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Holdings Ratio

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chris12018's Avatar
United States
2130 Posts
 Posted 09/23/2011  9:10 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add chris12018 to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
I was looking for opinions on silver to gold holdings ratio.
What do you think is good balance?
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bjones's Avatar
United States
304 Posts
 Posted 09/23/2011  10:20 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add bjones to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Depends on your portfolio, goals, capital, age vs. retirement age, etc. I am nearing "middle age", have some retirement accounts built up, but a long way to go. I am very much in the working/middle class (although I'm high class all the way ). I would say for me a good safe-side ratio is between 10-20 oz Ag / 1 oz Au. After the market movement today the price ratio is 53:1 silver:gold, but as far as I know silver is widely considered to be more volatile than gold.

Any way just my personal opinion here.
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sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 09/24/2011  12:01 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
To answer this question, it is necessary to look at the graph histories of gold and silver reasonably often, and over a period of years. these graphs are freely available on the Net. It also may be worth keeping the tabs on the gold / silver price ratio and finding a chart on this, or making and keeping a graph for yourself, and also keeping a tracking graph of all three, of the six month and 2 year moving averages at one month intervals.

It may be also be possile to find 200 day moving average graphs on the Net. Such a graph is the nearest thing to a six month moving average, but are maintained on a daily basis.

From these information graphs, it becomes more rational on how you should change your position in relation to PM's. A simple calculator is all you need to keep a moving average graph, and it is easiest from a practical point of view, to update these graphs on a monthly basis.
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United States
302 Posts
 Posted 09/24/2011  12:44 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mmerlinn to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The g/s ratio in my recollection has varied from 60:1 to 16:1 in the last 45 years. My opinion is that at 50:1 or higher, one should sell gold and buy silver. I don't know what the ratio between the two "should" be, but I run on the assumption that 35:1 is a reasonable average ratio. That said, dumping silver and buying gold at 30:1 or lower makes sense also.

Today's ratio of 53:1 tells me it is time to get out of gold and into silver. However, I strongly suspect that the ratio will go higher, so I would not swap all at once, just leg in on every higher ratio.

The gold/platinum ratio is also out of whack. Platinum prices are lower than gold prices. All the more reason to move from gold to something else.

Is that the right move for the long run? No one knows. All you can do is work the averages and over time (if you live long enough) you will always come out on top.
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biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 09/25/2011  01:48 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
What do you think is good balance?


I think the traditional one was king on one side, bars of gold on the other.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 09/25/2011  6:17 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
A gold and silver balance is something that is VERY dependent upon the person doing the investing. It is a lot like the "right" ratio of stocks to bonds. In other words, everyone has to figure it out for themselves.

A ratio that would work well for me might not work well for you. Still, you could try putting 50-50 of your invest-able PM cash into gold and silver. Try that for a while and see how it works. Adjust as necessary.

Also, PMs should probably be no more than 5-20% of your investment portfolio. You need to decide on that as well. Most people start at the small end of this and then raise it if they become more confident in PM investing.
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