| Author |
Replies: 13 / Views: 1,369 |
|
|
Valued Member
United States
136 Posts |
Okay, so I am a newbie and I worry a lot about our economy and one night I was watching Fox Money or something like that. Some analyst was mentioning buying gold. He was predicting a potential crash in the market, or at minimum a recession in 2008 and said people might look into buying gold.
I've done a little research and gold prices are INSANE. 800 bucks an ounce or so? I have a ton of questions.
1) is it better to buy in coin rather than bullion/ingots etc? 2) what is the markup on coin and is it worth it? I mean if there's a recession, will you lose because people are more interested in the gold rather than the coin as a collectible? 3) if you bought a coin that was minted in another country and is sold by the US mint, can you still cash that in the US for the coin value? For example, there was a 25.00 minted in Liberia... I would imagine the coin is worth 25.00 but if gold prices go up, would the coin value go up? 4) Lastly, the US Mint marks things up quite a bit. Is there somewhere else to go to get it closer to cost? Or is this avenue something not even to consider?
I hope these questions aren't too stupid. I have some investments (I try to do a little of everything like 401k, IRA, Money Market, small mutual fund, stocks and I was thinking now coins for the next thing to diversify in case my stocks die on me).
|
|
|
|
Valued Member
 United States
136 Posts |
Oh yeah, and on here I learned coins are faked, so I don't want to buy something that says is gold and isn't. How will I know for sure if I don't buy direct from the government? THANK YOU.
|
|
Bedrock of the Community
United States
12437 Posts |
1)Depends on what you call a coin. You have classic pre-1933 gold coins that have some of their value based on the price of gold but they also have numismatic value. The US Mint also produces silver, gold, and platinum bullion coins as an investment vehicle. They have a face value, but it is irrelevant as the metal value far exceeds face. They come in 1/10, 1/4, 1/2, and 1oz sizes for gold and platinum and 1oz for silver. Ingots and private rounds usually sell around or even below spot price because they sometimes have to be assayed for purity since there is no guarantee as to the fineness weight. 2)Numismatic values of gold coins depend on many variables. Condition, rarity, and demand all factor into the value. Regardless of how the economy goes, a demand for classic gold coins will always be there from coin collectors. 3)I do not know what you mean here- the US Mint only sells US Mint products and nothing from any other country. We have nothing to do with the currency of Liberia. Other countries mint and sell bullion coins- Canada(Maple Leaf), Mexico(Libertad), Great Britain(Britannia), Australia(Nugget), South Africa(Krugerrand) just to name a few. Those bullion coins have accepted gold values but are still usually bought and sold below prices of American Eagles. 4)If you are referring to buying current Mint items cheaper than the selling price by the Mint, not gonna happen. If you are referring to the bullion coins cost over spot, there are good reasons for this. American Eagles are the most popular precious metal bullion coins in the world. Being minted by the US Mint guarantees a certain weight and fineness of the metal so no assaying costs are involved to liquidate. Because of the way the US Mint distributes investment-grade bullion coins, you cannot buy them directly. Authorized dealers make the direct purchases through contract pricing based on metals prices. The requirements for being an AD are steep http://www.usmint.gov/consumer/inde...ericanEagles. These dealers in turn sell directly in some cases but mostly to other smaller dealers. Also in that link are the prices over spot that the ADs pay. Just remember, gold is a good investment diversification but don't convert your whole portfolio to gold. The current prices have not been seen since 1980 when it reached $850. Many people bought in at 600, 700, $800 and are just now finally seeing gold return to those levels 27 years later. Is the market peaking or is the ceiling higher still? I can't answer that and no one else can either. You have to decide for yourself on which side you are willing to bet it will break.
