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Replies: 101 / Views: 11,056 |
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Pillar of the Community
United States
667 Posts |
You do not have to go back that far to see paranoia. Y2K was to change the world as we knew it. People stocked up on guns, ammo, generators you name it. And yes they hoarded junk silver by the ton, well not ton but a heck of a lot of it.
There is no harm for preparing for some civil un-rest just as we prepare for long periods of electrical outages that we get here on the farm that can last sometimes a few weeks at a time if the winter is really bad.
However if everyone suddenly had no food or what ever then I'm sure my well stocked home defended with my ARs would fall fast. A better plan would be to equip your self very light and learn how to live on the land and move away from people as far as you can get.
As for would I take gold and silver for food and water which if I'm not over run I would have more than I could ever use. Well heck yes. Now that is provided people just don't walk up and take cows that will have to go in the pasture sometimes. They may contaminate my spring or knock down the windmill for the well thus I have no water.
My point is your not going to outlast the type of event your talking about by stocking up more than you can carry. You can carry more pms than food, water and ammo.
History as shown that the extreme events that can happen again you can survive and some form of PM is good to have on hand and will be accepted for payment of things that you need.
Oh well it is fun debating and talking about it but I think we are just on opposite ends on this one.
Edited by mkfarm 10/11/2012 12:50 pm
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Basically the point is that if your primary or sole goal is to prepare for such an event putting thousands and thousands into PMs for such an event isn't the best planning. Having a bit is good but you dont need a closet or garage full just for that. If you end up spending close to a 100k or more stocking up on PMs for such an event that money could have built a bunker somewhere. PMs will have value, but other things will be more valuable. People wont care about money until they know they can start replacing food. At the very least that will mean some crops need to be planted and harvested and once they know they can do it then youll start to see a money system come back into play. Humans lived quite a while before developing money. Without food and water nothing else will matter. PMs may in fact be worthless for a period of time after such an event, but not forever. I dont think I've seen anyone try and say theyll be worthless for good, its just that a leg of venison or some mres will be more desirable than money until you get to the point of society getting over the shock and starting to reform. Quote: Why you all have so much chez tied up in pmz verses putting it ALL into guns, food, water, land, ammo, etc. then if you feel its all gonna be worthless.... I dont think itll be worthless, just that there far better values for the money if youre planning for that. What you can buy now with that money will be more than the silver will bring back. If you have other reasons for getting silver that comes into play too. Personally I like silver coins so I get them. Quote: That we've somehow reached some exceptional point in our existence that the rules of, well, everything, simply don't apply to us. The sheer hubris of such thinking is astounding. Its not huberis its just understanding how society has changed. We dont have a past comparison of a technology dependent society falling apart since most of the things we now rely on were created in the last 20-30 years max. Quote: A better plan would be to equip your self very light and learn how to live on the land and move away from people as far as you can get. 100% agree. Quote: You can carry more pms than food, water and ammo The question becomes though will the PMs you can carry bring back more food water ammo then you could have carried. At least for the first year when panic is still ripe I would say no. As time goes on and people adjust and supplies normalize as new things are set up I would say then PMs will see their usage greatly increased.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1903 Posts |
I think we have lost sight of why currency was made of precious metals. It has really nothing to do with the "value" of the metal, and at its core was a counterfeit measure. Because you couldn't just walk down the street and pick up a hand full of silver or gold it made for a good way to prevent fakes. Gold is rarer than silver, hence the coins made from it were higher value because you would make darn sure your highest value currency was made from the most counterfeit resistant material. Silver was chosen for lower denominations because it was more common, thereby not as secure, and you had enough around to make a lot of coins out of it. I mean really...let's say there was a big old lump of silver that appeared in your backyard today...what would you do with it.....sell it to a melt operation right!? What would they do with it....make coins and bars out of it for resale. Jewelry as well, but jewelry is just simply wearable, portable wealth. Gold and silvers biggest intrinsic values are that it is easy to identify, rare, durable, and doesn't corrode. If any other metals had these same properties it would have been used for coins instead. So like I said....gold and silver were used because they made good coins...I really don't see why we feel (during an industrial collapse where "industrial use" for PMs is a non-issue) PMs would have any use other than a counterfeit prevention measure. That would be the only remaining intrinsic value that gold/silver would have. But what would for sure be the ultimate counterfeit prevention is simply direct barter. If we entered ( for whatever reason ) into a barter economy....it would be my estimate....at least a decade before "representative" bartering I.e. currency, would reestablish itself.
