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Do You Think Silver Will Continue To Drop, Or Go Back Up?

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Valued Member
United States
239 Posts
 Posted 03/05/2013  10:01 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Jenger to your friends list
I think its safe to say buying silver right now at under $35/oz is a good deal.
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 Posted 03/05/2013  10:08 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add barryg to your friends list

Quote:
What did silver do percentage wise the last time the DOW hit all-time highs?


The problem is that there are many different factors that can affect silver prices, and you can't just look to one factor in order to make a prediction. Especially if you are only pointing to one past example.

If you could say something like, "every time the DOW goes up, silver prices fall," I'd think you might be onto something. But the fact is that sometimes PM prices follow the DOW and sometimes they do the opposite. Just because they did one thing the "last" time the DOW hit all-time highs doesn't mean squat unless you can say they do the same thing every time the DOW hits a new all-time high (or at least most of the time).
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 Posted 03/05/2013  12:34 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add yup7676 to your friends list
silver and gold are in a clear downtrend.

don't kid yourself, anyone who cant see whats happening is clearly hoping for too much and will, sadly, see a drop in value of their silver and gold purchases.

those who say one cant predict the direction of prices are clearly in denial.
Valued Member
United States
223 Posts
 Posted 03/05/2013  12:45 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add aandabooks to your friends list
I'm just pointing out a historical data point that may or may not be relevent in the present. When we last hit an all-time high on the dow, it only held for one or two days and then a huge freefall began. It was after this that a strong bull run began in silver/gold. No idea if it will happen again. I am just enjoying the buying opportunities at under $30. A few months ago I thought the days of buying under $30 were in the rearview mirror.

The other night my LCS put two different 2006 ASE sets in front of me but I am off of numismatics while we are sub $30. If we get back around $35 those ASEs might find a place in my collection.

I am a holder for the next 20-30 years. If I pay a buck or two more now per oz than if I wait, it will mean nothing to me in the future. If I were flipping silver, I would be inclined to wait and see if silver trends further down.
New Member
United States
6 Posts
 Posted 03/06/2013  08:04 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add ArmsControl to your friends list
The Silver prices we are seeing now are similar to the price in August 2012. That said it is a great time to buy. That doesn't mean you are going to cash in quick and you should not expect to. Imagine trying to generate any savings interest if you put money in the bank today and only intend it to be there 30 days. You dont stand to see much if anything from your investment nor should you.
Now buy Silver today at @28.50spot and wait until we see 34+spot again when the global economies(and subsequent demand) go back up and less hedge fund liquidation caused by an overly eager stock market and futures manipulation stop. Now you have a potential to see greater than 10% return. This isn't for the weak and timid. Fortune favors the bold and that couldn't be more true in the precious metals game.
We also have been seeing too much of the desparaging relationship in the Gold/Silver ratio. It isn't as it appears. Gold is a vanity commodity with no viable industrial application, unlike Silver.
Silver continues to be under valued, Similar to other subsidized commodities, who's price is manipulated.
Buy Low Sell High and keep stackin
Valued Member
United States
380 Posts
 Posted 03/06/2013  1:50 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Arcticsparky to your friends list
Most of the people here keep the majority of their PM's. So a couple dollars lower means nothing but another chance to buy more at less and add to the stack. Stackers will be the winners when the fat cats can't manipulate anymore because their overselling has caught up to them. I will buy at 26, 28, 30, 32, 34, 36, and so on, I don't give a crap about trends.
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 Posted 03/06/2013  6:12 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list

Quote:
but we all remember where that got the Hunt brothers

We do, Barry, but we also know that the Hunts were *outsiders* while all the gold and silver manipulators are *insiders*. There is a HUGE difference between these two classes. For one, the US Gov protects the insiders and criminalizes the outsiders.

