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1929 $2.5 Indian Gold PCGS MS-65 -- Why Declining In Value ?

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rum_n_cola's Avatar
United States
175 Posts
 Posted 07/06/2012  10:17 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add rum_n_cola to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
I have a 1929 $2.5 Indian Gold coin. It has been graded MS65 by PCGS. I have seen the value of my coin that was once valued over $10,000 steadily decline over the past several years. This is not a common coin in this grade, and there are very few coins graded higher, though this coin just keeps going down. My question, as I am no expert, just a collector/investor, why has the 1929 $2.5 Indian graded PCGS MS65 keep declining in value? Will it ever go back up in value. Any insight into this would be welcomed as I am perplexed over this. The PCGS list price is $7,000.00, though recent prices realized at auction(stacks, etc) is around $4,000 or less. Thanks in advance to everyone that provides some insight into this matter.
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BH1964's Avatar
United States
10982 Posts
 Posted 07/06/2012  10:54 pm  Show Profile   Check BH1964's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add BH1964 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Here's the last 4 years of auction history for this date in MS65. There are no auction records to support a $10k value. Only once did this date ever go over $10k and that was likely a high-end example that someone thought would upgrade.

It does appear that the average auction price has dropped from the $6k-$7k range down to the $4k-$5k range over the last 5 years. I would speculate that as more pieces were certified at the gem level, the price dropped. The numismatic gold market has been down a bit lately too.


May-2012 $3,881 PCGS Heritage

Apr-2012 $3,738 NGC Heritage

Mar-2012 $4,025 NGC Heritage

Feb-2012 $5,405 PCGS Ira & Larry Goldberg

Feb-2012 $4,313 PCGS Heritage

Jan-2012 $4,888 PCGS Heritage

Dec-2011 $4,888 NGC Heritage

Dec-2011 $4,600 NGC Heritage

Nov-2011 $4,025 NGC Heritage

Sep-2011 $6,900 PCGS Heritage

Aug-2011 $4,754 PCGS ebay

Jul-2011 $5,001 PCGS ebay

May-2011 $4,715 NGC Ira & Larry Goldberg

Mar-2011 $4,600 NGC Heritage

Jan-2011 $6,900 PCGS Heritage

Jan-2011 $5,399 PCGS ebay

Jan-2011 $5,319 PCGS Heritage

Jan-2011 $4,889 NGC Bowers & Merena

Dec-2010 $5,175 NGC Heritage

Jul-2010 $4,890 NGC Heritage

Jun-2010 $6,325 PCGS Heritage

Jun-2010 $5,182 NGC Heritage

Apr-2010 $5,175 NGC Heritage

Jan-2010 $6,038 PCGS Heritage

May-2009 $5,290 PCGS Ira & Larry Goldberg

Feb-2009 $6,325 PCGS Heritage

Oct-2008 $5,463 PCGS Stack's

Jul-2008 $7,188 NGC Heritage


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Pillar of the Community
United States
3184 Posts
 Posted 07/06/2012  11:30 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mkman123 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The 10k price could possibly be a RedBook price.......
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D0ubl3Eagle's Avatar
United States
5854 Posts
 Posted 07/07/2012  12:32 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add D0ubl3Eagle to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Maybe more were certified at that grade level. Maybe it was a little bit over promoted. Maybe the recession. Maybe it was a combination of the factors listed and not. They are all just a guess.
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rum_n_cola's Avatar
United States
175 Posts
 Posted 07/07/2012  10:17 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add rum_n_cola to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thank you for your responses, much appreciated!
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nickelsearcher's Avatar
United States
15432 Posts
 Posted 07/07/2012  10:26 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nickelsearcher to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Alas coins are not a good investment vehicle ... as you now know.

David
Take a look at my other hobby ... http://www.jk-dk.art
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basebal21's Avatar
13014 Posts
 Posted 07/07/2012  10:44 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Economy. When its good prices go up, when its crappy they go down as people have less money to spend on coins
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Gyrene7483's Avatar
United States
1704 Posts
 Posted 07/07/2012  11:19 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Gyrene7483 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Supply and demand is a key factor in determining prices for coins and collectibles. Coins do go through cycles as collecting interests shift. As was previously mentioned one reason could be since you bought this coin there has been an increase in the population of this date in this grade which could have been enough to satisfy whatever demand there is for it now.

Unless you really need to sell it now don't worry about what the current market is for this date. As the number of TPG graded MS-65 1929-S Indians are taken off the market by collectors who intend to hold them long term the price for this date will increase once again because they will be harder to locate.

Quote:
Alas coins are not a good investment vehicle ... as you now know

Not true at all. Buying the right coins in the right grades coins are an excellent investment. With the exception of key dates in the various series most common date circulated coins from the 1800's and 1900's are not what one would consider investment material. Typically investment grade coins are those grading MS-64 and higher though there are many exceptions to that.

Ed
ANA LM-3175
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