Edited by unholyroller 10/11/2012 3:10 pm
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1391 Posts |
Quote: I find it novel how people keep thinking that "today" is somehow different from the rest of human history. That we've somehow reached some exceptional point in our existence that the rules of, well, everything, simply don't apply to us. The sheer hubris of such thinking is astounding.  People who are not into history easily default to the position that "today" is different because of x, y or z. Chronological snobbery is part of our zeitgeist.
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Quote: People who are not into history easily default to the position that "today" is different because of x, y or z. Chronological snobbery is part of our zeitgeist. Im very interested in history and enjoy it very much. I would be very interested to hear how electrical dependency can be represented with what happened in roman times or the ancient world as a whole. Id also be very interested for you to show how the national supply lines depended on electrical machines were represented. Or how international aid which is currently now available with being able to get anywhere in the world in under 24 hours is comparable to taking over 3 months to cross the atlantic. But I think I'm most curious about how the electronic conversion of all records and a lot of functions with the computer age can be represented. You can learn things from history. Thinking everything is applicable and society has drastically changed with technology however is more of finding the conclusion you want and working backwards to explain how. The number of things done today that dont involve a computer or electricity can be counted on one hand.
Edited by basebal21 10/11/2012 3:46 pm
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts |
Quote: I have to disagree with that. This time would in fact be very different than any other time in history. There arent a whole lot of examples of a society just completely falling apart, usually an invading power just came in and over took the old one. Why am I not surprised? lol Sure the causes of the current and future scenarios may very well be different but the results may be very similar. The human animal has 100,000 years of animal behavior, covered in 10,000 years of barbarian behavior, topped off with about 700 years of civilized behavior. Various groups have certainly exhibited throwback behavior and have been dealt with accordingly. As to societies just falling apart, I submit that any prior society that did fall apart probably did not bother to record the event for posterity. We also do not know that our society will just fall apart. It might, then again it might not. It's very likely to be different from what we have today but in what way, none of us knows. I'm reminded of the phrase, "all enemies, foreign and domestic". Could be that we have plenty of domestic enemies to accomplish all manner of severe problems, so foreign enemies might not be needed. Quote: Oh well it is fun debating and talking about it but I think we are just on opposite ends on this one. Indeed so, MK, and that is fine. When a SHTF scenario unfolds, we are likely to have ALL of the proof needed as to whether or not any of us got it right. Not that we'll care, of course.
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Quote: As to societies just falling apart, I submit that any prior society that did fall apart probably did not bother to record the event for posterity. We also do not know that our society will just fall apart. It might, then again it might not. It's very likely to be different from what we have today but in what way, none of us knows. Its true it may not fall apart completely, but to me thats what SHTF is. There probably were societies that just fell apart and no one was writing it down. To me the HUGE difference that cannot be ignored is that in the last 20 years weve become entirely technology dependent. You literally cant do anything without a machine or electricity. That kind of dependence has never been seen before. Without power nothing we have works. The Romans had technology and aqueducts but none of it required power. So while their society may have fallen to foreign powers, their equipment was all unaffected. Thats what makes this different to me. If the power grid went down or something like that wed be left with nothing working which hasnt been seen before.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
667 Posts |
I believe if what you are talking about - technology then with out a doubt yes PM's will be very important.
People will get by heck the world will get buy, though your checking account may take a long time to get figured out.
Food certainly will be available though you may not be able to eat things like bananas year round. But food will be plentiful. It may take a short time but even during he black plague people found a way not to miss a planting even though they had far greater problems than no technology.
Even if we had a long term problem in distribution of fuel people will get by and again PM's will be very important.
You are very short sighted on the human race. Though I can see a stinky New York City when the sewage will not flow but they will find a way to develop a solution.
Getting buy is what we as human do well we have a long history of doing it and doing it well. During this time I will take PM's over dollars any day.
There might be a benefit - banks will no longer have the info on how much I owe them and since the post office will not have fuel to deliver a bill it will not matter.
My point is this is far less of a problem than people dropping dead by the thousands each day.
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Valued Member
United States
161 Posts |
When I think of a financial collapse I think of the confederate states. Those in the South with silver and gold could still purchase goods after the fall of the South.
