
So what is happening?

Here's what I think. The US Dollar and the Metals might be sniffing out that there won't be any interest rate hike this year at all.
The Fed said there would be 2 rate hikes by end of year to tame inflation. Then he said he would leave it in the hands of the market and the economy to determine if that would be necessary.
We've had a flurry of economic Data released over the past few weeks.
First unemployment showed a big loss in jobs. We know we can't trust the labor numbers anymore but if they admit job losses then the number was probably even bigger than what they admit.
Then CPI and PPI numbers were soft, indicating some stability. And if the Iran war was to end then the higher food and energy prices would go away, no rate hike required for that.
Then Retail numbers came out weaker than expected. People spending less, makes sense if there's less jobs and people don't have extra cash due to higher prices.
Then the Consumer Confidence Reports metrics show growing caution and weakening sentiment among households.
All these things are sign that the engine that's running the economy is slowing down, naturally that would bring down inflation.
Good news is inflation goes down, bad news is GDP goes down.
No rate hike means Dollar goes down and metals go up.
Edited by Harry213
Today 1H 20M ago