As to silver and gold prices? I care not. I just continue to buy what I can on a routine basis and don't worry about the volatility. Sometimes I get a little more for my money and sometimes a little less. This is far less important to me than the fact that I do get it. Ounces matter more to be than a couple of percent in fat prices. I have long since quit worrying about buying in at the bottom or selling out at the top. It's not going to happen. What IS happening, however, is my stack is growing nicely over time and every dollar converted to PMs is now pretty much immune to inflation. The only way to win the inflation game is not to play it.
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 Posted 03/08/2013  02:30 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list
Silver is good for you Barry and Ed as you both can afford to sit on it til the cows come home....

Me different story always sitting in the short and pmz in the short is a recipe for failure....

I often wonder why some ebay vendors sit on something forever and never move it. I sent a guy an email about 20 1:24 die cast Tony Stewart cars he had been wanting 350 for and I first noticed his auction over a YEAR ago. I said how bout sell the lot to me for 200 (10 each) and let me sell these at 25 to 30 each. Not gonna get rich after fees but I sell these like hotcakes should be no problem, move some product. I will pass he replies....

Fine let them set I say forever, since they been up for sell since before Noah even scratched out a drawing of the Ark in the sand with a stick. Fact is some folk just don't need the money and could care less if it sells. If they can't get what they what, they let it set glady....

The key is to go solo. Whats that mean? Avoid lot sells as EVERYONE under GOD's green Earth looks for deals in lots....

For three years I tried to sell BIGS and LOTS and I did as I have often stated here huge silver lots to many. Problem, it cost a ton to make a little or even break even or lose money when you still gotta sell when spot falls....

EVERYBODY can afford 25 to 35 bucks for a SMALL buy be it 1 oz of junk silver or a 1:24 die-cast race car or whatever before a 10 oz silver bar for example, something many must adjust and move things, save and plan to acquire. So my point there is a formula for smalls for sale always bought in LARGE lots for WAY less price then you could EVER find pms in wins out in long run....

I am running close to 200 auctions now and I sell 4 per day on average. Way more then I ever did that with bigs. Probably could do this in pms as well if I stick with Morgans or Eagles simply sold solo. Or like junk silver lots like my good buddy TBK sells....

No better time to buy in then now as 28 seems to be the bottom. even though 25 would trigger a buy in me I figure....
Edited by Silverhawk74
03/08/2013 02:38 am
Valued Member
United States
380 Posts
 Posted 03/08/2013  10:43 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Arcticsparky to your friends list
Look at the huge dump and buy that happened this morning. Someone just made allot of money.
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 Posted 03/08/2013  10:57 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add barryg to your friends list
Oh, yeah. I was thinking another buying opportunity was coming up after watching it drop sharply this morning. But then, just about exactly at 10:00 EST, the prices zoomed back up above $29...

Ah well!
Valued Member
United States
380 Posts
 Posted 03/08/2013  11:07 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Arcticsparky to your friends list
Whoever is carrying the weight dumped it again. It looks like they're dumping mostly gold.
Edited by Arcticsparky
03/08/2013 11:09 am
Pillar of the Community
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 Posted 03/08/2013  4:57 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Brucec to your friends list
DOW what goes up goes down big time:)
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 Posted 03/08/2013  8:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add macmercury to your friends list
The crystal ball is foggy, but I buy in interval also when I have extra cash and sell when I am short, don't really care too much about prices dropping either. Its all relative in the long runs.

Edit: I am also a collector, so I buy lots of so called 'junk silver' and searched for varieties and error, sometime I come out ahead or sometime breaks even not finding anything interesting, it seems that this is a better way for me in the long runs.
Edited by macmercury
03/08/2013 8:13 pm
Valued Member
United States
280 Posts
 Posted 03/08/2013  9:56 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jlgaudlitz95 to your friends list
I hope it goes back up: I have a lot of silver from CRHing, and I want to be able to sell it for a good price to buy some nice coins.
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 Posted 03/12/2013  3:37 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add barryg to your friends list
Semi-significant jump today, with gold hovering just below $1600 and silver hanging out around $29.30 all day long.

I'm really glad I made some purchases while silver was below $29!
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