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Replies: 9 / Views: 2,464 |
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Valued Member
Australia
491 Posts |
Have been following silver's price action for about 3 years now and the way the Aussie $ has preformed silver has stayed the same price for over 2 years basically because the AU$ keeps falling. So is there a chance the US$ could lose some ground to the AU$ in the next 12 months if the US increases there interest rate from 0% ? Can anyone see the US$ falling compared to the AU$ at all? My Kilo Kookaburra keeps out of my reach. What I am hoping for is the down trend in the silver price to continue coupled with an increase in the AU$ compared to the US$. I am waiting for the perfect storm to get my set of Kookaburra's from the Perth Mint by using my native AU$.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
3789 Posts |
@kg5
based on trends and price action, the aussie dollar will continue to weak and has no signs at all of wanting to reverse its downtrend, this week it was still making year lows.
The dollar remains in an uptrend as well and it doesn't appear to be stalling either.
Remember, all trends take time to reverse, whether they are up or down.
How low and how high each goes is up to the market but neither are showing changes to their trends even after several years here.
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Pillar of the Community
Australia
7096 Posts |
As most of the Australian exports are priced in USD having a Low AUD is an advantage. It is a real pain for us guys that send coins to the US to be graded though 
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Valued Member
 Australia
491 Posts |
Thanks yup & trout!
Watching the price action is a very handy tool when working with anything.
The Aussie $ is reaching into the US$ 60c's.
I was doing a deal in the US and bailed out some months ago as price action showed the AU$ was on the nose. I am so glad I did as the increase in cost of the pre order is already at over 12% and still growing.
I keep looking and finding info about the global market place and so much of it looks so soft and ready to unravel.
So many things have changed. Last big fall in the early 90's in Aussie had interest rates from a bank at AU$19.75% and at present we are at 4.75% from a bank.
So my eyes are on inflation and employment globally.
So many things are pushing silver & many other things out of shape........
Edited by kg5 09/01/2015 6:13 pm
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Valued Member
United States
52 Posts |
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Rest in Peace
United States
2668 Posts |
The over-building and skulduggery in the Chinese market is heavily influencing commodities and the Australian economy.
There are several 'entities' in the world that have over 50 million ounces stashed in reserve. As the price reaches their profit point unloading will begin, thus prices will slowly climb in the foreseeable future - after they hit bottom.
I buy silver to keep in case it (and gold) is one day the only exchange accepted other than barter.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4333 Posts |
Silver, 0
The dollar, hoorah!
When I listen to LED ZEPPELIN...so do my neighbors... Roll hunting since '77 Dirt fishing since '72
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Valued Member
 Australia
491 Posts |
Thank you Crescendo. Interesting about the cost above spot . But on this forum I see offers at very small premiums above spot for the US buyers.
But other posting put US premiums way above the AU spot price.
Iron Ore and coal have been hit big time for AU market but it still does not add up to why Australia has one of the softest economies that are still in one piece.
Anything paper is going to burn it is just a number on a piece of paper that is very shortly going to turn into nothing.Be it shares, precious metals, bonds, bank account numbers and very possibly money that has no precious metals in it as well.
It has been a very short period of time that silver and gold have not been put into commonly used currencies. Soon if you have not got it in your hand and its all on paper you will loose everything.
I also have some very strong beliefs that we are very close to something that has never happened before.
I do not know how much info is going to the US and elsewhere around the world about the middle east, Africa, europe, China and the Americas. This is not a forum to open these issues up.
I will very briefly mention a few things. The people that have no country any more is reaching unmeasurable proportions. The isis issue, God only knows how that will shape up.Natural catastrophes happen and possible.The category 5 Hurricane that recently hit Tiwana, Southern Islands of Japan and China was a long wave south of the equator. Prophecies that have come to pass and are to come to pass.The Tetrad and the Jubilee Year are coming and coming to an end.Politicians and the masses are changing the very fabric of our social structure.
We are going to find out....
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Valued Member
United States
52 Posts |
Intriguing. So one could speculate we're in a major deflationary state, which, in theory, can lead to a hyper-inflationary state. But back to metals - sounds like no matter where you are, it's a good time to buy up everything you can get your hands. I think the US does have a very different perspective, yes. It's very easy to forget the sheer quantity of US Dollars globally compared to domestically here. Most people don't realize that the strength of the dollar has a lot more to do with international demand and use than anything else. Which, of course, that strength is a driving factor for pushing metal prices down valued against the dollar. So, in relation to the Australian currency, or anywhere, for that matter - doesn't the concept of "currency wars" create a rather good basis for continuing to expect currency values to fall?
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Valued Member
 Australia
491 Posts |
Silver........
Lots of countries are doing trade deals with China.
The power of the US$ has to take on an interest rate increase sooner than later.
Silver continues to follow the AU$ within reason.......
We are really in strange times that is for sure!
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Replies: 9 / Views: 2,464 |
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