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Pillar of the Community
United States
3670 Posts |
I think it is funny via coincidence that every time three or four days go by with little movement for G & S either way, I will mention that fact then it takes off, lol....
Because it sat idle most all week, until about 3 A.M., and something went down in the Asian market, as gold went up from 50 bucks from then until about 2 this afternoon, and silver has followed right behind nicely....
This post Labor day history has me concerned, as apparently in recent years (esp 2008), the Dow took such a major nose dive after the extended holiday weekend, that it even pulled Pm's down with it, and likely will again this season....
We will see. If the market does take a major nose dive, an yet G & S keeps climbing or holds steady, I think that will be a real solid sign of its current strength and makes me think little will be able to slow it now, short of a total face lift of the economy and the politicians and big banks that dug this hole to begin with....
Edited by Silverhawk74 09/02/2011 2:03 pm
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
830 Posts |
Well we broke through that 43.14 level, I figured as soon as I called it resistance we'd go through it.  43.38 now. Maybe that 43.14 level will now be support (new floor).
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2373 Posts |
I don't think this fall season will be anything like previous ones. The Euro is just about trashed, the dollar is in the same boat. I suspect the Fed will lean on the banks to go to the window for free money and buy short term treasuries, thus creating QEIII without having to call it such. End result is the same---more money. Demand for PM's has not been decreasing, if anything its gone up since the CFTC has raised the margin requirements about 7 times in the last 4 months. All those small to medium size futures traders took their profits and got in the hard metals line. Dodd/Frank legislation is just kicking in and makes things worse for brokers & traders and I look for physical metal demands to overcome the short positions. nlp
Edited by nlp coins 09/02/2011 3:39 pm
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts |
Quote: There is some resistance on punching through $43.12 - $43.14 area for some reason. On the other hand, silver seems to be showing considerable strength here by forming a new bottom in the $41-43 area, just as it did before in the $34-35 area. This just might be the psychological setting it needs to get above the somehow magical $50 price level. I read a number of web sites that discussed silver and its historical performance. Their consensus was that July-August were the slowest time of the year for PMs, with prices either falling or going sideways at this time. If so, and if 2011 is similar to previous years, then we might be setting the stage now for a strong upward price movement in silver. Time to buy a little more? Maybe. 
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
830 Posts |
Yep, you may be right Ed.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts |
Well, not knowing but guessing right is part of the fun of PM collecting!  About 6 weeks ago, I was pricing some 10-oz. silver bars on various PM dealer web sites. The best price I could find was $380 per bar. Today, these very same bars are going for $450... IF they are in stock. That amounts to about 18.4% over that time period. That seems like some pretty healthy price appreciation. I wonder if we have seen the last of it for a while, though. No way to know for sure.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
931 Posts |
It might get crazy again on Monday. That is the day that Germany will decide publicly if it is going to help Greece out or kick it to the curb. All signs point to Greece going down that lonely road alone. If that happens, and it probably will, in my opinion it would mean that the Euro could gain strength due to less European Central Bank printing across the Atlantic, but it could also be viewed as one of the oldest civilizations in the world going under. It is going to be an interesting day to say the least. With US markets closed metals prices will be left to the Asians and Europe. $2000 gold and $48 silver may be two days away. 
Edited by junior e 09/03/2011 10:09 pm
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1502 Posts |
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
830 Posts |
JE, I thought that was Wed the 7th that the German court was ruling.
Edited by GoThunder 09/04/2011 4:01 pm
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Pillar of the Community
United States
931 Posts |
I could be wrong. I heard it while I was doing some other stuff. I may have heard it wrong. Regardless that will be an interesting day. I apologize if my info was wrong.
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
830 Posts |
I wrote the 7th down on my calender, but I've been wrong before. 
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1026 Posts |
Well I agree I think Monday will be a very interesting day for PM.
Also I feel as for the world economy the time has finally come and it is all down hill from now on, just my 2 cents.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
667 Posts |
Ok it is just for fun - my guess. Every time the President speaks the market appears to go down. PM's do better,
Thus they might open lower but will make a climb after his TV address on jobs or what ever he is speaking about. He does it so often I forget what he is talking about.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts |
Quote: ...but it could also be viewed as one of the oldest civilizations in the world going under. It could well be. On the other hand, I am sure that Greek history is filled with great rises and falls along the path of progress. Under Alexander, Greece ruled a large part of the known world. At other times, they have been a sleepy backwater that got very little attention. Fortunes of war and all that. Quote: any bets? LOL! Every single one of us who is holding a PM IS already making a bet.  Quote:...but I've been wrong before.  Yep... me too... I thought that I was wrong once. 
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
830 Posts |
Quote:Yep... me too... I thought that I was wrong once.  LOL, yeah well I've been so wrong that I was consistently right by doing the exact opposite of what I thought was right. I heard a name for that investment strategy the other day on CNBC, "the Costanza trade"... named of course for the Seinfeld episode where George does the opposite of normal to improve his life. Hi, my name is George, I'm unemployed and live with my parents. 
Edited by GoThunder 09/04/2011 9:37 pm
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