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Is Silver Ready To Hit $50 - 1/29/2026: Will It Hit $130? - Previous Milestones In First Post

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Harry213's Avatar
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 Posted 10/15/2026  12:49 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Harry213 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Posting for posterity. Some day, perhaps, someone will revisit this topic from page one just to take the ride.

Well just some constructive advice then, if that be the case I think it would be better, more informative, educational, entertaining or whatever, to the "future readers" to include an explanation or backstory, or anything else for the price changes or movements instead of just repeating over and over

Quote:
Low $55.65

And

Quote:
High $57.40.

That's all
I mean anyone literally anyone, can look at a price chart and see where Silver was on February 9th, 1980 or 2011 but what was happening in the market that day? What happening overnight?. What news came out before the market opened that day that plunged silver to "Low $55.60"? Was war breaking out? Was inflation high? Did Oil spike? Did Dollar spike? What happened?

And I think investopedia or Google could help with High and Low when it comes to commodities like Silver or even Stocks. There's 3 that I use.
1) Pivot Low
2) Swing Low
3) Day's Low or intraday or LOD low of day.

I mean this is helpful if you really want to find out "Is Silver Going To $50" or not right?

These are also interchangeable with Highs, like HOD, Pivot High, Swing High. So you use both of these in combination to determine where your ranges are, this is more as a trader. But it also would have helped you see that you're not staying above $60 okay.

This determines where the Buy and Sell areas are. And you don't set them or announce them every time it moves higher or lower, unless it's a "new" NLOD or NHOD there's a pattern to identifying them on the chart. And if used properly they can be extremely useful otherwise they're meaningless and confusing.

Anyway hope this helps you with your Silver price analysis so future readers know what was going on.

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Harry213's Avatar
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 Posted 10/15/2026  2:21 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Harry213 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
That's understandable barryg because I do write an awful lot so it's already TLDR. And then some of it gets chopped up and snipped out and re-quoted with only the positive highlights and added emojis. So it falls through the cracks even more. Sometimes I don't want to break people's hearts with the ugly truth and just say hey man it's going down next week okay just deal with it for a little while or something. And some of it is lost in the innuendos and hints that I hope people get but they don't always do. There's been plenty but here's a few snips.

On October 5th I wrote

Quote:
Sorry but Silver should be below $55 right now. But it's not for some reason(s). You'll have to read this to the end.


On Oct 7th Jbuck responded

Quote:
I believe the night crew believes what you believe. Back into the ~$59 zone, knocking on the door to ~$58.


On Oct 8th I posted what I thought about an old man coin dealer had said silver should be between $40 and $50

Quote:
Well the market appears to be saying it should be closer to $55-$60 right now


There's plenty to read in between, before and after these posts. What you won't see are my fancy multi colored charts with arrows and indicators because then nobody will pay attention.

So I think the other half of you're post is what's going to happen next. And I'll answer that in a separate post because otherwise this one will be 3 pages long and I'll be until I'm unconscious.

But here's a hint. The answer to the question of what happens next requires putting in the same time and the same work it took to know that Silver was going to between $55 and $60 this week.. Research, charting, looking at all the economics behind, Dollar, Gold, Treasuries, equities, etc. and how they behave in relation to Silver or how Silver moves in reaction to them.

You want the edge? You want the answer? This is how you get. The problem with people is they want the easy answer, they rarely know what's required to get it. There's an expression we used to say in my industry "if it was easy anyone could do it"... But stay tuned, I'll set the stage for you, one piece at a time hopefully it doesn't fall through the cracks this time.
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Harry213's Avatar
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 Posted 10/15/2026  2:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Harry213 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Just to add on... A month ago after the first interest rate hike and Silver did the weird herky jerky thing I posted on here that "alot of things don't make sense right now" and that I wouldn't be trading anything and I mean anything until after elections. Sitting on hands. I closed all my positions except a long term one I plan to hold indefinitely.

A couple of weeks ago I also wrote that I am not trading anything right now because I believe in "keeping my head firmly attached to my body".

And that "in the current market you have to be both lucky and smart to not get turned into hamburger meat".

If none of those are premonitions then I don't know what in tar nation is. Unfortunately we live in a society that has absolutely no clue about any of the markets or how they work and even less of a clue what is going on underneath the surface of the market right now. They see market go up, market go down, cool.

