| Author |
 Replies: 349 / Views: 9,681 |
|
|
|
Valued Member
United States
232 Posts |
I just did a little figuring - there are 26,339,460,714,000 permutations (=26.3 trillion).
However, after the very first 0/0 there will only be 21.3 trillion left.
JP
|
|
Valued Member
 Canada
287 Posts |
OFF TOPIC:
Sorry I was away, I just got back from the coin club meeting. There was no 1922-24 pennies, which I was really looking for, but I picked up an 1895 penny. First glance I'd say fine-very fine. I also picked up uncirculated rolls of pennies for 1992,1984, 1971,70,69,68, and 2 1967's. I love my pennies. Bret Evans was our guest speaker tonight so it went a little longer than normal.
===========
I am hoping the game, having just 6 picks to make, will appeal to a few more players. More players, more guesses, quicker game. Or I could be wrong and this will last until July. :)
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
4000 Posts |
Nah, we'll have a short list of 36 or less in no time.
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
2669 Posts |
So a guess would be... "USD GBP NZD AUD SZL IQD... and XBB for a fictional currency" <--right?
(XBB = Xshift's Boggled Brain, of course)
What if the 6 currency guess qualifies someone for a free guess AND they guess one of the fictionals?
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
4000 Posts |
I think there will be 4 posts in the beginning pointing out the fictional currencies.
I will know all 4 in just a couple of minutes. But will only post one.
|
|
Valued Member
Canada
287 Posts |
Quote:
"USD GBP NZD AUD SZL IQD... and XBB for a fictional currency" <--right?
What if the 6 currency guess qualifies someone for a free guess AND they guess one of the fictionals?
Well, that is one way to do it, or you could make two posts. Either way I would treat it as two separate posts. This player would receive a free guess for getting USD (assumed) right and a free guess for getting the fictional currency correct. I think Scooby is right about the fictional being gone right away, or at least I hope so as that is part of the design. That would mean at least four people are waiting at the start line to play. It means that there would be at least 8 guesses within the first portion of the game, possibly eliminating up to 52 of the currencies. I think John Paul will like the math that this thought provides. Edited by rikcando
06/15/2010 05:44 am
|
|
Valued Member
Canada
287 Posts |
If luck strikes, not sure good or bad, all 6 could be discovered within those 8 guesses, (9 if someone guesses one in the correct spot). We could have a winner in the first round of play. Similar to playing the lottery.
edit:fixed a typo
Edited by rikcando
06/15/2010 06:58 am
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
4000 Posts |
What if 2 people post the same fictional currency, can the second person post again?
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
1882 Posts |
Maybe I'm missing the obvious. Early guesses with results like 1/0 or even 5/0 won't provide any real information. It will take 23 guesses of 0/0 just to narrow it down to 37 currencies to choose from. That's assuming no overlapping of guesses. We'll know in a few days.  Edited by steve199
06/15/2010 09:47 am
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
4000 Posts |
Or in as little as 6 guesses of 1/0 would get it down to 36. 5/0 would reveal a ton of info!
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
1882 Posts |
What are the odds of there being six guesses of 1/0?
If the first guess was 5/0 (winning the lottery would be easier), how does that narrow it down for you?
(edit)
Okay, obviously the 5/0 narrows things down...I'm trying to see how it *effectively* narrows things down. What strategy would be used from there to figure out which of the 6 is not correct, and to find the last one, in just a handful of guesses.
Edited by steve199
06/15/2010 10:06 am
|
|
Valued Member
Canada
287 Posts |
Quote:
What if 2 people post the same fictional currency, can the second person post again? I would have to take the first answer as the winner of the free guess for that fictional currency. If the second person notices the duplication and reposts before I respond then I will accept his second answer, disregarding his original post. It takes only a moment to check to see if someone else has posted while you were creating your post. I will try to wait a couple of minutes after each fictional currency guess just to be certain this does not occur. I will do my best to be flexible in deciding the issues related to timing. If both answers appear to be within seconds of each other, maybe I will give them both a free guess. Does not cost me anything, would be fair, and will keep the game moving. I guess we will have to see how it flows. |
|
Valued Member
Canada
287 Posts |
Quote:
What strategy would be used from there to figure out which of the 6 is not correct It wouldn't be much fun to tell everyone the secrets of winning now would it? :) I think in the case you mentioned, one might pick 3 from the 5/0 and post a guess with 3 from a 0/0, but this is just a guess too. |
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
1882 Posts |
Quote:
It wouldn't be much fun to tell everyone the secrets of winning now would it? :) From what I've seen from those that have been playing, there aren't too many secrets. :) So either I'm overestimating the effect of having a larger pool of choices, or ya'll are underestimating it. I haven't done any math to confirm my suspicions...but as good as you folks are at this game, ya'll (yep, I'm from Texas) are probably right. Is it Wednesday yet? |
|
Valued Member
Canada
287 Posts |
Quote:
either I'm overestimating the effect of having a larger pool of choices, or ya'll are underestimating it. Or both and the answer lies in between. The real measure of difficulty will not be known without knowing how many players are in the game. |
| |
Replies: 349 / Views: 9,681 |
First Page
Posted 06/14/2010 9:27 pm
