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Gold & Silver: Is This It?

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Valued Member
United States
67 Posts
 Posted 01/31/2012  10:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add terrib to your friends list
That's awesome Coinvet! You've been blessed in the timing of your purchase and sell.
Pillar of the Community
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 02/01/2012  12:25 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list
Nice coin Vet, and forget the 25 grand you bought it all with, as 8 years later, that is like dust in the wind....

You figure 3000 times 43 is 129 grand, and 43 times 2000 is 86,000....

So you stand to clear 215 thousand Coinvet, I will say good timing are you freakin kidding me, that is fantastic!
Edited by Silverhawk74
02/01/2012 02:28 am
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10038 Posts
 Posted 02/01/2012  01:31 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list

Quote:
That's a stretch, especially when I can think of many reasons why people don't have money to spend on silver?


No, those of us who are older remember better times and the lessons they taught. When/if this takeover comes, the economy will tank worse than it ever has. The ensuing psychological factor will drive people to try to seek more security. It will be the second major round of economic upheaval in the past ~4.5 years. People versed in history/reality knew what was happening and were driven to PMs for a feeling of safety. The amazing heights which PMs reached say a lot to the reality of the trouble that has been caused.

PM markets are not in a vacuum, but reflect the reality of what people are facing. When/if this new system kicks in, the cost, admitted now even by some of the framers, will be absolutely astronomical - guess who will have to foot the bill unless Constitutionality is adhered to?

This will drive people back to PMs and the prices will rise.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 02/01/2012  6:23 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list
I agree, Earle. What a lot of people don't get is that PMs do not simply jump up in price. It is the value of currencies that PMs are priced in that is falling and making PMs look as if they are rising.

Historically, we can look back through the various decades and see this happening. I remember when decent bread was 5 loaves for a dollar. My parents remember when a loaf of bread cost a dime. Their parents remember it as a nickel, etc. A decent loaf of bread today is around $2.50 or so. Specialty breads are higher, up to $5 a loaf. I'm using bread as a common example here. There are many other things that have surged upwards in price as the dollar inflates away to... nothing? It is the way of all fiat currencies, so should not surprise any of us all that much. Those who WILL be surprised are those who have heard that owning some PMs is a good idea and can afford to do so but choose not to. At some point, it is likely that they will discover that they chose... poorly.
Valued Member
United States
410 Posts
 Posted 02/01/2012  6:49 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add JSH to your friends list

Quote:
Historically, we can look back through the various decades and see this happening. I remember when decent bread was 5 loaves for a dollar. My parents remember when a loaf of bread cost a dime. Their parents remember it as a nickel, etc. A decent loaf of bread today is around $2.50 or so. Specialty breads are higher, up to $5 a loaf.


I remember when an Apple IIe with 4 KB of RAM was $1300. Now you can get a computer with 2 GB of RAM for $299. Not everything has gone up in price.
Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 02/02/2012  6:19 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list
I don't believe that I said that everything has gone up in price. If we look at the averages, however, it is pretty clear that things in general do cost more today in absolute dollar terms than they did 10, 20, 30, and more years ago.

Having once owned an Apple ][ computer (not plus and not e), I know that they were fairly expensive back in their day. Remember when an Apple ][ floppy disk drive cost $600? Or the Apple ][ ProFiler 5 megabyte hard drive cost $2000? Thanks to Moore's Law, we no longer have such prices on the electronics we buy. I did like the comment that was made years ago, something about what a car would do and cost IF autos had made the same progress that computers had.
Valued Member
United States
410 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  12:31 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add JSH to your friends list
@Ed_B: You didn't say everything has gone up in price. I was simply pointing out something that has gone down significantly even it fixed dollars.

Telephone service is another item that has plummeted in price even in fixed dollars. I remember back in the 80's calling long distance was a very big deal in my family because at $0.20 / minute it really added up quick. We didn't call just to talk, you said what you needed to say and got off the phone.

Cars are interesting. Yes, we pay more but we get so much more as well. Today economy cars have features that weren't even available on luxury cars years ago. A modern minivan makes as much horsepower as an 80's Corvette and gets twice the fuel economy.