I blame the education system that for a hundred years they've been training people to be obedient button pushers and factory worker's not thinker's that can balance a check book.

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Harry213's Avatar
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 Posted 10/15/2026  4:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Harry213 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I feel like the flex seal guy, "but wait there's more".. one other thing you'll note that I haven't said is back up the truck and buy, buy, buy. Yeah, yesterday for sure was a buying opportunity, finally. But before that take note that for a few weeks before the dump I ended a half dozen posts with "Keep Stacking, Don't Sell". Why would I emphasize and keep reminding people not to sell? Because I knew what was coming and that people panic and sell. And this isn't over yet, the next crash you sell into you might not be able to afford to buy it back. And "keep Stacking"?, sure, that's a long term strategy, buy an ounce a week or a month continuously forever, in 5 or 10 year's it doesn't matter.

And barryg sorry if I get a little peeved at the question "where's Silver going next" just a mere 24 hours after Silver did what for a month many people have been fearing and talking about it might do, including me, right here in numerous posts, for the past few weeks, with examples of why. Do you think the Market has decided yet where Silver is going next, 24 hours after the Dump?

This is why we deserve what's coming. It's like the Joker said in Batman "What this town needs is an enema".. And by that I mean a crash, a reset, something that will finally wake everyone up. Even if it brings Silver down to $20 which it might. But It's way overdue.



Edited by Harry213
10/15/2026 5:00 pm
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Harry213's Avatar
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 Posted 10/15/2026  5:46 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Harry213 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Oh but in case you just wanted to know if it was going to $50 right now then No. (Outside of some crazy news event happening) Yesterday was a big move and today was a reversal, usually these take a few day's to consolidate afterwards. Meaning sideways chop until it finds good Buy Sell zones
Edited by Harry213
10/15/2026 5:53 pm
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Brandmeister's Avatar
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 Posted 10/15/2026  8:10 pm  Show Profile   Check Brandmeister's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add Brandmeister to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I blame the education system that for a hundred years they've been training people to be obedient button pushers and factory worker's not thinker's that can balance a check book.

The education system is meant to prepare people to function in society and to find useful employment. Up until Y2K, the vast majority of people did not need to understand anything about the stock market, commodities markets, banking, world events, or how those things interact. That's a great thing, because most people aren't equipped to understand that stuff.

It is a bizarre and recent phenomenon that so many unprepared people have been forced into direct micro-fractional ownership of megacorporations in their 401(k) or IRA accounts. They don't understand how bonds, commodities, ETFs, mutual funds, and REITs function, either. In the good old days, the pension system took care of that for them with expert professionals.

I don't think it's odd that people want simplified explanations of the correct action to take in a particular situation where they are not an expert. We do that constantly with doctors, car mechanics, software engineers, and a host of other expert professions. We can't all be experts at everything, even the smart folks.

I'm sure it's like nails on a chalkboard when you hear muggles talk about silver trading after watching CNBC. It's probably nails on a chalkboard for doctors overhearing people talking about the magical properties of obscure supplements pitched on YouTube, or actual computer engineers listening to muggles discuss AI and quantum computing. We can't get hung up on those misconceptions, otherwise we will end up with an ulcer, and the muggles will march happily on without ever knowing the difference.

fwiw, I agree with your thought that this is a murky and unpredictable market for trading anything. The stock market is tipping over lopsided with a bubble in some sectors. The Fed can't decide if it wants to fight inflation or keep the stock market white hot. My gut feel is that we are slinking towards an early 2000s tech bubble meltdown with spillover. Sort of a surreal game of musical chairs, but with a weird complication that private equity firms have tied many chairs together with string in a way that the markets and regulators can't really see.
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Harry213's Avatar
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 Posted 10/16/2026  09:22 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Harry213 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Brandmeister.... that was probably one of, if not the most well written and insightful things I've read on here... Ever..

I couldn't have put it better myself if I tried to.

A breath of fresh air.. As if someone opened a window..

Reading that prevented me from going on yet another rant or three this morning.

Thank You


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numismatic student's Avatar
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 Posted Yesterday   12:31 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add numismatic student to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I don't think it's odd that people want simplified explanations of the correct action to take in a particular situation where they are not an expert. We do that constantly with doctors, car mechanics, software engineers, and a host of other expert professions. We can't all be experts at everything, even the smart folks.

