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Replies: 19 / Views: 4,241 |
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4692 Posts |
As Warren Buffett once said, "Buy straw hats in winter."
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Rest in Peace
United States
4078 Posts |
Quote: As Warren Buffett once said, "Buy straw hats in winter."  Luv it !!!
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2815 Posts |
Quote: Some of my best coins I bought durring a soft market where everyone was pulling out their hair and wearing sakcloth and ashes crying about the death of the hoby. Gotta love a 'soft' market.
Yeah, this always makes me laugh. This hobby always goes through these ebbs and flows, highs and lows. Personally, I like a soft market. I'm not a super rich collector who has lots of money to lose. I enjoy the hobby no matter how the market is doing. Yay me!  I think the best advice in the article is the BE MORE SELECTIVE part. You can't underestimate the power of eye appeal. It means more to me than a grade.
Edited by Darth Morgan 12/20/2014 4:54 pm
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Pillar of the Community
United States
3486 Posts |
"Anyone who has spent years building a great collection knows the effort required."
For once I will ignore my guideline and offer advice: TRUST THE TRUTH of this! Even if your goal is modest you perhaps already know which coins just seldom appear at a coin show and never seem to appear in a local coin shop. This will not change. There is little chance of rolls of rare and scare dates coming on the market.
Look - those who bemoan the market are less collectors and more promoters. Think of the real estate market: "Why rent when you can own?" and "Choice rental properties available" are shouted BY THE SAME AGENTS!
If you already know coins you know the wisdom of taking the L O N G and prudent course of action. And if you do not as yet know coins well, well stay with the CCF and learn. Cooler heads are here to allay your concerns and offer gentle advice.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
655 Posts |
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
2363 Posts |
Thanks Tbone I'll follow my strategy that works in the stock market 'buy low and sell high' or is it 'buy high and sell low' 
Member ANA and EAC "You got to lose to know how to win". Dream On by Aerosmith
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1566 Posts |
Knowledge is power. Great article, thanks.
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts |
I really think this article is like so many others. Yes lots of truth to it but then again, similar info always appears for coins. Yes the market goes up and down, same with most things.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1750 Posts |
I don't worry too much about the market. I buy my coins because I am genuinely interested in the series I collect. I actually wish gold would drop so double eagles would be more affordable, for instance.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
3843 Posts |
Interesting article, however if the decline in the hobby is as bad as some predict I doubt that much of this advice will make much difference. There is a tremendous amount of material coming onto the market as the baby boomer generation begins to liquidate their assets. There is a respected dealer in my area that has been seeing an increase in longtime collections being dispersed. Good stuff too like Draped Bust, Capped Bust, Seated, and Old Copper being sold in bulk. Hopefully once it gets back from grading I'll get a shot at purchasing a few pieces from their most recent acquisition.
Personally I think that it is important to purchase coins that have lots of eye appeal, especially in 19th century coinage since unattractive coins greatly outnumber nice coins. Coins that have been cleaned, overly dipped, or are just unattractive will likely trade at a much steeper discount to premium quality coins if there is less demand overall.
Edited by Joe2007 12/21/2014 02:45 am
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Pillar of the Community
861 Posts |
Soft coin market? lol. Look at the RECORD breaking prices Heritage is getting for coins over the past 6 months. Apparently, the bidders at the Heritage auctions must have missed this news.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
3343 Posts |
Two weeks makes for a soft market? It takes decades for the coin market to change IMO. On the up side, small branch mints, VAMs, high MS states - none of those were of much interest to collectors 50 years ago. On the downside, cleaned coins, full coin books and classic commemoratives have waned.
The only thing that affects the coin market much in the short term is bullion. If it's down it takes gold and silver collectible coins with it. Not prized rarities, but everything else. It's a good time to buy.
"Two minutes ago I would have sold my chances for a tired dime." Fred Astaire
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Pillar of the Community
861 Posts |
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Pillar of the Community
United States
937 Posts |
Quote: Look at the RECORD breaking prices Heritage is getting for coins over the past 6 months This are also record breaking coins that come on the market once every 10 to 30 years. This is a VERY small part of the market and does not and cannot reflect the overasll market. Quote: Two weeks makes for a soft market? It takes decades for the coin market to change IMO The market has been stale for more than two weeks. I have been tracking coins that I have needed for years and over the last few months and have noticed a decline in the quides and in the LCS. Decades? Active market trends can be measured in days or even hours. Quote: Over the 2014 year, coins have been the 2nd best investment(up 10% this year), I have seen this and I cannot where they got this number but with spectacular auctions that have been held this year if the researcher weighted their research to the high end investor grade coins than I am not surprised that they got such an increase. If they weighted the research to colecter grades from say 1850 to 1950 we would be hearing different numbers. Remember that report was geared to investors not average coin collectors. ALSO, A soft market does not mean a declining market. All it means is that it is not growing as quickly as it was recently. One needs to remember that the terms that the investment people use all have very specific meanings and it is not always what a layman would think. I even listened to one radio 'financal expert' who could not give the definition of a recession when he was asked. But then again I would bet that if one asked one hundred people how the inflation index was measured that 95 of them would give the answer for how the consumer price index is measured and not know the difference. So I give little creadance to media 'finance experts'.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
992 Posts |
I think collectors and investors should not even be concerned about a 'soft market', it's not going to stay that way, if it even exists. It's an opportunity to get better quality for your coin budget, if nothing else.
To paraphrase a noted dealer in postage stamps, 'Valuable collections are built over decades by knowledgeable buyers spending significant sums of money.'
Unless you intend on selling in the next few months, let the decades work in your favor.
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