Edited by biokemist6 11/05/2007 8:49 pm
|
|
Valued Member
 United States
136 Posts |
Wow! THANK you; your are very knowledgable. Okay on 1) I see what you say; it cost to be assayed (I am guessing authenticated, weighed and tested?) so you CAN get a good deal. I don't think I am close to ready for chancing such a thing. 2) That's a fantastic thing to know. Numistic collectors for gold are probably people with more money naturally you are hinting at? So if the market goes down, only those with funds and this as a hobby will still be there... something I can see and understand. Maybe like Wine collecting? 3) Ok, I got a catalog from teh mint the other day and it DID have coins that said other countries but the face of it was US. The one particular one was a small Kennedy 25.00 gold coin, of small weight and size. It had old mint cents. At least I thought it was. I tossed the catalog (not experienced enough and still debating if I should buy anything at all at this point as I've only been doing circulated coins and mint sets). The catalog did say that the American Eagles were the most collected coins (I was unsure if they were just saying that or not). They did have some for sale, but they were VERY expensive. a COUPLE thousand dollars or more! Not something I can afford at the moment (especially in my novice state). Now I am questioning what catalog I received! I could've sworn it was the US Mint (it had Barry Goldwater Jr's name inside the cover so if that's something else to watch for wrong, please let me know. Already had an incident with lack of knowledge from Littleton Coin... didn't know what I was doing when ordering a coin book from them. Ended up in some "club". I just cancelled that. LOL I am pretty green here.
THANKS again. I am worried about it because it seems so high. However, I do worry about the war, and to be honest, I've not done well in some areas. 401k lost a lot of money last year, a few years ago I cashed a large chunk of my mutual because it lost so much I was back at my initial investment. I had been with that for 12 years or something like that. The savings rates are still low 1-2% and what if there is a WWIII or something. Most of that will be useless and I think the best thing to do is have something more hard to keep one afloat. I guess that's worst case scenario, but I want to cover my bases. But I don't want to jump either. It's VERY expensive. I am not wealthy so... best thing to do is educate myself. You helped a LOT. Very knowledgable and friendly. Thanks.
|
|
Bedrock of the Community
United States
12437 Posts |
Aha, Barry Goldwater Jr. is your culprit then eh? He is head of the National Collectors Mint and has absolutely NOTHING to do with the US MINT. They are strictly a retail operation and a shoddy one at that selling spurious merchandise to novice collectors. Go to the US Mint website and browse around if you are interested in the collector versions(proof finish and West Point mintmarked uncirculated) of American Eagles or Buffalos http://catalog.usmint.gov/webapp/wc...alogId=10001As an aside, if you are worried about 401k performance, try diversifying it more than you already do. Unless you are within 5-10 years of retirement age, do not worry about a bit of a downturn- in the long run you will come out ahead. Cashing it out is a horrible mistake unless you roll it over or are in a dire financial crisis. I have a variation of a 401k called a 403b. Since I am in my early 30s and nowhere near retirement, it is all stock but highly diversified. I have several funds comprised of major US stocks but my main diversifiers are a fund that tracks the healthcare/biotech sector, a REIT(real estate investment trust) that tracks mainly commercial real estate so I am not terribly affected by the mortgage stuff, and an emerging markets fund that invests in solid international companies in stable countries. My funds are all high quality Vanguard funds and my annual return for the past 3 years is over 20% due to my diversification. Not everyone has access to Vanguard but most mutual fund companies will have similar funds that should return 8-12% annually. If you have alot of single company stocks in your 401k(like your employer) do your best to reduce those holdings and transition to mutual funds or even bonds. Single company stock 401ks is what killed the the investment-challenged employees of Enron. The smart ones didnt have 80% of their retirement holdings in a single stock and they are the ones with a retirement savings left while the others are just holding scraps of paper  Diversification would have prevented that...
Edited by biokemist6 11/06/2007 12:12 pm
|
|
Valued Member
 United States
136 Posts |
Great; clears up the mystery. Like I said, I am new to all this and don't know the basics. I do have SOME common sense on issues but mostly I am green as they come. I have sooo many questions. Ok, got the difference.
As for the downturn, we are older but in our 40's. We have changed funds, the company switched carriers so that was the downturn I think. We'll hang tough and scope out other possible funds to switch to. We only have a small amount in say Ameritrade stocks and have a rule that if we reach 40% return plus our transaction fee, we sell. So we've done ok with that mark.
I appreciate your response, I will be posting another post on coin book questions next. I have NO clue what I am doing so hopefully someone can help me out.
|
|
Valued Member
United States
455 Posts |
Gold coins are great, fun to collect too.
