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Buy The Holder, Not The Coin...

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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts
 Posted 01/24/2014  8:03 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list

Quote:
the GSA Morgans are a lot more of a story. This is a coin that inadvertently ended up packed in the wrong set. The GSA Morgans sat in the mint vaults for decades and were released in special holders - and then taken out of the holders and graded. If you want to do that fine, but even the graders figured out that they were not doing the coin owners a service by doing that and started grading them in the original holders.


Sitting in a vault adds no value, plenty of coins sit in values forever only to be discovered later or sit in mint bags unopened for decades. If a GSA morgan is special for that so is a Kennedy that was released before it ever should have been in a set it was never supposed to be in.

Theres no way the birth set could have been slabbed without making a hinged book or sealing it with a label that meant you could never open it to look at to assure the coin in it is what they say it is. If there was a way they probably would have slabbed it in the set.

That was a pretty big packaging error on a couple of different levels. If you dont like the back story fair enough thats fine, but the lineage is still there as long as it doesn't get cracked out. Its like a chain of evidence it applies until you lose it at some point. Its not the label youre paying for it the traced lineage.
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10038 Posts
 Posted 01/24/2014  8:22 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list
@CoinsKelly


Quote:
biokemist hit the nail on the head.




How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash?
Download and read: Grading the graders
Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halves
https://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
Bedrock of the Community
United States
17884 Posts
 Posted 01/25/2014  09:28 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Conder101 to your friends list

Quote:
Its not really any different than a gsa morgan, was just packaged different for how it was sold

But even the GSA Morgans are worth more still in the original packaging. Take them out and they are just another Morgan, even if the holder is labeled GSA.
Pillar of the Community
United States
2815 Posts
 Posted 01/25/2014  09:52 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Darth Morgan to your friends list
Good discussion, and I can see good points on both sides of the issue. For me, the set should have never been opened. The "unique" value was essentially destroyed when that happened. NGC's label keeps the pedigree alive, but being out of the error packaging makes me feel that it's meaningless in reality.
Pillar of the Community
United States
1903 Posts
 Posted 01/25/2014  1:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add unholyroller to your friends list
I still think that these coins deserve closer scrutiny to determine if it was just a mistake that silver coins were put in the set or if wrong planchets were put into a clad run of coins. Would make a huge difference in my eyes.
Pillar of the Community
United States
3755 Posts
 Posted 01/25/2014  4:34 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add smokeriderdon to your friends list

Quote:
these coins deserve closer scrutiny to determine if it was just a mistake that silver coins were put in the set or if wrong planchets were put into a clad run of coins


I agree 100% I wish I could remember who it was here who said they got a couple of these sets.


Quote:
Are you thinking what I am thinking? It seems like we have had a similar discussion before.


Something told me someone would try to make this comparison. Just had to be you jbuck. LOL The argument of if it comes out of the slab, all pedigree is lost, is similar, the reasons for the pedigree are different. That, IMO, gives the ASE slabs more legitimacy. But that is just my opinion.

The Kennedy IS exactly the same coin as the ones in the regular silver proof sets. Same mint, same dies etc etc etc. So there really is NO difference in the coin itself, just what package it was put into and the timing of it. And possibly the pressure thing. But then that would make it different...but that is just a theory so doesn't really enter into it. Ramble much?

The ASE's ARE struck in different mints. There is no argument about that. Clearly that is a difference. That gives the slab more value IMO.


Quote:
Its not really any different than a gsa morgan


basebal, I see your point, but I too think you are off base there. The GSA's did not just sit in a vault. They sat in a vault for a VERY long time, were thought long gone, re-discovered, about to be melted, saved by a Presidential decree, packaged and sold by the government in special mail in auctions...yeah, a bit more than OOOOPS! some silver planchets got in the mix.



Quote:
If there was a way they probably would have slabbed it in the set.


Not so sure on that. At one point NGC did not slab the Morgans in the cases, and PCGS still does not to my knowledge. And I don't think it would be to hard for them to do a label for that set. Just with the same caveat as with the Morgans and Ikes. The coin does not get their guarantee.
Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts
 Posted 01/25/2014  6:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list

Quote:
basebal, I see your point, but I too think you are off base there. The GSA's did not just sit in a vault. They sat in a vault for a VERY long time, were thought long gone, re-discovered, about to be melted, saved by a Presidential decree, packaged and sold by the government in special mail in auctions...yeah, a bit more than OOOOPS! some silver planchets got in the mix.


Yea but at the end of the day its just a CC morgan in a different package. I feel like some of it is just a bias against moderns, where the Morgan story happened a while ago so that makes it valuable but because the Kennedy happened today its not. I do think a GSA Morgan should have a premium just like these should, but if the arguement against it is that its the same coin in a different package thats what a GSA morgan is.


Quote:

At one point NGC did not slab the Morgans in the cases, and PCGS still does not to my knowledge.


PCGS does slab them in the case now. They actually slab the whole box which they started some time last year I believe.


Quote:

And I don't think it would be to hard for them to do a label for that set.


