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Replies: 9 / Views: 1,828 |
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Pillar of the Community
United States
6370 Posts |
Gold is up nearly $100 this week and silver rose by a dollar. Is this a good or bad economic indicator?
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Pillar of the Community
United States
519 Posts |
In my opinion, which is probably worth not much, this is a reflection of fear in world economic markets. Should the stock market begin to rise again, PM will generally begin to fall again. However, I believe the equities have further to drop, possibly another 5% or so. Personally, I hope gold does drop, as I am finally able to buy some, but I will wait for a drop in price.
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Rest in Peace
United States
18456 Posts |
I still say the price of oil is keeping gold and silver down . Seems like we can't have our cake and eat it too.
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
10982 Posts |
It's a negative economic indicator.
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Rest in Peace
United States
17900 Posts |
Yeah, gas at $1.49 per gallon. Weird prices up and down.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
5854 Posts |
I don't think it would be wise to characterize the economic situation based on a week's worth of price movement in precious metals. There could be a host of other reasons for the move that have nothing to do with the economy.
With that said, gold does have a tendency of performing well during periods of economic uncertainty. There are monetary and opportunity costs to holding gold since it doesn't produce any net positive cash flow until the moment you sell it. So it usually only gets bought up when the alternatives are bad. In recent months, risky assets like stocks and corporate bonds have not done so well. If history is any guide, gold performed well during the 1930's, 1970's, and 2000's all of which were relatively poor periods economically. Gold performed poorly during the 1990's which was a relatively good period.
Silver is trickier because it usually likes to follow its big sister but almost 56% of the demand comes from industrial applications whereas its closer to 7-8% for gold. Silver's correlation with gold can put it at odds with it's industrial demand. So, I guess it will depend on which one of these forces is stronger.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
558 Posts |
Totally off subject. It would be super-d-duper & really awesome if the price of crude oil went through the roof, or even raised a few bucks for the next forever. Or even for the next 2 months.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
5830 Posts |
I believe that oil prices can cause other part of the industries to be effected, other may disagree, it is this unbalance that have some investors decided to park their money mostly in gold.
If and when oil prices stabilize, I think price of gold and other precious metal to drop again.
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
3692 Posts |
Today was quite nuts re: gold price. All action (buying) down, retailers crying, labor from the day before is gone just to restock gold used up yesterday so let's hope it doesn't take a schizophrenic nose-dive. High prices are not good for the gold industry; only stable prices are good. Platinum is still not an "alternative" to gold since the labor on platinum is very high, but there is talk about it. Premiums on silver are ridiculously high still; the price should be way higher IMO. Silver doesn't get much respect lol. Everybody is taking their dust to the refiners - big day. Surely this is some kind of price bounce because the refiners can't hold the inventory for long without increasing the premiums (this reminds me of that April a few years back -2012?- when silver did a fake-out rise after 2011's rise and fall, and PM dealers simply rose their premiums when the price started falling again at basically the same level as the top before the fall).
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
6370 Posts |
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Replies: 9 / Views: 1,828 |
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