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How Hard Have The Great Lakes Series Tanked? Look At This

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Rest in Peace
Dcadon's Avatar
Canada
1360 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  10:55 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Dcadon to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm not sure what all the fuss is about. For me, this is a hobby. If I played golf, it could be as much as(or more than) $100/day, with no return what so ever. or how about R/C air craft... once it's built 0-Zero return - especially if you crashed it.

This is a HOBBY for me. In this particular instance, the Great Lakes are very important to me, and my chosen career (Coast Guard) and that is why I bought them. I will keep them as long as I live, so the down-turn in the economy and sliding metal prices means nothing to me. It may affect my benefactors - but that's not my problem. :)
Pillar of the Community
Canada
2845 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  12:05 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add wildflowerAB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Your point is well said Dcadon. Sometimes this section of CCF reads exactly like a stock forum looking back at good and poor picks in terms of investment yield.
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commems's Avatar
United States
12311 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  12:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add commems to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
@Dcadon: Absolutely agree! I am also a collector who enjoys coin collecting as a hobby -- I don't purchase coins as investment vehicles.

I enjoy coins and medals for the artwork displayed on them, the history they represent and because they drive me to learn more about the subjects/themes presented on them.

I only purchase coins or medals that I know I will enjoy having in my collection long-term. Once I purchase a coin - whether I paid $5 for it or $500 - it becomes "worthless" as it's now part of my collection and not something I'm looking to sell for a quick profit.


Collecting history one coin or medal at a time! (c) commems. All rights reserved.
Pillar of the Community
Canada
5324 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  1:21 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add john100 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
We all collect as a hobby and enjoyment of these themed coins, and when I buy cool errors they are even harder to judge prices, and with an even more limited resale market. But no matter what we collect it still hurts when markets turn or in this case the manufacturer, the RCM seems to be treating this hobby like the beanie babies or the sports card fad a few years ago. This is a nice hobby lots of good friends just sad to not meet the same thoughts with the few RCM people that I have voiced concerns over at the last few RCNA. I am hoping with some large RCM dealers starting to heavy discounts that the RCM will get stuck with lots of unsold inventories and a change of thoughts regarding the collectors in mind.
Pillar of the Community
Canada
2845 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  2:41 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add wildflowerAB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm sitting on the fence. Yes RCM mintages are too high, thus large volumes of mintages being offered for sale on the secondary market, a sure sign of supply exceeding demand resulting in price drop.

But WHY is that happening? It's not feasible for RCM to screen their customers intent but it appears to me a sizable volume of NCLT is being purchased by private purchasers with the sole intent of a quick resell with expectation of price appreciation. And I suspect ebay has opened a convenient door for NCLT flipping that was never there in the past. That's their loss, not mine because I only purchase what I'm happy to own "forever".

So while we blame RCM, perhaps instead we should examine our own personal objectives, take a step back and remember that nobody is under any obligation to buy NCLT - we should do it for the right reasons with the view in sight that it neither puts food on the table nor a roof over our head...
Valued Member
Nubee's Avatar
Canada
256 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  3:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Nubee to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think we can categorize this "hobby" from what was stated in this and other threads/ forums.
1) The collector buys for their appreciation of the particular offering and don't care about aftermarket prices.
2) The collector/ flipper buys for their appreciation of the particular offering as well as to make some money to continue to enhance their collection. They have aftermarket concerns.
3) The flipper as a "business" to make money (no less than a dealer) and very concerned about aftermarket prices.

I'm number 2 but not much of a flipper. When I buy an offering I don't like to see that I could purchase it 6 months later for 75% (or less) of the original price and that's from RCM dealers.
Pillar of the Community
Canada
2845 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  3:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add wildflowerAB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
When I buy an offering I don't like to see that I could purchase it 6 months later for 75% (or less) of the original price and that's from RCM dealers.


Are you referring to pricing during Black Friday and Boxing Day sale events? That's nothing unusual for dealers or merchants to drop prices in order to liquidate inventory during those times. However in the case of NCLT, I'd expect your #3 catagorization might be most perturbed because every buy from a dealer represents a lost opportunity for a flipper to sell.

I strongly believe dealers have a rightful place in the coin/NCLT business, particularly as the risk of counterfeit increases, as well the important role they play in education, promotion and awareness. Without them, the general interest in the coin collection hobby would be at risk of diminishing even further than it already has.
Edited by wildflowerAB
01/09/2016 3:43 pm
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pocket change 50's Avatar
Canada
1751 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  4:20 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add pocket change 50 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I too probably fall under number 2. However I haven't sold anything in over a year and I don't like the current ebay paypal practice. It feels risky, when profits are small and you don't sell enough to use losses as a business write off. It was fun meeting new people on ebay.

However, who likes paying full price for any item, only to find it months later at discounted prices. Like Kuh said 5 yrs ago, 10% off was a bargain. Its the way it should be, bargains should be a rarity not the norm. There's nothing wrong wanting to get the most bang for the buck. I started buying mint direct, so not to pay inflated prices in the secondary market. Back then it was cheaper to buy mint direct with free shipping.

I have been looking at solds on ebay the last couple of days. The big dealers still get issue prices for their coins. Some coins still sell above issue. It seems it mainly coins from 2013-2015 that sell below issue on select ones. Too many coin issues were produced and many good coins got lost in the noise.

A few good sales in past years has made everyone bargain hunters! So people keep waiting for deeper and deeper discounts. Eventually with lagging sales, dealers will offer the bigger discount.

