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Canadian Coin Prices

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Pillar of the Community
AgHoarder's Avatar
Canada
818 Posts
 Posted 12/14/2015  11:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add AgHoarder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
for a very simple question regarding prices the OP got a lot to chew
Valued Member
Canada
495 Posts
 Posted 12/15/2015  09:36 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add macdon to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
For the past year I personally have been given a big wakeup call and regret not listening to that inner voice of caution in this world of coin collecting.

101 for newbies I would say to you:

Insure you know what your getting into before you start, get sage advice e.g lots of that here on this forum, decide if you are a collector with a rear view look at the business side of this world , try to stay focused on what you are interested in and try not to get caught up in thinking this is a "great investment" because that time will come when you try and sell and will be disappointed that the coin you purchased from your LCS or an auction is not worth half of what you paid for it and if you want a good reference/guide to get an idea of the value of what you are collecting be prepared for another eye opener especially here in Canada its all over the map e.g Trends/Charlton look up $10 Gold
Trends $9K - Charlton $7.5K now for a newbie that has just purchased a few of these on any given day for $1200 or so they will think they just won the lottery. That is just plain misleading.

I'm not bashing dealers here, I'm in business for myself and have been for years so I know full well this side of it and dont envy dealers in todays competitive marketplace but please dont wave a copy Trends at me when looking up a price and asking 80-100% and offering me 40% for my treasures. Like PCCoins said this is not a hobby for the faint of heart.





Pillar of the Community
doubleeagle59's Avatar
Canada
2495 Posts
 Posted 12/15/2015  10:23 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add doubleeagle59 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
For collectors thinking they can get 50% of trends for their coins when selling to a coin dealer, I say two things:

1. You've probably never been self-employed in your lifetime, and

2. You haven't observed ebay completed prices since 2008.

Now....about margins,

Prior to the financial crisis of 2008 (start of the massive downturn in the coin business) I was selling ICCS graded coins to many dealers for 60% of trends and they were selling at 80% of trends. They were working on only a 20 point margin because they were moving this material very quickly, almost at the same show I was selling to them!! This is a very important point.

Now, forward to today's cra**y market, where a dealer selling at 80% of trends is just a dream. Dealers are selling anywhere from 50% to 75% of trends. They however CANNOT work on the same 20 point buying/selling margin they used to because the coins aren't moving like they used to. A lot of dealers don't even want to buy anything because their inventory is already stagnant, but if they are buying, they are offering between 35% to 45% of trends.

So in conclusion, to the collectors who are being offered 50% of trends for their coins and are not accepting this offer because they think it's too low, are either 1. misinformed or 2. totally delusional.
Pillar of the Community
Canada
5324 Posts
 Posted 12/15/2015  10:51 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add john100 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Most dealers at shows use the CCN as trends and about 3 to 4 dealers set the trends prices, why not just adjust the prices down 30 to 40% or what ever to realise the true market place.
Valued Member
Canada
495 Posts
 Posted 12/15/2015  12:10 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add macdon to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
@John100

That's the whole point with pricing as John has noted!

That would be an excellent idea and maybe more people would stay with the hobby. I don't agree with others that have said the Canadian market is in great shape how can it be when the best place right now in the real world is selling via USA. vs the outlook here at 40-50% like chasing fools gold
Valued Member
Canada
495 Posts
 Posted 12/15/2015  12:19 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add macdon to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Correction

I was wrong on the example of prices for a $10 gold coin Trends vs Charlton. The MS64 in Trends is listed as $9000 and Charlton 2016 has it at $2000 for an MS64 just a little off by $7000
Pillar of the Community
Canada
1461 Posts
 Posted 12/16/2015  11:43 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TheCoinHunter to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
As a dealer and a store owner, the retail market for Canadian coinage stands at %50-%60 trends at best! There are a few exceptions with certain rare varieties and if a couple of collectors are looking very hard for something. I just sold an 1895 ICCS old holder grader MS65 large cent for 800. Good quality coin that trends at 1625. I have an MS63 1925 PCGS cent for sale at 500 and no go. So the market suffers. As mentioned above, no dealers will be anywhere near 50% trends for coins unless desirable. Close to 20% would be more of reality. The only time the ration closes for me if I already have a client for a coin that I'm buying.
Edited by TheCoinHunter
12/16/2015 12:28 pm
Valued Member
trimble's Avatar
Canada
299 Posts
 Posted 12/16/2015  12:18 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add trimble to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
We are all dealers now - internet platforms make it easy! As a collector I can list coins at 50% trends for more common coins or 100% with 'best offer' for the somewhat scarcer varieties. The pressure to sell is probably much less as I'm just trying to upgrade or fill a hole in my own collection.

