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Does Copper Bullion Make Sense?

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Valued Member
Canada
54 Posts
 Posted 10/22/2022  01:51 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add JadeDragon to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Well you can get 95% copper from circulating coins at 50% of the melt value. Yes gold is more compact but where can you get it at 50% off? Copper is fine for bullion but it takes some space. There is w market, and when the penny is discontinued, its off to the scrap yard. If you want to meet some copper bullion enthusiasts check out realcent forum.
Valued Member
United States
397 Posts
 Posted 01/30/2023  11:53 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add AllSeasons to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The math for copper bullion doesn't work right now, unless you buy a ton, literally. Too much cost goes towards making the bar and premiums and shipping, so that the copper value is only one-tenth of the overall price (for one ounce bars). You'd have to buy a LOT to make the math work. Coincidentally, I heard today that China is holding 95% of the world's copper inventory. So maybe it is good to hold on to some copper, just in case.
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SDcoinguy's Avatar
United States
2424 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2024  12:49 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SDcoinguy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
i have been reading all of the comments and all are true and make sense.

i want to melt some copper down and sell some ingots online. doing the math in my head it makes sense.
150 or so pennies is about 1lb of copper.
if you check ebay for example there are sales for copper ingots etc. i.e. one listing had 10lbs sold for $120. seems like that is a good profit margin, no?

so in very simple terms, if I were to melt copper and sell it like that, is THAT worth it?

OR am I wasting my time, thinking, "no one will buy the ingots I melt down?" there is SOME value in copper. right?

so based on what I am asking here, not trying to get into a debate about silver, gold or its merits or stackability...

just want to see if what I want to do is going to profit me or not.

Thanks ALL!
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HondoB's Avatar
United States
24872 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2024  2:17 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add HondoB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
i want to melt some copper down and sell some ingots online. doing the math in my head it makes sense.
150 or so pennies is about 1lb of copper.

SDcoinguy,
1. First off, this is not legal.
2. If you did it, you would have bronze, not pure copper.
3. You are not factoring in the cost of melting down your raw materials and molds etc. for casting ingots.
Inordinately fascinated by bits of metal with strange markings and figures
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SDcoinguy's Avatar
United States
2424 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2024  2:29 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SDcoinguy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
i figured it was illegal. just checked again. lol

but how would I have bronze?
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jbuck's Avatar
United States
187446 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2024  2:32 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Cents before 1982 (and some in 2009) are only 95% copper, so they are at best bronze, sometimes brass.
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SDcoinguy's Avatar
United States
2424 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2024  2:53 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SDcoinguy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
if they are 90-95 copper.. help me understand how they become bronze after you melt them?
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jbuck's Avatar
United States
187446 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2024  3:26 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
You melt the 95% copper along with the 5% tin and/or zinc that is present in the pennies. Unless you add processes to remove said tin and/or zinc, whatever you form from the melted slurry will remain bronze or brass when it hardens.
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Sap's Avatar
Australia
16805 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2024  5:21 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Sap to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The problem here is that "copper" pennies are not made of pure copper, they are bronze - from a base-metal-trading perspective, they are "contaminated copper". To get anywhere near that $12/pound price, you need pure copper, and to get pure copper, you're going to have to refine your bronze.

The Law of Entropy implies that it is much easier to make an alloy than to unmake it. We do not have magic-black-box technology where you can put a piece of metal alloy into the box, press a button, and pull out two or three pieces of pure unalloyed metal, for free. This is where certain coin-metal-content-calculator websites are wrong: you do not calculate the "metal value of a penny" by calculating the metal value of the copper, zinc and tin inside a penny, and adding them together. You more properly calculate the metal value of a penny by calculating the metal content of the primary constituent (in this case, copper) and subtracting the cost you would need to put in to refine the copper and remove those other unwanted elements.

You don't have this concern with actual precious metals like gold and silver, because refining costs are only a small fraction of the value of the resultant metal.

This is why a slab of pure copper costs $3.80/pound, but a slab of melted recycled bronze costs just $2.50/pound. And "coinage bronze" isn't really bronze, due to the presence of high amounts of zinc; the zinc technically makes it a "brass" rather than a "bronze", and brass is even cheaper, typically $2.00/pound or so.

