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Replies: 74 / Views: 27,397 |
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Moderator
 Canada
10460 Posts |
You don't need a crystal ball... to predict the future, look to the past: 1. Anyone remember when the 1973 large bust was discovered? At the peak of that hype, PL sets were selling north of $800 dollars (don't forget to factor in the inflation of what $800 then was worth in today's dollars). Now, if you are lucky, you can snag a nice 1973 PL large bust set for less than $200. 2. Want a more recent example? Queen Mother coin, now dealers offer deep discounts, just to get rid of it. 3. RCM annual report gold maple cent (see my avatar). These used to sell north of $90, now you can one for 1/3 of that, despite a very low mintage. 4. Medal of Bravery enamelled effect dollar. Despite a mintage of 5000, you can now pick these up at issue price, if you are patient enough. I could go on.., my point is that new issues stimulate a feeding frenzy. Once those collectors who "had to have it now" decide to move these items several years after issue, they almost always lose money. The profits made on these items now, will not happen as these items age. The small collection of NCLT I have, is because I either like the coin or the theme has a special meaning to me - not because it is an investment. The only NCLT I ever made money on (long term) was silver and gold maple leaf coins.
"Discovery follows discovery, each both raising and answering questions, each ending a long search, and each providing the new instruments for a new search." -- J. Robert OppenheimerContent of this post is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported License. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses...0/deed.en_USMy eBay store
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
2366 Posts |
@Bibo: NCLT stands for Non-Circulating Legal Tender. IE it's not a coin you should ever find in your change at the store. But it does have 'legal' status as money as it has a denomination stuck on it. Examples are the $20 silver & crystal coins, the NHL team logo loonies, the $3 birthstone silver coins etc. The denomination is largely irrelevant although there is a general correlation between the face value of the coin and the actual value of the coin. IE a $50 gold coin contains more gold than a 50 cent gold coin. The mint has to put a value on it to make it the LT part of NCLT and most of the values are largely historical. IE a $50 gold coin may contain $2k worth of gold at today's prices and sell for $2.5k. In the future the coins should maintain, as a minimum, their base metal value plus usually a small premium because they are a coin with a guaranteed metal content.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2408 Posts |
Bibo and tocoins, I understand your confusion about Non-Circulating Legal Tender coins, or NCLT's. They are Non-Circulating for sure because you'd never expect them to show up in your pocket change. Some proof or PL coins do show up sometimes in circulation but these coins come from broken sets and pass as regular coins (caribou, beaver, yawn, etc.) though they look much nicer... a cost a lot more. FYI, even the best collectors cannot distinguish between regular business strikes and some NC coins released in sets. To better illustrate this, I quote a paragraph from Charlton 63rd Edition, Foreword xiii: "[since 1968], the difference between circulating and non-circulating began to blur. We have a problem in that a collector who wishes mint state business strikes for their collection cannot distinguish mint state uncirculated coins from those removed from packaged sets issued by the Mint." Imagine this: if collectors can't tell the difference... you bet that ordinary people absolutely cannot. So then, some NCLTs are in fact "ANCLT" - or Almost NCLT. You could redeem some cash value at your local cafe.  NCLTs are Legal in the sense that the production is authorized by the government of Canada. That just means you can sell them on ebay. Some fantasy coins, close cousins to NCLTs are also sold on ebay. And thanks to a couple of zealots, manufacturing of Canadian silver COPIES (stamped "COPY") are now officially banned from ebay, so guess what... there will be a flood of them now... without the "COPY" to help folks like me tell the difference. But we digress. So the Legality of NCLT is well established - for now. The part that isn't quite clear about NCLT is the "Tender" portion. Remember the $5 and $10 1976 Olympic coins? You could 'tend' them all you wanted, nobody would take them. Not even the banks. For that reason, NCLT isn't money. But what is money? I wonder... Just like a penny, large or small, a small silver 5 cent or silver/nickel 50 cent... or silver/nickel dollar... To a certain extent, have they not become non-circulating legal tender also?