Since I started puttering around on ebay, vcoins, etc. in the early 2000's, the number of coins (and probably anything else one can think of) has increased 10 fold or more...just guessing at that. Who knew there were that many Vicki and Newfie coins still in existence? Are there less collectors today? Maybe. It does seem that more people are embracing the giant internet garage sale.

Pillar of the Community
Pokermandude's Avatar
Canada
1192 Posts
 Posted 12/16/2015  12:22 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Pokermandude to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The answer is a HUGE "it depends".

For coins in a popular series, eye appealing, at a good price point, near full trends is still an accurate retail guide.

For coins suffering from any of the following: unpopular series, ugly, etc, you'd be lucky to get 40% of trends at retail.

Factor in the dealer's margin on those and you'll get wholesale offers anywhere from: no offer, 20% of trends to 85% of trends.

As a concrete example. Problem free 1925 nickels in VG sell extremely well at quite close to full trends. Higher grade 1925 5c pieces, even if they are nice, are slow/non-movers.
Pillar of the Community
Canada
5324 Posts
 Posted 12/16/2015  12:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add john100 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Those old coins from the BOC are a unique situation that many disagree with my views that this release will destroy the market place except for the new highest graded coin. Macdon's example surely shows how much out of date trends are out of reality.
Pillar of the Community
Canada
2845 Posts
 Posted 12/16/2015  12:47 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add wildflowerAB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
On the topic of spending money on a coin collection - I won't use the term "investing"....

I think the problem is that society today in general is very obsessed on short term gains. Buy a lotto ticket or go to the casino and become a millionaire tomorrow, get a good education and you'll get hired to a high level job tomorrow, don't bother saving up for something you need, just borrow and just get it tomorrow....... As a society we also seem rather discontent. We turn over cars, houses,....spouses -- to some even 5 to 10 years can seem like an eternity, boring, the yearn for something new, something different, we're constantly tempted in many different ways. (Dare I suggest the economy in general relies on a high level of frenzied spending behaviours.)

Coin collecting or any hobby was never intended to yield short term gains. By definition hobby is something enjoyable which we spend our leisure time doing. Similar to not buying for short term gains is the purchase of other things such as stocks, bullion or real estate, yet many people often believe they've stumbled upon a get rich scheme. The time horizon is most often suggested to be 10 years at a minimum in order not to lose money and hopefully break even. Hobbies that cost money definitely fall into the luxury spending category, so it continues to baffle me where the mindset that the ordinary person who knows little or nothing about the hobby can just start buying coins with a view to immediately sell at a profit comes from?

To add, I have great respect for coin dealers and the challenges they must face in today's business environment. I suspect ebay has been a double-edged sword. It's opened the door to increased exposure for the main stream market but it's also attracted a segment of short term churners with no overhead, thereby increasing the competition. It also makes me wonder if by virtue of the ease of ebay selling that existing collections are being sold that would perhaps otherwise been held onto by beneficiaries - thus increasing supply without increased demand. But what is different about the health of the hobby in general in Canada as opposed to the US?
New Member
On the Coin's Avatar
Canada
18 Posts
 Posted 12/16/2015  12:55 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add On the Coin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
In this day and age of low interest rates & countries printing money at will - any coin collection with silver & gold is an investment product. Be a buyer in the low market condition & seller when the market turns - BTW - it all revolves around the economic conditions in USA for us Canadians.
I drove to the big smoke Toronto and visited ICCS - dropped off 11 coins for grading. Can't wait to have back - more exciting than Christmas morning -- and truly finding CCF and all of you is a blessing...
Pillar of the Community
Canada
5324 Posts
 Posted 12/16/2015  1:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add john100 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Just have to ask, what was your first impression of ICCS, if you don't mind commenting.
Pillar of the Community
Canada
1461 Posts
 Posted 12/16/2015  1:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TheCoinHunter to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think the Canadian market in general is suffering and has gone through an adjustment over the past 9 years. Undoubtedly with online sales expanding, more coins became visible and prices had to suffer. Stagnant gold and silver prices don't help the market (they actually drive the numismatic market in many ways) either as does the lack of expendable income in this country. However of note is that the US market has showed some gains recently. Partially due to the strong US dollar. Also interesting (and I see this with stamps more right now but also with coins) is that many people that have retired recently are looking to return to hobbies they might have had when they were younger. With the baby boomers retiring and looking to keep busy, metals poised to rise and an economy that should improve at some point, may make the next 20 years in numismatics interesting.
Edited by TheCoinHunter
12/16/2015 1:05 pm
Pillar of the Community
doubleeagle59's Avatar
Canada
2495 Posts
 Posted 12/16/2015  1:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add doubleeagle59 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Just have to ask, what was your first impression of ICCS, if you don't mind commenting.


I hope this was not intended to start bashing ICCS.
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