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Has The Silver Bubble Peaked?

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Pillar of the Community
United States
1231 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2012  7:32 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add onejinx to your friends list
Considering he got them for face value, he can sell whenever he needs the money
Pillar of the Community
United States
808 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2012  10:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coinwatch to your friends list
To the OP, I'd suggest holding on unless he just needs the money right now.

IMHO, silver's not so much in a bubble as it's price is highly sensitive to the major economic problems facing our our nation and the world. What this may mean for your nephew is that he's likely to have several opportunities to sell over the coming months and years. Until they stop the deficit spending, make meaningful reductions in the national debt, and stop printing piles of money, silver's wild ride is far from over. Just my opinion, though.
Pillar of the Community
United States
2269 Posts
 Posted 05/05/2012  11:18 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Spider5689 to your friends list


Silver is going to be desirable for a while.
Pillar of the Community
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  01:45 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add traevin to your friends list
CW has it right. Best advice you'll get, IMO.
Valued Member
United States
212 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  02:24 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add schnauzer to your friends list
I'm with Coinwatch. Tell your nephew to put those quarters away in a safe place and to just forget about them. In a few months/years, he probably will be pleasantly surprised.
Pillar of the Community
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  08:51 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list
"If anyone watches this stuff closely would you please let me know"

I check out the spot prices once or twice a month....

to the board an I agree with all to hold out for some time for sure....

Edited by Silverhawk74
05/06/2012 08:52 am
Bedrock of the Community
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  11:01 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list
The American economy appears to be slowly recovering. Very slowly, investors are getting back into other forms of investment other than precious metals, which are seen as a safe haven in times of economic downturn.

The case can still be made for stimulating the economy by printing more money thus forcing the inflation rate upwards. In this case PM prices would keep pace with the inflation rate, but perhaps there will be no REAL increase in in the silver price above the inflation rate.

In this sort of scenario, which seems to be current, the silver price will be subject to normal industrial supply and demand conditions, with the inflation rate added on.

To me, the silver market seems to be behaving like that right now, and will do so for some years to come.

The two year silver price history chart probably gives the best picture of what is happening.
Edited by sel_69l
05/06/2012 11:13 am
Pillar of the Community
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  11:28 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add traevin to your friends list

Quote:
investors are getting back into other forms of investment other than precious metals, which are seen as a safe haven in times of economic downturn.


Sel,

Not trying to be disagreeable, I just want to make an observation. Gold & silver dropped like a rock during the darkest days of the Great Recession and only began recovering with the rise in stock market indices, starting around Mar. 2009. People should have been dumping cash in PMs, I agree. But that's not what happened, oddly enough. The "safe haven" seemed to be T-Bills, which was even odder to me. Never could figure it out, other than the possibility that central banks were working in concert to artificially keep PM prices low and fiat currencies above water.
Valued Member
Canada
62 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  11:44 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add hagbard to your friends list
traevin - maybe t-bill investors are taking things to the next logical step. Before they'd let T-Bills go into default, they'll be raiding your safety deposit boxes and taking out your gold and silver. Oh, and making transactions in such illegal. Just a guess.
Pillar of the Community
United States
808 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  12:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coinwatch to your friends list
sel, I appreciate your observation and your comments. Actually the MSM frequently stand more than ready to promote the idea of "recovery" every time the dollar briefly strengthens or there's less than horrible news about some aspect of the economy. I get it...we all want things to improve.

I think individuals and the media often mistake American economic recovery for what more accurately should be seen as America's economic resilience. To me, this view is far more important than the idea of a modest (and temporary) recovery because it shows how robust American's economy actually is, even when faced with crippling fiscal mismanagement and crushing debt.
Edited by coinwatch
05/06/2012 12:09 pm
Pillar of the Community
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  12:20 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add traevin to your friends list
1807-1814
1837-1844
1873-1879
1893-1898
1929-1941

What do these dates have in common? The answer is what gives me hope that we actually have a future.
Pillar of the Community
United States
808 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  12:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coinwatch to your friends list
traevin, solid observations.


Quote:
The "safe haven" seemed to be T-Bills, which was even odder to me. Never could figure it out...


Me either. The only two reasons that remotely makes sense of the flight to T-bills: 1)Conventional wisdom seeks the safety of t-bills because that's what it's always done in response to troubled times. 2) Contrarians flocked to t-bills out of fear that the housing crisis might trigger deflation. Neither action really addresses all of the possible ways things could have played out.
Pillar of the Community
Canada
3692 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  1:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Libertad to your friends list
Hagbard: The moment any branch of government tries to do that is the day that private property rights are dead. And believe me, they will be setting up the world for another big war.
Pillar of the Community
United States
808 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  1:41 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coinwatch to your friends list

Quote:
The answer is what gives me hope that we actually have a future.


Boom, bust (depression), recovery, repeat. The US economy is amazingly resilient.
Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2012  4:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list

Quote:
Boom, bust (depression), recovery, repeat. The US economy is amazingly resilient

That has been the pattern in the past but we have no idea if that will continue into the future. Fundamental economic conditions have changed considerably from "the old days". As one who has been around since the 1950s, I can vouch for this. Debt is a terrible burden, whether for an individual, a family, a community, or a government. Right now, we have a HUGE amount of debt that needs to be serviced. As the economy has slowed, it has become more and more difficult to service this growing debt with shrinking resources. If this trend does not change and soon, something will HAVE to give. There really isn't any other option. Because of the very different conditions today, it is quite possible that there will be an event or events that are unique in US history. It is very unlikely that these will be beneficial. Keep stacking, friends.
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