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2408 Posts |
SPP- I agree with you and speaking of inflation it is interesting to note that any regular quality circulation coins of the 30's would be worth more today if invested, rather than collected. In fact, calculating even conservative average 4-yr CD returns $50 yields more value today than a silver $1 1948 purchased back in 1970.
Of course... the equation is different if you "happened" to find a 1948 silver dollar...
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New Member
Canada
20 Posts |
canadian_coins : "You could 'tend' them all you wanted, nobody would take them. Not even the banks. " I will have to verify this with a mint rep the next time I call them. The bank part kinda annoys me. To my understanding the lowest a NCLT coin can get is its face value. Isn't that what they are advertising for those $20 for $20?
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
862 Posts |
for your night reading  : http://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/acts/C-52/7. (1) A coin is current for the amount of its denomination in the currency of Canada if it was issued under the authority of (a) the Royal Canadian Mint Act; ... 8. (1) Subject to this section, a tender of payment of money is a legal tender if it is made (a) in coins that are current under section 7; the following applies to 20 for 20: (2.1) In the case of coins of a denomination greater than ten dollars, a payment referred to in subsection (1) may consist of not more than one coin, and the payment is a legal tender for no more than the value of a single coin of that denomination. "Legal tender" must be accepted for payment of a debt, but not, for any other reason. This is why shops can refuse certain denominations if they want; there is no debt to be paid. Restaurants where you pay after the meal, on the other hand, would have to accept this coin as payment. http://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/...9/index.html2. In this Act, "non-circulation coin" means a coin composed of base metal, precious metal or any combination of those metals that is not intended for circulation and that is listed in Part 1 of the schedule; my understanding not intended doesn't mean cannot, right?
Edited by SilverBug 06/01/2012 03:04 am
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Valued Member
Canada
396 Posts |
You guys are so resourceful and helpful!
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Valued Member
 Canada
207 Posts |
I got this from a canadian_coins post a while back: https://goccf.com/t/79692&whichpage=7#649215Quote: They have developed a numismatic coin exchange program whereby individuals are able to go to authorized participating dealers and distributors to obtain face value of the numismatic coins they hold. The dealers can then avail themselves of an exchange arrangement with the mint for the face value equivalent of these coins in new numismatic products.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2408 Posts |
The notion of debt is interesting, as portrayed with the meal situation. I recall a member of this forum had his $20 for $20 refused at a coffee shop.
Regardless, the long term value of NCLT seems to be on the downward side, as the excitement wanes after the initial public offering is out. Just like the stock market, it is the expectation that is driving demand/price more than anything else. Case in point: the whole secrecy surrounding the MC and associated information related to each new NEW release underscore this phenomenon.
This adds to the downward trend of NCLT because pricing is jacked up right out of the gate.
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
650 Posts |
I also play the patience game collected 100.00 gold for gold value in most cases 75% of issue price
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Valued Member
Canada
348 Posts |
Glass Ladybug now worth $1000. Wow!
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Pillar of the Community
 Canada
5400 Posts |
Long term outlook for 99.5 per cent of these recycled piece de junk, same as a first class voyage on the Titanic .......a lose, lose , situation! The RCM is now up to about one issue a day. What a joke!
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
867 Posts |
@ Pacific coin Please tell us what you really think about RCM coins. 
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
2984 Posts |
Quote: Glass ladybug is now worth $1000. Wow! Now? That coin has been selling for $800-$1000 for the last two years. Using this coin as an example of long term value is very poor. How many other NCLT coins that have sold for 7x issue price? Zero. 99.99% of the thousands of NCLT through the last few decades can be found at issue or discounted prices. I see Colonial Acres are having another one of their frequent discounted NCLT coins sales. http://www.colonialacres.com/m/cont...ntent_id=247
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Pillar of the Community
 Canada
5400 Posts |
@ numoose! I really love RCM coins................the high grade, eye appeal, 1908-1968 stuff, especially high grade ,pretty toned dollars and fifty cents. The NCLT stuff of today is as irritating as a pimple on a boil! Ouch!. We recently had a guy offer us a lot he wants to sell...............he paid over 400 K!! I think he is still crying at our offer! I am still crying too , tears of laughter!
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Replies: 74 / Views: 27,397 |