You can theoretically still make a profit by melting bronze pennies and selling them as scrap - there is, after all, $1.45 face value in pennies in that $2.50 pound slab of metal. But again, with base metals, "refining costs" are a major component of overall costings. Add to this costings the illegality, which means the commercial scrap metal dealers in the US won't want to be a part of your scheme. You'll have to either set up an illegal bootleg metal refinery and do it all yourself, join a criminal conspiracy with other like-minded criminals, or illegally smuggle the coins across the border to Canada or Mexico, where US anti-coin-melting laws don't apply - all of which adds to your costs.
Don't say "infinitely" when you mean "very"; otherwise, you'll have no word left when you want to talk about something really infinite. - C. S. Lewis
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CoinHunter53562's Avatar
United States
2049 Posts
 Posted 01/12/2024  07:54 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CoinHunter53562 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Nope. I tried it in the form of 95% copper pennies as well as the various Canadian copper cents. The amount of work involved, the space needed, and the sheer weight made it impractical.

I suppose you could stack copper bars or rounds, but again the same issue exists with the space and weight.

Finally, it's a limited market. If you need to liquidate your metals for quick cash, how many potential buyers do you have? Coin shops aren't interested and the amount of public buyers is limited.

Due to all of the above reasons, it doesn't make sense to me and I would rather go with silver or gold.
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datadragon's Avatar
United States
1648 Posts
 Posted 01/12/2024  11:43 am  Show Profile   Check datadragon's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add datadragon to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The general outlook for copper pricing is expected to increase so its not a bad time to do so if you have source and space for it. At the current values (and space requirements) it doesn't make sense vs other options as mentioned (silver or gold if metal is what your after). Might be a good time to just hold onto copper such as coins you happen to come across vs normally dumping it as not worthwhile.

Experts Predict Copper Prices Set To Soar Over 75% By 2025, Thanks To Renewable Energy Transition, Supply Disruptions. he price of copper is expected to rise by over 75% by 2025, driven by supply disruptions and increased demand for the metal, largely due to the global shift towards renewable energy. These factors combined are expected to push copper prices to an estimated $15,000 a ton in 2025, a substantial increase from the record high of $10,730 per ton reached in March 2023. Goldman Sachs anticipates a deficit of over half a million tons in 2024 due to mining disruptions, which could drive prices to $10,000 per ton by the end of the year and even higher in 2025. https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/sav.../ar-AA1mrypo
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SDcoinguy's Avatar
United States
2424 Posts
 Posted 01/12/2024  12:55 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SDcoinguy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
@SAP LOL love it - my own back woods illegal bootlegging operation

i appreciate all this input. I don't think I have the time, energy or conscience to embark on such operations.. HAHA

hopefully, people will still be dumping silver at the banks, and we can keep collecting.
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CoinHunter53562's Avatar
United States
2049 Posts
 Posted 01/12/2024  5:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CoinHunter53562 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Experts Predict Copper Prices Set To Soar Over 75% By 2025, Thanks To Renewable Energy Transition, Supply Disruptions. he price of copper is expected to rise by over 75% by 2025, driven by supply disruptions and increased demand for the metal, largely due to the global shift towards renewable energy. These factors combined are expected to push copper prices to an estimated $15,000 a ton in 2025, a substantial increase from the record high of $10,730 per ton reached in March 2023. Goldman Sachs anticipates a deficit of over half a million tons in 2024 due to mining disruptions, which could drive prices to $10,000 per ton by the end of the year and even higher in 2025. https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/sav.../ar-AA1mrypo


Is there a copper ETF? If there is and let's say all of the above comes true, does it make more sense to put your money into the ETF versus trying to deal with the tremendous volume of copper needed (and associated hassle) to make trying to profit worthwhile? Asking for a friend....
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Coinfrog's Avatar
United States
94367 Posts
 Posted 01/12/2024  6:00 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Coinfrog to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
When you read "Experts Predict...", run in the opposite direction.
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IndianGoldEagle's Avatar
United States
36415 Posts
 Posted 01/13/2024  5:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add IndianGoldEagle to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Copper takes up too much space. In my opinion, stick with physical gold and silver. If you want to invest in copper, get a good copper mining stock. That's copper Two Cents worth.
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