2-3 years ago I thought the Saints and Indians were pricey when gold was around $400. We all know now what an "opportunity" that was.
It's very possible that the Buffaloes and Eagles I bought for $700-800 this year will be worth half that in the future. (opportunity, see above).
I guess what I'm trying to say is "average in." Buy some this year, some next year, and so on. Down the road in 15 or 20 years you'll have a pile of gold that may be worth more than you paid for it.
Even if you're sitting on huge pile of cash, I don't think it's wise to invest it all at the same price.If there's a worldwide calamity that fractures ours and others economies, we'll all have bigger worries than if our coins are made of silver or gold.
Don't worry, be happy.
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
2269 Posts |
About the gold Buffalo. As of right now the 24K Gold Proof Buffalo cannot be placed in an IRA. The UNC Buffalo can, the reason, Proof Buffalos are sold by the US mint as a "collector coin".
Your probably thinking, if the Proof Buffalo cannot be put into an IRA, then why can the Proof American Gold Eagle? In 1997 A law was passed concerning that very issue. Proof Eagles were allowed into a IRA. Buffalo's weren't in existence 10 years ago and are not written in the law.
If the mint didn't advertise the Proof Buffalo as a collector coin, then they can be included in an IRA.
I would stick with an UNC Buffalo for an IRA of any AGE.
|
|
Valued Member
United States
455 Posts |
Speaking of proof Buffaloes, it looks our friends at the mint raised their price. A few months back when I got mine it was $800, now they're asking $899.95.
The price increase makes sense with the recent run up. Has the US Mint ever lowered the price on their gold pieces when the market warrants it?
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
2269 Posts |
I don't think the mint lowered the price on anything recently. As for the Buffalo, it looks like the price will be going up real soon. Gold is at $834.00. If it keeps this up, the Proof Buffalo should be unavailable by the weekend.
|
|
Valued Member
United States
76 Posts |
Good questions to be asking. There are several ways (and reasons) to buy gold. I strongly recommend buying in coin (not bar) form. Much easier to sell later (no need for assaying). And cooler and more fun (I think)! If you want the most gold for the least money, you probably want something like 1 oz Krugerrands. They are recognized and trusted world-wide, have their gold content stamped on them, and usually sell for about $7 each over spot price. Gold American Eagles (or Canadian Maples) are also a good choice, but cost a little more ($20-$30 over spot). You can also get smaller sizes (1/2, 1/4, and 1/10 oz), but these normally cost a little more per ounce than the full ounce coins. If you like to hold a 100-year-old coin in your hand, you can often get $20 Liberties, $20 Saints, $10 Liberties, and sometimes $5 Liberties at or near spot price (for coins in circulated condition and common dates/mint marks). Obviously, certain dates and grades can be very expensive, and take a lot of knowledge to know what you're doing. $10 Indians, $5 Indians, and the smaller gold coins usually go for large premiums over spot price (about 150% or more). You can't go too far wrong just buying Krugerrands for investment purposes from a trusted dealer like CNI (golddealer.com) or APMEX (apmex.com). They list their buy and sell prices for all to see. Basically, I would aim to buy Krugerrands at about $7 over spot and you can't go too wrong (you should be able to sell them back for $7-$10 under spot). Good luck! PS: The US Mint is usually overpriced, in my experience.
Edited by Always Write 11/07/2007 01:33 am
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
1026 Posts |
WOW have been watching gold go up every day now for the last week where will it stop went up $3.50 since 10am this morning.
Someone on here said they think gold may get to $1000.00 they may be close to correct.
|
|
New Member
United States
28 Posts |
I have gold coins and although they are at least worth melt value, I buy them more as a collectible than an investment.
If you are considering gold as an investment, rather than purchasing hard assets like coins, you could look at investing in gold mining companies.
I believe in every issue of Barron's, there is a list of Gold Prices as well as the top 6 or 7 reliable coins such as the Canadian Maple, American Eagle, etc. It will also give you the premium of the coin over the spot rate.
|
|
Pillar of the Community
United States
1026 Posts |
Like the gold coins for coins just saying WOW gold sure is going up went up $9.00 since yesterday.
|
| |
Replies: 13 / Views: 1,369 |
|