| Author |
Replies: 5,649 / Views: 461,648 |
|
|
|
Valued Member
United States
299 Posts |
Three to six months out, price will explode!
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
4333 Posts |
Piffin, are you by chance a coin dealer? :)
When I listen to LED ZEPPELIN...so do my neighbors... Roll hunting since '77 Dirt fishing since '72
|
|
Valued Member
United States
299 Posts |
No. I spec in the paper market and put my profits into physical with the expectation that that market will go off the charts
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
4333 Posts |
Quote: No. I spec in the paper market and put my profits into physical with the expectation that that market will go off the charts It was going to go off the charts last year. Um, I mean year before that. Um...I mean...
When I listen to LED ZEPPELIN...so do my neighbors... Roll hunting since '77 Dirt fishing since '72
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
1068 Posts |
Quote: It was going to go off the charts last year. Um, I mean year before that. Um...I mean... Yeah I remember when they said silver was going to hit $60/ounce an gold $2000/ounce....  Barring no economic collapse or any other major catastrophe, I predict that gold and silver will hover right around their current prices for the rest of the year...
|
|
Valued Member
Australia
491 Posts |
1st we have to get too and over May June July next year!
|
|
Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
@MetDet71 I really have no clue, anything can happen in 3 months. What I do know and think is gold and silver continue in their downtrends and are going now where, there is no solid evidence buyers want it. One thing I do as a trader is I don't concentrate on putting price targets on anything. Therefore, I am not thinking at all about what silver and gold will do in the next 3 months. The only thing I am concentrated on is looking for solid evidence in terms of price that this downtrend will end OR that price is showing and setting up for another leg lower. Until then, I dont think about what happens in the next 3 months. This is how I approach equities, currencies, bonds and the various other assets I trade. when gold and silver are ready to show their hand.... they are going to give a lot of confirmation and major solid clues as to what they want to do. until then, I'll just wait patiently. 
|
|
Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
Not looking great price action wise for gold and silver this week. Very sloppy chop down for both metals.
Unless they start picking up the slack here, they are going to be coming into areas of price where either they bounce or break below them, should they break then expect lower prices going forward.
Patience is needed as this is all happening with a sloppy trade, full of gaps down, reversals etc.
more later
|
|
Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
one thing I wanted to add was find it interesting no one talked about the ECB, which is actually going to embark on their type of QE.
This is the takeaway and will infuriate and baffle the gold and silver bugs: Those that are in love with silver and gold will beat the drums how QE is going to drive silver and gold higher. However, look at the reaction of silver and gold today to the ECB- nada but more down for both metals.
the important takeaway today- QE is NOT going to help silver and gold, the ECB announcement today did nothing to boost the PMs.
Its pretty clear that the cycle for silver and gold, their best days, are behind them.
|
|
Valued Member
United States
174 Posts |
I hope Gold and Silver's best days are behind them. I will nibble all the way down and bite at/near bottom and nibble back to mid 20's/1500 (AU/AG), whether the cycle takes 5 years or 40 years.
I think we are out of the times of slow trends, slow moves. The over valued stocks/paper, when they fall, will need some place for money to go.
When this happens, I don't think it'll be that easy to get physical metals because of supply/demand without HUGE premiums.
Might be my wishful thinking, but I can dream can't i?
|
|
Pillar of the Community
Canada
746 Posts |
Just got back from fishing and I see nothing much has changed. Silver is still in a downtrend.  Funny how gold, silver & platinum followed a similar pattern today, whilst palladium moved in the opposite direction. Palladium seems to be doing its own thing. Wish I would have invested in it... much more interesting lately! Would it make sense to buy palladium at this time, yup, since its having such a grand run? 
|
|
Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
Welcome back Allspice
to answer your question yes palladium is worth buying even after running all this time.
Why?
First of all, its in an uptrend. We know it has buyers. Its been grinding higher all year long. Also, no asset is ever too high to buy.
Now, I can just see everyone ready to jump on that and say, "yea buy in at the top when its high and then prices tumble, yea thats great advice to buy when its high".
So lets clear things up and do some education here on how to buy this.
First of all we know its in an uptrend. Check. We know its already been running for a year, check. Again, these two items are important because we know buyers are present, so they are doing the heavy lifting, and confirming the trend. Thats good, we want confirmation before we put our money in. Also, the fact thats its been running here already for a year means this isn't a flash in the pan.
So, look. We look at the chart. Obviously, and I do know this pattern, this is a toughie to play buying at yearly highs because you have these extreme pullbacks and the break outs to yearly highs are very short lived before the next high materializes. In the mean time, its easy to panic, worry and leave the position.
So in my experience, this is a type of slow grind trade that needs a % stop to keep you in the game. Thats how I would approach it. I have played palladium via the PALL ETF because its more liquid for what I need and allows me to try different types of trades in different time frames.
I realize thats probably not appealing and you might be looking to put money into it with physical.
In that case, there are a couple ways of doing this. One again would be buying the next time palladium makes a fresh 52 high, going into this purchase with the knowledge that it will drop lower, temporarily, from where you bought at. But as you have seen, palladium, has continued a grind up higher, despite its vicious pull backs.
This might not be what you want to do. You might be inclined to buy when the price goes down, for myself, I never like doing that because one can guess but not not real confirmation where to buy.
However, seeing this is in an uptrend, if you want to give it a stab, why not buy some palladium coins when say it drops, 50+ bucks from its highs as an example.
Whatever you decide to do, I again say, yea buy palladium, its in an uptrend until it tell us its done going higher. One final piece of advice: if you buy, DO NOT GO ALL IN. In other words, say you want to put 5K, and this is only an example, what you decide to put in is up to you, but say you buy with only 1500 dollars worth of coins.
Then just sit and wait. See how that purchase works for you. If it shows you a profit, then proceed and buy more. I strongly urge you to buy on the way up, not on the way down.
In any case, sorry for the long worded response and there's more I could say but I want to keep it simple!
|
|
Pillar of the Community
Canada
746 Posts |
Thanks, yup! I'm used to hearing slogans like, "buy low, sell high," which sounds like one would need to call a (near) top or (near) bottom. Buying on an uptrend makes good sense, as one has evidence that the medal is in favor of continuing its run.  The only downside is the lack of physical palladium available for sale by dealers. Also, I don't see much in terms of numismatic value for this medal. Buying a small amount is a good idea. Then see how things go. There was a slight drop the other day. That might have been a good time to buy, since the recovery following was strong.  I'll look into physical palladium pricing and availability. Thanks again! 
|
|
Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
Hey Allspice, glad to be of help.
You know, your question made me think about looking at whats out there in terms of coins, there's different stuff out there, I did notice tho they do sell 1 oz bars, which looks interesting.
I might end up picking one up myself since you mention it lol. See in this case, I would prefer futures or an ETF versus physical, BUT I have nothing palladium wise in my collection so I might bite on a bar for fun.
I would let it drop say 30-50 bucks and then pick up a 1 oz bar myself.
In anycase, I hope I can help you capitalize on the higher prices with my thoughts.
|
|
Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
Just a heads up,, silver and gold coming into some important areas here,, if they break lower, this could be the start of much lower prices going forward...keep an eye as the day is still young :)
|
| |
Replies: 5,649 / Views: 461,648 |