The difference is that doctors and car mechanics are gathering information about your situation to help you fix your body or your car. When you are explaining your situation to the stock market about your problems, the market is looking to gather that information to best extract value from your problematic situation. They call that "extracting economic rents" in the financial industry. So in the market, asking for a simplified explanation usually yields an answer that serves someone else, not you.

Capitalism, for all its merits, is a conduit that ships resources from the ultimate economic losers in society to the ultimate economic winners, and provides a contrived excuse for why this is "just" and "fair."

It may be the best system we have at the moment, but let's not delude ourselves into thinking that capitalism lifts all boats. It lifts a small number of boats at the expense of the vast majority of people in our Country and it is getting progressively worse over time.

The bottom 50% in the U.S. owns 2.5% of total wealth while the top 1% owns 31% of all wealth, and the top 0.1% owns 17% of all the wealth. That means that 1% of the populations owns about 12x and the top 0.01% owns 7x more wealth than half the population in total.
Is-Silver-Ready-To-Hit-$50---1/29/2026:-Will-It-Hit-$130?---Previous-Milestones-In-First-Post
IN NECESSARIIS UNITAS - IN DUBIIS LIBERTAS - IN OMNIBUS CARITAS
THE MAN IN THE ARENA, Theodore Roosevelt at the Sorbonne Paris on April 23, 1910: "It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again, because there is no effort without error or shortcoming, but who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself in a worthy cause; who, at the best, knows, in the end, the triumph of high achievement, and who, at the worst, if he fails, at least he fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who knew neither victory nor defeat."
My coin website:https://fairfaxcoins.com
Edited by numismatic student
Yesterday 1:49 pm
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Brandmeister's Avatar
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 Posted Yesterday   3:41 pm  Show Profile   Check Brandmeister's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add Brandmeister to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
The difference is that doctors and car mechanics are gathering information about your situation to help you fix your body or your car. When you are explaining your situation to the stock market about your problems, the market is looking to gather that information to best extract value from your problematic situation.

I think in my comparison, you would have muggles asking for simplified stock market answers from a professional broker or self-taught expert, not the market itself. The stock market itself would correspond to the human body or the car.


Quote:
They call that "extracting economic rents" in the financial industry. So in the market, asking for a simplified explanation usually yields an answer that serves someone else, not you.

If you don't know who the patsy is in a poker game, you are the patsy. The stock and commodity markets have their parallels to games of skill. Particularly, you must manage your risks strategically to successfully produce rewards. If you don't understand the risks, then you don't understand how to manage them properly (or if that's even possible at all), and therefore you shouldn't be playing that game.

A couple decades ago, I concluded that individual equities will always have material information asymmetrically available to insiders who will use it to profit at the expense of other shareholders. Boards and the C-suites will also squirrel away many rewards with the approval of the big proxy shareholders, namely the mutual fund managers. I would argue that gold and silver have a similar mechanism, in that governments and central banks have a great influence over supply, demand, and price. Those bureaucracies leak information in advance to their friends.

I do, however, have an admiration for the folks who thoroughly immerse themselves in a particular market, and who obsessively scrutinize every bit of news. I would never try to wind my way through the daily markets like those folks, but every once in a great while, there surfaces an obvious bet worth making.
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numismatic student's Avatar
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 Posted Yesterday   4:44 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add numismatic student to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I do, however, have an admiration for the folks who thoroughly immerse themselves in a particular market, and who obsessively scrutinize every bit of news.

