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Future Price Of Silver?

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GFR3's Avatar
United States
473 Posts
 Posted 03/04/2008  9:58 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GFR3 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Like I few of the recent posters have said...specualators fear not! Silver will rise! It will rise high! We will all make money! Or at least the illusion of money!

The blips are to be expected. Sure its disapointing to see the price dip a bit, but in the broad scheme of things (i.e the first 2 months of the year so far) sivler has gone "up" and will be further "up" at the end of the third month.

Overall though, I fear our potential monetary gains may not actually be as vauable as we think. These silver hike has more to do with the fall of the fiat system than anything. Its like Lew Rockwell (i think it was he) once said "the same amount of silver still buys the same amount of oil"...it just takes more dollars now. I've actually decided that I am not going to sell, no matter how high silver may reach( $100+?) Now, some may, and will, say that I'm a little paranoid but regardless....Anyone recall learning of Germany Post WWI but Pre WWII? In that time in that land, it is said that it was economically wiser to burn a barrel full of cash for heat than it was to purchase wood to burn. I doubt (and pray) things will never be that bad, but one can never be to safe right? All I know is, one day be it tomorrow next year or next century, Federal Reserve Notes will be worth zip but a couple good ol' Morgans will always be accepted

--Gary
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dcarver9183's Avatar
United States
168 Posts
 Posted 03/05/2008  3:22 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add dcarver9183 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
right at 20.70...that's almost a dollar increase...wow! what a jump from yesterday. maybe there was someone who unloaded some silver yesterday...not me---mine is safe with me.
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Rainman's Avatar
United States
294 Posts
 Posted 03/05/2008  6:46 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Rainman to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Stupid question .will the increase of silver value effect the cost of rare coins that are already over spot price ?

Seeking :I'm guessing maybe

Rainman
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jbuck's Avatar
United States
189502 Posts
 Posted 03/05/2008  6:53 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Not a stupid question! It was being discussed in another thread. Some say no, others say yes. IMHO, not until the demand pushes the price closer to the numismatic value.

Worst case... the uneducated start melting/recycling collections they inherited without care of their numismatic value, key date population shrinks, key date values go up.

Best case... all coins are cashed in with coin dealers and not metal recyclers; key dates are cherrypicked. Key date values do not change; might go down if the dealer passes the savings to their customers.
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halfabustisbetter's Avatar
United States
1984 Posts
 Posted 03/06/2008  02:27 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add halfabustisbetter to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
My thought is that collectible coin price rises will lag behind precious metal price rises for a variety of reasons. Values probably won't go down on high end coins but they may stagnate a bit until some of the people making 'metal money' get around to spending it. Just based on history, coins don't usually get 'rediscovered' until closer to the end of a bull run.
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dcarver9183's Avatar
United States
168 Posts
 Posted 03/06/2008  3:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add dcarver9183 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
back down right now $20.18. I bought some silver yesterday b/c the prices hadn't been adjusted for the higher spot price yet...I'm still ahead. I hope I can stay there...looks like friday is going to be a big day. can silver close high enough that it breaks the 21 bucks per ounce next monday---i can only hope so...
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KurtS's Avatar
United States
5318 Posts
 Posted 03/06/2008  3:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add KurtS to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
"will the increase of silver value effect the cost of rare coins that are already over spot price"

Coins that are rarities with true collector value will only be affected marginally. After all, the silver/collector value on say a 1916-D Merc dime is small whether spot silver is at $5, $20, or $50/oz.
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dcarver9183's Avatar
United States
168 Posts
 Posted 03/06/2008  3:25 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add dcarver9183 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
i agree kurtS...rarity and spot values can not affect each other at the same time and make much sense...rarity works a different way than spot prices...although in the long, long run spot will eventually affect rarity if the values keep rising, but that could take awhile...imho
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BadThad's Avatar
United States
19968 Posts
 Posted 03/06/2008  4:23 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BadThad to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm mixed about silver, why? ....the market easily gets flooded with it once the dollar stabilizes or gains. It's great when the USD is dropping, but not when it's rising. Silver is pretty cheap in relative terms, lots of people hoard it and then sell it. I think gold is a lot better play IMO.
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dcarver9183's Avatar
United States
168 Posts
 Posted 03/06/2008  4:44 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add dcarver9183 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
you could be right, but the dollar isn't going anywhere right now...
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10284 Posts
 Posted 03/06/2008  5:35 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TNG to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I remember popping UNC Franklins Mercurys Roosevelts 64 Kennedys and Washington quarters out of 2X2's in 1979 with a butter knife as fast as I could at the desk in my Dads office because of the Hunt brothers attempt to corner the silver market.
The silver buyer would come and pick them up and I think we got close to 40.00 on the dollar!
It was nuts! But worth it as the market went down to 20. per oz in a hurry and thats where it stayed then slowly and steadily crept down to between 11. and 8 bucks per oz. for the next year or so.
The economy wasn't all that much to blame as it was more of a market manipulation.
Back then silver and gold rose when stocks went down and vice versa for a long time.
Now the silver has hit 20.00 and there is a bad economy, I think silver is at the right price now. I think we are in for a couple tough years economy wise, and 30.00 an oz is not far fetched by the end of the year.
If things get better economy wise, I don't think silver will ever go down under 20. per oz. again.
I think that silver is still a good investment short term, couple years, but sell around 28. per oz.
Lets see how my guess is in a couple years. LOL!
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