Also when you compare BINs with auctions, auctions always do poorly. Yet BIN prices are still quite healthy, they do take longer to achieve, this is where patience pays off.

Who knows where the changes will be in the next 3 yrs. The prices could stabilize. Since 2012 they were way up and now heading down the past couple years. The thing is not to panic. Yes nclt seems like reading the stocks, because people are concerned with getting good value. There are many ways to determine value.

some get scared by weakening prices, and sell so they get something back. These are the ones that further contribute to weaker prices by flooding a weak market. It really is supply and demand at work. The past few years world mints have over supplied the market.

Also places like ebay have made it possible for anyone to be a seller. This must have some effect on the hobby too. Problem is also how a collector perceives the hobby. Is it growing or declining. This will color how that person behaves in the hobby. A lot of crowd mentality is displayed on the threads. Then there is the greater economic influences. Lets face it the Canadian dollar has lost a lot of value, so this will slow collectors from buying, as essential items increase in price. So there's a number of things that impact the hobby. Only time will tell which direction it will go.

I would like to hear what changes the long time collectors and dealers have seen. Maybe someone will start another thread to discuss trends of the past. As lower mintages are relatively new, starting sometime this century.


Valued Member
Nubee's Avatar
Canada
256 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  4:31 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Nubee to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm only referring to end buyers here. Dealers dump there RCM purchases which reflects downwardly on the coin sales overall.
Why do we read time after time to wait some 6 months after issue and you can purchase an RCM coin cheaper if you want it
Valued Member
Nubee's Avatar
Canada
256 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  4:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Nubee to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm a buy and hold for my price kinda' guy for what I've purchased to date. I sell on Kijiji so no fees unlike eBay/ paypal scenario
I'm not willing to take too much of a loss and hope the appreciation on some other purchases absorb the little loss on others
Pillar of the Community
Canada
2845 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  5:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add wildflowerAB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:

Why do we read time after time to wait some 6 months after issue and you can purchase an RCM coin cheaper if you want it


Name an example of any manufactured item that remains unsold beyond it's initial release date that typically goes up in price?




Pillar of the Community
Canada
5324 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  5:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add john100 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
About a year ago there was no RCM dealers offering any rewards or discount programs, now the other than CP, the next few has their version. These dealers would not offer discounts if the markets are well, and no matter how you slice it you can't blame the situation on the buyers, we did not crank out a coin a day, never adjusted prices to bullion value, allowed endless commissioned units, have a few surveys that went no where, even my rep who agrees that there is way too many offerings but like he said, hard to argue with 2/3 sellouts, there comes a time when the market place will talk, like right now, but we as collectors are not the one to blame, clearly it's a RCM short term marketing decision to crank out as many units as the market will bear without the long term consequences. As for CP walk into any outlet around the GTA, they are full of coins and many has stopped ordering new coins as nothing is moving. Know one would buy a collectible if you are 98% sure this product will be cheaper months down the road.
Edited by john100
01/09/2016 5:44 pm
Pillar of the Community
Canada
2845 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  6:10 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add wildflowerAB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Perhaps it is that everyone is different. From my perspective I need X amount of money earned by income, investments or property, pensions, etc to survive now and into the future, and consider myself fortunate to have X amount of money left over to spend on non-essentuals such as hobbies, entertainment, eating out, vacations, or other frivolous stuff including about once every while I buy lotto tickets when the pot goes high and last year we spent a few days gambling in Vegas. But never the two paths shall cross and I expect absolutely no monetary returns from the later, it's purely for enjoyment. Perhaps because I've purchased and still own Proof sets for decades that have never held their value, I have low expectations of future values of NCLT in general.

We can complain on an Internet forum about the wrongs of RCM until our faces turn blue but at the end of the day we have absolutely no control other than whether or not we pull out our wallets (figuratively speaking of course).
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pocket change 50's Avatar
Canada
1751 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  6:16 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add pocket change 50 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Its true no one in their right mind will buy a collectable, if there's a 98% certainty of savings later. This is why I am having a hard time deciding whether or not to buy the 2 oz GITD coin. I want it for its subject matter the wolves and mountains. Don't care about the glow effect. I am trying to maximize my collector $, makes some coins hard to time.

The first isn't under issue, so its hard to say what this one will do.

The Great Lakes are amazing coins, with the different enamel. Its sad they got lost in the noise of so many releases. I think they really need to be displayed in the case, for the full impact. I'm not really sure what happened with this set. Many people were pumped about the set, its thread was several pages long.

I can understand the O Canada coins tanking with a mintage of 40k. They shouldn't of done a second set so soon. Then like someone pointed out, they do a theme to death. It was an affordable way for a beginning collector to get into the hobby. Not everyone can afford to drop $100-$200 monthly on coins. We tend to forget budgets are as varied as the collector. It shouldn't just be an elitist thing if the hobby is to survive long term.
Edited by pocket change 50
01/09/2016 6:18 pm
Pillar of the Community
Canada
2845 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2016  7:35 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add wildflowerAB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Pocket Change, I agree buying NCLT can be a very expensive hobby, far more than circulated coin collecting. As you mentioned earlier, I also notice sometimes what seems a pack mentality of "gotta have". Not sure why that is, just human nature I guess. I also suspect that the reason RCM pumps a successful theme to death is because we as a society in general are obsessed with consumerism and having NEW stuff. By virtue a coin that is dated a couple years ago, heck even last year, is OLD to a lot of people and old simply does not generate the same level of enthusiasm or interest as getting something NEW.
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