I have zero admiration for people who devote their lives to lightening the pockets of the millions of fools who come into the market to earn a return and don't know any better. Not everyone who works hard in the market is in this camp, but in my experience, it is the vast majority. In the professional financial industry, it is perfectly legal, desirable and part of the business plan to fleece fools. The wreckage that this creates for millions of families is none of their concern. Professional finance has the sheen of being a reputable endeavor in our society, unlike gambling, and that makes the damage that it does more pervasive.
IN NECESSARIIS UNITAS - IN DUBIIS LIBERTAS - IN OMNIBUS CARITAS
THE MAN IN THE ARENA, Theodore Roosevelt at the Sorbonne Paris on April 23, 1910: "It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again, because there is no effort without error or shortcoming, but who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself in a worthy cause; who, at the best, knows, in the end, the triumph of high achievement, and who, at the worst, if he fails, at least he fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who knew neither victory nor defeat."
My coin website:https://fairfaxcoins.com
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Brandmeister's Avatar
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 Posted Yesterday   5:18 pm  Show Profile   Check Brandmeister's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add Brandmeister to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I don't think any of the gold or silver bugs on this forum are pillaging the unsuspecting proletariat. I enjoy reading their interpretations of action in the precious metals markets. I don't put any of my personal money at risk in those markets, and it's therefore it's good, clean fun to hear their divining of the tea leaves and the resulting predictions.
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numismatic student's Avatar
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 Posted Yesterday   5:58 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add numismatic student to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I don't think any of the gold or silver bugs on this forum are pillaging the unsuspecting proletariat.

I agree. Just some observations about the world we live in.
IN NECESSARIIS UNITAS - IN DUBIIS LIBERTAS - IN OMNIBUS CARITAS
THE MAN IN THE ARENA, Theodore Roosevelt at the Sorbonne Paris on April 23, 1910: "It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again, because there is no effort without error or shortcoming, but who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself in a worthy cause; who, at the best, knows, in the end, the triumph of high achievement, and who, at the worst, if he fails, at least he fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who knew neither victory nor defeat."
My coin website:https://fairfaxcoins.com
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Harry213's Avatar
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 Posted Yesterday   10:16 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Harry213 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Well I guess someone had to try huh?

Personally I thought the original post by Brandmeister was extremely well written, definitive, unassailable and well just plain beyond reproach. Because it's an honest and quite profound observation and analysis of what's happening.

Weird that it's being dragged in this bizarre direction tonight.. Yet I'm very intrigued by this experience I'm reading about... Please elaborate? Who are these people? What experience? Millions of families? How is it legal? In which financial industry?

Quote:
I have zero admiration for people who devote their lives to lightening the pockets of the millions of fools who come into the market to earn a return and don't know any better. Not everyone who works hard in the market is in this camp, but in my experience, it is the vast majority. In the professional financial industry, it is perfectly legal, desirable and part of the business plan to fleece fools. The wreckage that this creates for millions of families is none of their concern. Professional finance has the sheen of being a reputable endeavor in our society, unlike gambling, and that makes the damage that it does more pervasive.
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numismatic student's Avatar
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 Posted Today  2H 53M ago  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add numismatic student to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It it not illegal to separate fools from their money. However, there are tons of arrogant fools in the financial industry that brag about fleecing their (sometimes millions of) customers for profit. The get investigated by Congress and law enforcement and are made to pay restitution. Hardly ever does a white collar criminal go to jail. They can buy their way out. But they are dragged into Congress and courts and they are publicly shown to have bragged extensively about making the most money when they sell to the biggest fools in the market. The following is just one of endless examples:

During the April 2010 Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations hearings regarding the 2008 financial crisis, lawmakers exposed internal Goldman Sachs communications. While there was no literal testimony about an official "dumbest investors list," internal emails showed employees using derogatory language about the complex mortgage products they were selling and deliberately seeking out less-sophisticated institutional buyers (referred to as "the short squeeze" or "the other side" of bets).

The most famous internal email string exposed during the hearings was between top Goldman executives Thomas Montag and Daniel L. Sparks. Discussing a mortgage-backed security deal known as "Timberwolf," Montag explicitly wrote: "boy, that timeberwof [sic] was one sh***y deal." Despite internal recognition that the product was toxic, Goldman sales teams continued aggressively pitching it to institutional clients, such as pension funds.

During the hearings, Senator Carl Levin and other lawmakers pressed Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein and trader Fabrice "Fabulous Fab" Tourre on why they sold assets they were actively betting against. Internal emails revealed that the firm purposefully marketed synthetic collateralized debt obligations (CDOs)—like the infamous Abacus 2007-AC1—to specific institutional clients who held optimistic views on the housing market, while a hedge fund (Paulson & Co.) helped structure the deals specifically to bet against them.

The "Muppets" Letter (2012): Former Goldman Sachs executive Greg Smith published a scathing op-ed in The New York Times after resigning, asserting that managing directors routinely referred to their own clients as "muppets" and looked for ways to rip them off.