Five years ago I went from driving a 1961 Buick Skylark to a 2005 Toyota Prius. It is amazing what we take for granted now. For example we expect our car to start every time regardless of the weather. :)

It is interesting that you mention your parent remember when a loaf of bread was a dime. I recently read an article that said the ingredients in a loaf of bread on the shelf today only cost a dime. The rest is labor / shipping, advertising, profits, etc.
Previously Banned Member
107 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  12:49 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coinvet to your friends list
Yes Silverhawk74, your numbers are very close. Timing was on my side, but I did not spend $25000 in 2003 on silver without careful analysis of the market trends .... but luck and timing played their parts. However, there is still lots of opportunities to make some huge profits from silver ... especially silver coins ... but you have to buy the correct coins at the correct time and sell them at the correct time. But that is much easier than you may think. Fourteen months ago I picked a winner ... yes a modern 2011 coin that was a real winner ... I am selling 500 of those coins tomorrow at a net gain of 82.6% ..... I had predicted a 40% to 50% net gain. If you want more details just ask.
Rest in Peace
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  05:20 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list
Love more details...never too old to learn.
Valued Member
United States
122 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  10:29 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Big-byte to your friends list
All the above comments are good. I'd like to put in my Two Cents' worth here. It is frequently said that the biggest capital purchase that a normal family makes is the family home. However, families usually spend more than that on automobiles over the years. Autos are capital purchases. Let's not even talk about homes appreciating in value. That's a sore subject these days.
Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2012  7:53 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list

Quote:
Let's not even talk about homes appreciating in value.

It would be interesting to see a very detailed evaluation of home ownership as priced in ounces of gold for various 20 year time periods over the past 100 or so years. My thought is that home ownership as an investment is not nearly as rosy as it looks when calculated in inflating dollars. Personally, I do not consider my home as an investment. It's where I live and I have to live somewhere so it might as well be here. I like the personal rewards that come with home ownership and if I can break even or come close to that after all the expenses and inflation are figured in, then that will be great. I don't expect to make a fortune from selling my home in a couple of years, even though I do have a lot of equity in it. There will be some price appreciation but whether or not there is any value appreciation, who knows?
Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2012  7:59 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list

Quote:
I was simply pointing out something that has gone down significantly even it fixed dollars.

Yes, technology has made huge strides in reducing some prices. Computers and other electronics have probably benefited the most from this, so make good examples.


Quote:
I recently read an article that said the ingredients in a loaf of bread on the shelf today only cost a dime. The rest is labor / shipping, advertising, profits, etc.

That's probably true for large scale baking operations. As a bread baker myself, it costs me about a dollar to make a loaf of bread. That's less than half the store price plus it tastes great and is MUCH better bread. The specialty breads in some stores and in most bakeries are excellent but at $5 a loaf, they should be!
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10038 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2012  8:50 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list

Quote:
Five years ago I went from driving a 1961 Buick Skylark to a 2005 Toyota Prius. It is amazing what we take for granted now. For example we expect our car to start every time regardless of the weather. :)


I agree that we take a lot of tech for granted. But unfortunately the overall quality of materials used in workmanship is nowhere near what it used to be. The advances in the reliability area are better. But some people here might remember the days when people would deliberately bump their bumpers when parallel parking and neither car fell apart or needed bodywork! No one thought anything of this action b/c the cars were tough enough and the bumpers were even made for this purpose (hence the name). Just a (comparatively) small hit to a modern car totals it or requires thousands in repair work.


Quote:
I recently read an article that said the ingredients in a loaf of bread on the shelf today only cost a dime. The rest is labor / shipping, advertising, profits, etc.

Do not forget that a lot of cost nowadays is for insurance. The judges who have permitted sue-happy people to bring/win ridiculous cases have driven costs up tremendously. Since insurance companies have to pay out so much they raise their costs (the root of the problem with the healthcare issue).

The regional manager/friend at a local Burger King told me each Whopper patty costs them only 33 cents! The rest is labor/packaging/operating costs/and liability (a big chunk).

I do not know if it is true, but I heard there is another "stimulus" plan in the works. PMs should shoot through the roof if another one of these failed, fiat-based farces occurs. But if the politics of the next election change, I can see PMs falling.



How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash?
Download and read: Grading the graders
Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halves
https://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
Rest in Peace
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 02/05/2012  04:09 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list

Quote:
My thought is that home ownership as an investment is not nearly as rosy as it looks when calculated in inflating dollars.

Almost no investment is.

Home moanership has tangible and intangible benefits, making the calculation of value difficult to impossible. An $800 mortgage is about the same as $500 rent once you look at tax savings, and in x years, you own it. You also can pretty much do what you want with an owned house, without needing a landlord's approval. Improvements ultimately go into your pocket.
Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 02/06/2012  8:09 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list
Right on, Fredd. The primary difference between renting and buying a home is that the payments end when buying but not when renting. In the right circumstances it can pay to rent, such as when moving every 2-3 years for a job.

I also agree with Earle about cars. Years ago, lots of guys worked on their cars and kept them in pretty good condition. Cars could be tuned and worked on with simple tools. They didn't have 300 yards of rubber and plastic tubing under the hood for one thing. Now, you need some pretty specialized tools to do much of anything on a car. The good news is that the new cars don't generally need a lot of tuning or fiddling with. When they do need work, though, stand by to pull out your wallet, big-time! I guess this is progress.
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