I would agree the chances of going to a bank and receiving this coin would not even be close to reality, the people you do see on E-Bay either work in a bank( ordering coinage),or a smart/sly bank manager, work at the supplier's company, or know someone who does.
Also the way the Mint/Feds set this 2009-coinage release up is anything but a level playing field, don't kid your self....It is not always what you know, sometimes WHO you know!