I can't imagine a collapse where the entire world is in chaos unless we are talking about an all out nuclear war with no winner. Anything else will just be a changing of the guard. Should we find ourselves in a post-apocalyptic world then gold/silver won't have much real value until society is rebuilt but it will certainly have more value than your checkbook.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1903 Posts |
Simple....katrina.....did you see anyone in the area trying to "work through things" no...they huddled around a non functioning sports arena pleading for others to help. 40,000 people can get a lot done when they work together regardless of circumstances but when the SHTF there...what did people do....looted, robbed, and stole. Did they work together to make things better...no, did they trade silver and gold no....did they shoot at each other...yes. Katrina is the best example of our recent history and what happens when the SHTF. No speculation or errors in which society in the past compares. The Katrina disaster bears out to me that PMs have zero bearing on surviving societal collapse...period.
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Quote: Simple....katrina.....did you see anyone in the area trying to "work through things" no...they huddled around a non functioning sports arena pleading for others to help. 40,000 people can get a lot done when they work together regardless of circumstances but when the SHTF there...what did people do....looted, robbed, and stole. Did they work together to make things better...no, did they trade silver and gold no....did they shoot at each other...yes. Katrina is the best example of our recent history and what happens when the SHTF. No speculation or errors in which society in the past compares. The Katrina disaster bears out to me that PMs have zero bearing on surviving societal collapse...period.  It may be different in smaller towns but for metro areas and cities there wont be civility for a while. It took the army to restore order there. Once orders restored money has value but not till then. If were talking a governmental collapse like this itll be years before order starts to get naturally sorted out. The military and cops wont be out there getting shot at for nothing and will be worried about their own friends and family. More than likely theyll stick together as well
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Bedrock of the Community
Australia
21788 Posts |
If your investment - PM's or otherwise- is not able to make a nett profit after inflation, fees and tax, don't bother.
If everybody invests in guns and ammo, and society breaks down you have what is commonly known as civil war. Everybody looses a great deal and some loose their life, even though they may be well armed. History is studded with such tragedy.
So unless you are able to buy and sell guns and ammo for trade and / or investment, perhaps they are not a good investment, maybe PM's better.
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Moderator
  United States
6563 Posts |
Quote: The Katrina disaster bears out to me that PMs have zero bearing on surviving societal collapse...period. Exactly! Quote: So unless you are able to buy and sell guns and ammo for trade and / or investment, perhaps they are not a good investment, maybe PM's better. I have several guns that are extras solely for the purpose of trading. For me as a collectors of firearms I do it as a hobby and an investment. It's just like coins. If it can be done right then you can turn a nice profit. But when SHTF a cheapo handgun will be worth it's weight in gold for food. This topic got way more interesting then I thought it would 
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Pillar of the Community
United States
3670 Posts |
My dad is a real pessimistic, via Mr. glass half empty guy lol....
A real hermit of sorts, not much a fan of humans, holds most of them in contempt. Most mindless fools beneath him, animals as Ed pointed out in his barbarian illustration, lol. He would cry how bad he has it, but all he does is watch idiots on Springer and go fishing when it suits him, tough life, lol....
My point, he cracks me up as I asked him what he would do in a SHTF situation?
"Ah, the heck with it, get my 357 and stick it in my mouth and say the heck with all of ya. That's how I prepare." No point he says, minus being rich and having a buried bunker up on the hill you got no chance. Pack up on first aide, Benny weenies, MREz, and water purifier tablets all ya want, you just prolonging the enviable he rants, lol....
And the irony is he has a picture of Jesus in his office and says he is the only way out of this mess, through Jesus, lol....
I find that funny that one of so little faith in man who would shoot themselves to escape when things get tough, feels comfort in religion, crazy world....
Edited by Silverhawk74 10/12/2012 01:35 am
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Pillar of the Community
United States
808 Posts |
I don't mean in any way to minimize the very real suffering that occurred both during and in the aftermath of hurricane Katrina. However, such localized disasters are in no way a barometer for how a board, nationwide or even global state of emergency would play out. Here in the US, the psychology of such regional events has been shaped and scripted such that we all know that someone will come and save us: initially, regional first responders arrive on the scene, followed by FEMA and support from the National Guard, the Coast Guard, American Red Cross, Salvation Army, and even the Procter & Gamble "Tide" truck.
My point is that when things go bad locally, but the rest of the nation is seemingly okay, the human instinct and ability for bootstraping one's own survival is compromised. And frankly, from a rule of law perspective, that's probably a good thing. However, in a large event, when people realize that they are truly on their own for the long haul, eventually, they will fall back on the time tested and proven concepts of what has lasting value. Hopefully, we'll never experience such an event. But you cannot predict how a national event will play out based on past regional disasters. It's just not a real world test of human behavior.
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Replies: 101 / Views: 11,056 |
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