| Author |
Replies: 23 / Views: 2,596 |
Page 2 of 2
|
|
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
3345 Posts |
Well because the value of gold here is relative to the value of the US Dollar, in that it takes more dollars to buy the same amount of gold as it did before, and the GOV'T is flooding the economy with paper, it's entirely possible. But only in a crash.
|
|
Pillar of the Community
 United States
4618 Posts |
Just like the old joke. A man wakes up from 30 years in a coma. He ask the nurse if they have a pay phone, because he has to call his stock broker! So she take him in a wheelchair to the phone and swipes her credit card for him and dials the number he has for his broker. The broker says "Your GM stock is worth $400,000,000, your Ford stock is worth $500,000,000 and your AT&T stock is worth just over ONE billion dollars." The guy says "Well, that's Okay... I am old now, but I'm RICH!" Just then the operator breaks in and says, "I'm sorry, but you'll have to deposit another $25,000,000 for the next 3 minutes please." ***If I hit enter on this post, PLEASE forgive me.  ***
ANA ID: 3203813 - CONECA ID: N-5637 Clean a coin that may be worth collecting? Please DON'T! When in doubt, leave it dirty!! 
|
|
Valued Member
 175 Posts |
Theirs a good chance $25,000 wont happen but its fun to think about. 
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
3670 Posts |
Great read, and if humans don't wipe themselves out and survive long enough, 25,000 gold may be a real possibility, but I really doubt I will be alive to see it....
Five to ten thousand an oz. gold, now that is a real possibility if one does the math on the world debt situation, perhaps way sooner than many think in all our lifetimes. Compare it to a house of cards, no matter how solid the foundation, or steady the hand, eventually it will collapse upon itself....
Edited by Silverhawk74 08/17/2011 12:42 am
|
|
Rest in Peace
United States
9104 Posts |
 Oops. I goofed. Nixon released the GSA bux. 
|
|
Rest in Peace
United States
9104 Posts |
$25,000 gold is meaningless unless seen in relation to the prices of everything else.
|
|
Moderator
 Australia
16849 Posts |
Assuming that we are actually talking about a rise in value of gold, rather than a collapse in the dollar, then no, gold won't hit $25,000. Gold has a ceiling, above which price the extraction of gold from seawater becomes economically viable, which should (in theory) freeze gold at the extraction price, since the supply of gold from that source would last for millenia. We have several technologies waiting in the wings for it right now, it just costs $10,000 to $20,000 an ounce.
Don't say "infinitely" when you mean "very"; otherwise, you'll have no word left when you want to talk about something really infinite. - C. S. Lewis
|
|
Pillar of the Community
 United States
2448 Posts |
Yes but right after that someone will produce the replicator and it'll be able to produce all PMs at the atomic level making it all moot.
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts |
Quote: Yes but right after that someone will produce the replicator and it'll be able to produce all PMs at the atomic level making it all moot. Perhaps. But they better be prepared for some serious arguments about the validity of this approach from Dr. Heisenberg as well as one heckuva big electric bill!  As to $25,000 per oz. gold... What do you suppose anyone who was used to $21.67 an oz. or even $35 an oz. gold would have thought about $1780 gold? I am sure that they would have thought it impossible. Consider this... gold was $250 an oz. back in 2000. That was 11 years ago, so not exactly ancient history. Since then, gold prices have zoomed to about $1780... more than a 700% increase. So... what would happen to the price of gold if it were to go up another 700%? We would be talking about $12,500 gold, that's what. If something has already happened, there is no reason why it cannot happen again. Whether or not it actually will is unknown... but it could happen.
|
|
Valued Member
United States
397 Posts |
Sure, we may see gold that high - but it will still be worth the same amount in purchasing power. There are stories of people using wheelbarrows to carry cash to the grocery store just to buy bread in Germany when it went through a round of hyperinflation.
6 ounces of gold will buy a decent used car. If gold goes to $25K/oz, the same 6 ounces will probably still buy a decent used car.
I've never believed that any precious metal is a good long-term investment. It is an excellent way to protect value in the long term though. Short-term? My crystal ball broke a long time ago. I wouldn't try to time the stock market, much less the PM market.
|
|
Valued Member
 175 Posts |
Lets say the dollar does chrash....what would an oz of gold actually be able to buy you?
|
|
Rest in Peace
United States
9104 Posts |
Basically what a thousand dollar bill will get you today.
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
3294 Posts |
Yeah, and if the dollar has crashed, you might have trouble getting your $999 worth of change on that can of beans if all you have is a 1oz AGE. That is one reason why silver is a popular choice.
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
830 Posts |
You could always cut a little sliver of gold off the edge of the 1 oz AGE to pay for the can of beans. 
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts |
Quote: Sure, we may see gold that high - but it will still be worth the same amount in purchasing power. Which is probably THE best reason to own gold.  The best measurement of inflation that I have seen lately comes from the shadow stats web site. They are showing 2011 inflation at about 11%. If we use the Rule of 72 in a backwards calculation, it shows that in less than 7 years our dollars will be worth 1/2 what they are today in purchasing power. Imagine the same effect after 20-30 years. That does not make saving up a bunch of dollars for retirement look all that attractive.  This reminds me of the old sci-fi shows where a guy plots and schemes to steal a bunch of jewels. He manages that and then takes them to the future in his time machine, planning to live in splendor for the rest of his days. The only problem is that he then discovers that jewels are no longer rare or valuable. Advanced technology can make pretty rocks very cheaply. They DO have laws about temporal thieves, though, so he ends up in prison. Doh! 
|
|
Page 2 of 2
|
Replies: 23 / Views: 2,596 |
Page 2 of 2
|