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Replies: 5,643 / Views: 459,823 |
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Valued Member
United States
160 Posts |
yup, nobody knows what number prices will fall or rise to, if they were right all the time, they certainly wouldn't be wasting their time posting on this forum. My guess is no worse than yours, or better.
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
Exactly,so throwing numbers out like 1,100 are absurd. Its better to follow levels then to take a wild guess far into the future. One doesn't try to predict but rather follow price as it happens and unfolds. As a trader, I dont care about being "right", rather I care to follow price with its twists and turns.
I am not in the guessing or predicting business.
Edited by yup7676 11/17/2016 7:39 pm
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1205 Posts |
It is what it is, I don't own it at any price--because I'm not selling. Don't get me wrong, of course I would prefer silver at 29 and gold at 1560, so I could start selling a few accumulated items I have been "hoarding". I realized 1 day that when spot prices dropped, there was no emotional response related to my bullion coins and bars..I knew it's a cycle of ups and downs. When I transferred that neutrality to my mining stocks, I slept much better at night. I don't "flip" and scalp stocks like I used to...to brutal for reams of tax hassles in April. I am holding-period. The fact that I could lose everything with a mining stock is a very remote possibility. I HAVE lost bundles in BIO stocks and an action-camera stock that tanked, and will never recover. My ONLY change this next run UP....when I hit 100% profit, I take profits, and, everything left in the accounts will be "house money"..NOW I know why Livermore states regretting not doing this earlier in his life. In August, I should have made my move, but, wanted "more"...well..."more" only leads to failure. So..it was a great lesson for round 4 coimg up. I have a plan this time, and not flopping around anymore. NO reason whatsoever to discuss "Final" exit plans..for now, I'd like to get rid of the red, get back to green, and, take it from there. Further drops would not surprise me, especially next month. Fine..the more it drops, the higher it may go!
Edited by ilikeikes 11/17/2016 7:58 pm
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Valued Member
United States
160 Posts |
So basically, you are just narrating daily market action then? Not all predictions and guesses are to be interpreted as being worthless. Maybe you paint them all with the same brush, sounds like you do. I can think of a couple very smart people who I follow, who accurately predicted precious metal price targets a couple years out. Were they just lucky a few times?
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Valued Member
United States
300 Posts |
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
Expect a snooze fest here for the week as we all go off on vacation.
Perhaps December we see more action our next move. Will it be a repeat of next year where rates were increased and gold moved higher? Who knows.
What we know- in the short term time frame, silver and gold have been breaking down. Still in up trends and up for the year. Only the element of time, can give us resolution as to whether the up trend is going to be in jeopardy or just needs more time to make a base and that all the selling has been absorbed.
I will be out till Monday. In the meantime, dont panic, listen to the price action, what kind of action do you see, as in higher highs or lower highs and lower lows? is a base or range form?
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1431 Posts |
Gold and Silver crashing yet again. Just my luck
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Valued Member
United States
160 Posts |
1 yr. gold chart not looking very good as of this morning, thinking much lower prices are coming if we don't get a good bounce shortly. Will have to see how we close today.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
606 Posts |
Lol
Nice snooze fest.
I'm starting to think my broken clock is more accurate.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1205 Posts |
The usual paper dumping ..the endless puke, as the article writers call it.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1450 Posts |
How will rising government deficits affect silver and gold prices. The new administration wants to cut taxes and increase spending which means bigger debt and maybe inflation. The bond market is getting hit but stocks are running up. I see gold and silver going lower. I don't get it.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1205 Posts |
Changes take sooooooooooo much time, and, 99% of the hot air never gets done. Rich getting richer, poor people getting poorer. Nobody knows what will happen in the future. My bellybutton tells me, when I see sharp rises in ANY economic entity(stocks now), the ensuing DROP is 300% as hard as the upswing, it's just the way this whole thing works. The day will come when the bubbles pop. Someday, paper gold may be extinct. It has ruined the entire trading ecology, with speculation and free money betting any ups and downs, with billions in trades in 1 micro-second, triggering landslides like we saw today(like, the 9th time this year). Read THIS..from 2001...this crap has been going on a long time, and, barring a insane flip to a gold standard(highly unlikely), will continue for years and years: The case for gold is that the dollar has been overvalued for an extended period, as we wrote a year ago in The US Dollar: Over Owned and Over Valued. Its overvaluation was integral to the financial mania that has come and gone. The depressed price of gold has been core to the system of beliefs underpinning dollar overvaluation. To the extent the depressed price of gold reflected more than natural causes, one can expect the retribution of market forces to be fierce once they gain the upper hand. The mania and the supremacy of the dollar are history. With so many of these positive macroeconomic developments becoming more evident, it is disappointing that the gold producers continue to emphasize the promotion of gold as jewelry. A higher profile and stronger stance on monetary issues would be timely and most welcome. It would not take much of an investment to bolster the intellectual rationale to rehabilitate the metal's role as a financial asset. Restoration of gold as the foundation for a multinational global currency is something the global economy could actually use. Now, that would be really good theater.
by John Hathaway August 23, 2001
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Valued Member
United States
154 Posts |
IMHO this is NOT the time to sell, but to buy. Why sell if you don't need the money to survive? PM will go up. Just takes patience. I'm underwater with my mining stocks, but not going to sell. I expect one day it will be worth many times more than originally invested. As stated, time to BUY miners.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1450 Posts |
I got so badly burned buying miners I would never touch them again. I might buy the actual metal especially if price of gold and silver continues to drop. Supposedly, with labor shortage and housing shortages inflation may rise and that should help precious metals because labor costs follow higher prices and then the cycle goes on and on until the music stops. If you have profits in stocks or gold or anything now is a good time to take them and hold on and buckle the seat belts. Nobody knows what will happen but if you have profits you cannot be hurt by taking them.
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Valued Member
United States
160 Posts |
zack6736, I agree with you that you can step in right now and buy miners or the metals themselves, there may be more downside risk from here, but the upside potential is much greater. Gold is much more likely to rise at least $500 than drop $500 from current levels, imo. Nobody can call the exact dollar bottom, so that's why one needs to start nibbling when you think its getting close, and I happen to think we are within $100 of the bottom right now on the gold price. If your plan is to hold longer term, then initiating or adding to positions makes sense right now at these levels.
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Replies: 5,643 / Views: 459,823 |