General Wall Street Memes: The concept of a "dumb money list" or "dumbest investors" is a colloquial term frequently used on trading desks to describe retail investors or lagging institutional funds that buy toxic assets right before a market crash.

Ultimately, Goldman Sachs did not testify to holding a formalized list of "dumb" targets, but Congress did prove that its employees privately mocked the very investments they pushed onto clients. In 2016, Goldman Sachs agreed to a $5 billion settlement with the Department of Justice, admitting to misleading investors about the quality of the residential mortgage-backed securities it sold leading up to the crisis.
IN NECESSARIIS UNITAS - IN DUBIIS LIBERTAS - IN OMNIBUS CARITAS
THE MAN IN THE ARENA, Theodore Roosevelt at the Sorbonne Paris on April 23, 1910: "It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again, because there is no effort without error or shortcoming, but who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself in a worthy cause; who, at the best, knows, in the end, the triumph of high achievement, and who, at the worst, if he fails, at least he fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who knew neither victory nor defeat."
My coin website:https://fairfaxcoins.com
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numismatic student's Avatar
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 Posted Today  2H 30M ago  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add numismatic student to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Fabrice Tourre was charged with civil securities fraud by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Specifically, the government accused him of intentionally misleading institutional investors during early 2007 by structuring a financial product designed to fail, while lying about who chose the underlying assets and who was betting against them.

The core mechanics of his fraud involved three major actions:

1. Concealing a Toxic Conflict of Interest

Tourre created a $1 billion synthetic collateralized debt obligation (CDO) named Abacus 2007-AC1, which was tied to the performance of subprime residential mortgages. The SEC proved that Tourre allowed a massive hedge fund, Paulson & Co. (run by billionaire John Paulson), to help select the specific mortgage bonds that went into the Abacus portfolio. Unbeknownst to the buyers, Paulson specifically picked weak, unstable mortgages because the hedge fund planned to short the CDO—essentially placing a massive $1 billion bet that those exact mortgages would default. Tourre completely hid Paulson's involvement and adverse financial interest from investors.

2. Misleading the Independent Reviewer

To make the Abacus investment look safe and attractive to mainstream buyers, Goldman Sachs hired an independent third-party analysis firm, ACA Management LLC, to serve as the official "portfolio selection agent". Tourre deliberately misled ACA into believing that Paulson & Co. was a major equity investor who was investing hundreds of millions of dollars into the "long" side of Abacus. Because ACA thought Paulson's financial interests were aligned with theirs, they agreed to greenlight the portfolio. Tourre used ACA's reputable name as a shield to convince other institutional investors to buy into the deal.

3. Fabricating Marketing Materials

Tourre was charged with drafting and distributing marketing materials that contained material omissions and outright lies. The pitch books explicitly stated that the portfolio was independently selected by ACA Management, completely omitting the fact that a short-seller had co-designed it to maximize its chances of collapsing.

The Aftermath

The fraud worked exactly as intended. Within less than a year, 99% of the subprime mortgage portfolio was downgraded to junk status.
• The Investors: Long investors—such as European banks like IKB Deutsche Industriebank and insurance entities—lost over $1 billion.
• The Hedge Fund: John Paulson's hedge fund cleared a $1 billion profit from the collapse.
• The Trader (Fabrice): The SEC used Tourre's internal emails as key evidence, including a famous note to his girlfriend where he bragged that he was the only one who could survive the impending collapse, writing that he had managed to sell the complex bonds to "widows and orphans that I ran into at the airport." [A glib reference to the pension fund clients that managed money for widows and orphans]

Fabrice was found liable in civil court for fraud and never saw a day in prison. He is currently on the faculty of Baruch University in NYC. I suppose all good white collar fraudsters land on their feet in our Country.
IN NECESSARIIS UNITAS - IN DUBIIS LIBERTAS - IN OMNIBUS CARITAS
THE MAN IN THE ARENA, Theodore Roosevelt at the Sorbonne Paris on April 23, 1910: "It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again, because there is no effort without error or shortcoming, but who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself in a worthy cause; who, at the best, knows, in the end, the triumph of high achievement, and who, at the worst, if he fails, at least he fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who knew neither victory nor defeat."
My coin website:https://fairfaxcoins.com
Edited by numismatic student
Today 2H 15M ago
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