It seems that theyll label things if the label can assure that the coins arent removed. The GSA morgans for example you would have to break the label to open. Being that this was a book the only way to do that would have been to seal the book shut or put the label directly over the coin. Maybe someone has a more creative method no ones thought of but they wont just use a label if the coin could be replaced with the label unharmed.
Pillar of the Community
United States
3755 Posts
 Posted 01/25/2014  6:37 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add smokeriderdon to your friends list
I have never seen this set IRL. But from looking at the pics, it seems that the blister packaging would slide out towards the spine. Simply label it there. It would be a narrow label, but I think it would work. Maybe.


Quote:
PCGS does slab them in the case now


About time someone over there had a fit of intelligence.
Edited by smokeriderdon
01/25/2014 6:38 pm
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10038 Posts
 Posted 01/25/2014  8:57 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list
I was just a kid but I remember the GSA Morgan sale. I have one of the original brochures. I find it interesting that is labeled as a sale and yet inside they tell you to make a $30 minimum bid. A couple places of the brochure suggest you send more than that $30 b/c they cannot guarantee you one at that price, but at least they offer you a refund.

Reading up on the GSA Morgan sale before making this post shows public perception of the "sale" was one of it being too gimmicky. In fact one place I read coin dealers were criticizing the government because it was not the government's job to be a coin dealer. Also the government was criticized for using sales terminology it discouraged private businesses from from using in that the government was making it sound that these coins were a great investment for the future.

I think when it gets down to the nitty-gritty of things that we are dealing with a case where an object's value had to be specifically pointed out in order for that object to be seen (by some people) worthy of a higher value. Unfortunately there are ridiculous fads that are made up of nothing more than hype (such as beanie babies), and it might be that people parallel these two situations. Unfortunately hype can be found in both instances regardless of the actual history/worth of a collectable.

In the case of the GSA Morgan's, the government was trying to make money so they overhyped the situation and charged too much. It backfired in that they got stuck with over 1 million coins not sold! in later years Carter held another sale.

It seems that time has done nothing to help the issue when the actual value of these coins is considered. Online sites are saying that a 1974 dollar is worth (averaged) about $6 now. So in today's terms the original sale said the government could not guarantee you a coin if you bid (then 30.00) $180. They were recommending that you send (then $50) $300.00. Currently Newmismedia lists the 1882, 1883, 1884 GSAs (if they are in MS 64) as being worth (drum roll)... about $300.

So GSA Morgan's had no great investment value since the price is the same today. Time has erased most of the knowledge of the overhyped original terms of this sale/auction. It seems the larger looking price tag the GSA Morgans is what makes the modern perception that these were a good investment. If a person did get one back then for 180.00 (today's money), they have less than doubled the value of what they spent in 40 years.

Again I want to reiterate that I am not condemning anyone for collecting what they like. Remember this is coming from a guy who collects glass insulators and railroad date nails! Both of these have interesting places in our history, but both of them have no intrinsic value whatsoever as their constituent elements are as common as dirt (come to think of it... they are dirt).



How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash?
Download and read: Grading the graders
Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halves
https://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
Pillar of the Community
United States
2815 Posts
 Posted 01/26/2014  10:17 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Darth Morgan to your friends list
Very informative, Earle42. I enjoyed reading your assessment. It seems to me that prices for Morgans have been relatively stable the past couple of years. I'm basing this strictly from an ebay perspective. Do you concur?
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10038 Posts
 Posted 01/26/2014  1:23 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list
@Darth,
There is no way I am qualified to even offer an opinion on this since I do not keep my eye specifically on Morgans. I like them and have some, but these were all just random accumulations with no idea of trying to obtain an actual set.
How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash?
Download and read: Grading the graders
Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halves
https://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10038 Posts
 Posted 02/01/2014  1:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list
Here we go...
http://www.ebay.com/itm/2012-error-...B:SS:US:1123

It is not graded/slabbed, but it will be interesting to see how the end price of this will compare with a slabbed one.

Of course it will not prove anything since its only one instance, but it will be interesting to watch.
How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash?
Download and read: Grading the graders
Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halves
https://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
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United States
23522 Posts
 Posted 02/01/2014  1:34 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list

Quote:
Here we go...
http://www.ebay.com/itm/2012-error-...B:SS:US:1123

It is not graded/slabbed, but it will be interesting to see how the end price of this will compare with a slabbed one.

Of course it will not prove anything since its only one instance, but it will be interesting to watch.


You know that error was first discovered/publicized here at Coin Community, right?

https://goccf.com/t/114548
Pillar of the Community
Canada
2805 Posts
 Posted 02/01/2014  2:27 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nalaberong to your friends list
OK, let's say you hop in your time machine, grab a shiny new dollar from 2024, jump back here and get it authenticated as some kind of "future date error". When 2024 rolls around, this coin is exactly like any other 2024 dollar, but it is sitting in a slab as a one-of-a-kind error. So I have wondered if this hypothetical coin could have value before 2024, and would it keep that value after 2024 by virtue of the slab it's in?
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10038 Posts
 Posted 02/01/2014  2:30 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list

Quote:
You know that error was first discovered/publicized here at Coin Community, right?

Proud snd humbled to be part of such a great group of people!
How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash?
Download and read: Grading the graders
Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halves
https://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
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