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Replies: 5,643 / Views: 460,397 |
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
Just a little bit of checking in here in the afternoon-
so continued chop, sideways action, nothing really doing. Lets look at our proxies-
GLD- higher high, higher low
SLV- higher high, higher low
Right now I am interested in see if gold and silver can plug and fill that small gap from last Friday, 6/7/13. Just a steady dribble down for now tho or as I have been saying, slow train wreck motion.
I say, if you are looking to buy PMs, you put your money in the Palladium. Auto industry is heating up and that will be supportive of this metal going forward.
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Valued Member
Canada
281 Posts |
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
@miggs
thing is, plat is looking very sickly and supply issues are not a real concern as evidenced by the price action. Remember, price never lies and trumps all. Plat actually looks like it wants to start another leg lower also.
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
This has really been a slow slog here. When at times it appears gold and silver are ready to gain steam and enter that gap from 4/15 they are quickly pushed back hard.
When it appears they are ready to take a run for that next run lower, when the price action looks weak and ready to dump, it bounces back up hard.
We have seen currency moves give a boost to gold, then watch it fizzle the next day. Even as world markets begin a correction and noise starts to emanate and pundits talk about fear, gold and silver cannot manage to get a decent bounce.
To be clear, gold and silver remain in a downtrend. The price action continues one of slow stair stepping down. However, this sort of chop and narrow range bound price movements lends itself to allowing fatigue to set in, with many feeling that this range will never be broke, that prices cannot fall any further or that prices are now stable. Others might feel that since prices have sliced lower that at any minute, therefore a big plunge will occur.
The best thing to do is sit tight and wait. Be patient. IF you are planning on buying physical and are a dip buyer, which I don't think is a good idea as you all know, you want to first see another bout of heavy selling before stepping in to nibble. Do not allow yourself to lose patience and pick up silver or gold while in this range.
At this stage there is no reason to worry that prices are going to skyrocket higher, that you will be caught off guard with a sudden price spike. If you haven't bought yet, you haven't lost anything and are in the BEST of positions.
Lets look at our proxies
GLD- higher high, higher low
SLV- higher higher, higher low
Again, as I always say, this range will eventually be broken in one way or another. Be patient.
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
Yet another day of range bound trading. Not even a weak US dollar gave the PMs a lift up.
What we do have is this narrow range, which appears to now be tightening up, and based on how its trading, I would put the probabilities on another leg lower. Wait to see what happens before you make any purchases. In fact, IF things were to change and gold and silver started to reverse, fill that gap and stay above it, it would be best to see it start grinding up rather than buy into something that you have no clue if it is going to do anything at all.
lets look at our proxies
GLD- lower high, lower low
SLV- lower high, lower low
I have said it many times and I will repeat myself again... be patient and give this time. We will break this range and it will be explosive when it happens, which ever direction it decides to go.
I wish had more to report but thats pretty much how we stand, just waiting and waiting.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2764 Posts |
On NPR report: Inflation increased over 1% (mainly contributed by food & gas/fuel).... so may be this's the reason why PM is in the green, not red.
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
So guys going to play catch up here, been extremely busy at work
lets zoom in on Friday- when we look at our proxies, we see they brought us both higher highs and higher lows. For the week they were both just barely higher. We can also see that they settled into a much narrower range also, started with that small gap down on June 7th. All this tells me that prices are stair stepping down, ever so slightly.
We came in today and prices again are lower over the close on Friday thus far.
The key I feel this week is the FOMC minutes. That could be a catalyst to push prices in some direction, which again I put the probabilities on another leg lower.
Its taken a lot of patience and time since the big gap months ago if you haven't bought silver and gold, and you deserve a major pat on the back and a hat tip from me for taking such action, holding back on purchases, while hard for the moment is the wise thing to do and you will benefit by holding back until there is more clarity.
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
Do we get fireworks tomorrow? That's the question going around in regards to silver and gold. Tomorrows FOMC minutes might spark something, so be sure to observe the reaction to the minutes and NOT what is said.
From a pure price outlook, both silver and gold once again look like they are ready to take a big dive down. We have had these similar moments, however in the past, only to see both rebound. Therefore, time is key here and only by time will this move be resolved. Lets look at our proxies
GLD- lower high, lower low
Prices are in a clear downtrend and they have continued to tighten their range, moving closer to yearly lows. As I have said before, depending on which way this snaps, which all probabilities put it to the downside, it will be fast and very explosive.
Remember, FOMC meetings minutes released tomorrow, watch the REACTION by the markets, which is more important over what is said by the Fed.
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Great I cant wait to watch my stocks all tank tomorrow like every other meeting day lol
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
@Baseball
Based on some of the high beta market leaders recent price action this week and today I think the probabilities are high we rally on the Fed news today. GOOG and AMZN would not be nearing all time highs if the market was worried about what the Fed says today.
Now, gold and silver, that's another story. Should be interesting to see what happens.
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
BTW can you guys believe we have been trading in this boring range for over 2 months now!?
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
WELL-
20+ minutes into the Feds release of the FOMC minutes, couple points-
1- Dollar strong, gold and silver flat,,, I find this very interesting
2- Again, the reaction was ho hum with gold and silver to the minutes thus far. This could change but still interesting to note.
more later
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2764 Posts |
Both PM and stock market is down (since the early morning)........... Everyone is waiting and will try to digest the FOMC minutes.....
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Pretty much all of them tank whenever the fed opens it mouth, when Obama speaks about it we get massive drops. I'm pretty sure at this point I could do quite well just selling the day before and buying back after speeches.
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
3789 Posts |
This sell off is a JOKE in the markets, it has no teeth and the indices are not telling the story.
THen again, I do this all the time but notice, high beta market leaders are holding extremely well- AMZN and GOOG.
Looking at gold and silver, looks like more of the same, coming to the edge of the cliff and then backing off. Fun times!
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Replies: 5,643 / Views: 460,397 |