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CAC Opinions?

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 Posted 04/22/2014  2:42 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tbone to your friends list

Quote:
As for the founder's desire that all coins be "sight unseen" high quality being the reason for starting the company. That seems daft to me. I won't buy coins, particularly would NEVER buy a $5K-$10K coin sight unseen just because it is in a MS65 slab or has a CAC sticker. IMO, that is completely nuts so the whole premise behind the company is a ruse/scam!


Please don't take this the wrong way, but I'm going to assume you are not over the age of 50. Back in the late 80s, and early 90s this was a very common practice amongst dealers.

http://www.usrarecoininvestments.co..._trading.htm



Quote:
The fourth major development of the 1980s was the process of "sight-unseen" dealer trading. When PCGS was launched in 1986, the 32 original major dealers who were the first PCGS authorized dealers agreed to accept PCGS grading and buy PCGS coins on a "sight-unseen" basis. This was quite different from the way coins were traded up until that time. Before sight-unseen Bidding, a dealer could say he was buying at a certain price even if he really didn't want to buy any more coins. With third-party grading and sight-unseen Bidding, buy prices became much more transparent and, frankly, more real. For dealers, third-party grading did two significant things. First, volume went way up. Demand was huge, and the market was much more efficient. Sales increased by many multiples. Second, third-party grading took the wiggle room out of coin trading and margins decreased. For the coin buying public, third-party grading did two very positive things. First, problems with misrepresentation of quality basically became a thing of the past. Second, dealer buy/sell spreads decreased. For the coin buying public, third-party grading made it easier to get what they paid for and to pay a price that was much closer to dealer buy prices.

The sight-unseen buying and selling of third-party graded coins between dealers was made possible by the launch of electronic trading systems for these coins and this type of transaction. The first electronic system for third-party graded coins was the American Numismatic Information Exchange (ANIE), a company started in a partnership of the 32 original PCGS authorized dealers. ANIE was soon replaced by the Certified Coin Exchange (CCE), an offshoot of the original coin dealer national teletype system, and today, CCE remains the electronic trading system of choice for US rare coin dealers. The Coin Dealer Newsletter, as always, responded to market changes and launched a separate publication, the Certified Coin Dealer Newsletter (CCDN), or "Bluesheet" to list weekly dealer sight-unseen Bid prices for third-party graded coins.
Edited by Tbone
04/22/2014 2:54 pm
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 Posted 04/22/2014  3:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list
I'm not sure what part of "Albanese is risking millions of his own money and his rep as the most influential dealer of his time on CAC being what he says it is" that you guys are missing.
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 Posted 04/22/2014  4:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list

Quote:
Several dealers send in all of their coins and it seems like they ALL GET STICKERED. That smacks of collusion and more garbage in this industry!


Thats really just misinformation.

The only people that know what a dealer sent to CAC are the dealer and CAC. Theres 50 different ways for a dealer to unload a coin without it being public if they only want to only sell CAC or high end stuff.

The reality is big dealers do better on submissions to TPGs and CAC because theyre more selective. Theyve seen more coins in their career and have more experience which allows them to be more selective in what they send off and have a bigger stock to pick from. The dont get better results because theyre a dealer, they get better results from their experience.

CAC members can call and ask about why any coin didnt sticker and theyll tell them. Its all out in the open. Sometimes theres an issue you didnt see, other times its as simple as it would sticker one grade lower.

Theres no collusion and honestly suggesting it suggests that you arent familiar with JA/CAC or why he started it. CAC does also actively engage in helping people recover money when they get scammed for large amounts with coins which they should be applauded for.

To expand on what Tbone posted the purpose of CAC was not only to tighten up grades but help identify sight unseen buying which all the major dealers do. It allows them to offer things that they wouldnt be able to otherwise and increase their sales. JA did an interview about how important it is to identify high end coins for their grade which is a fantastic read. Back before they started the coins at the low end of a grade were dragging down the prices for the high end ones because a dealer didnt know which one they were going to get. What CAC has done is allowed those strong coins to flourish on their own merits instead of being held back by the low end ones or the barely make the grade ones with sight unseen buying.

Heres the interview with him which I would recommend everyone takes a couple minutes to read. http://www.caccoin.com/cac-in-the-n...urice-rosen/

I would strongly suggest looking more into John Albanese though. The number of people that have dealt with the level of quality and quantity he has is incredibly small. I would actually say no one has been more influential on the hobby in our lifetime and probably much longer than that given the three companies hes had a hand in founding.

Like Superdave mentioned everything they sticker is backed by their own money. You can sell anything right back to them with a sticker, unlike a TPG it doesn't even have to be an error you can just outright sell it. Hes not doing anyone any favors at his own expense. They have made mistakes in the past and they quietly buy it back and make it go away when they see something with their name on it they changed their mind about.


Quote:

Without knowing how many have been sent into them and attempted, saying that only 1000 means something is just a guess, isn't it?


Yes and no. The whole series including the uncir silvers has close to if not over 100k graded by pcgs and ngc combined at that grade level. Some are more likely than others to have been sent in but you can safely assume a significant percentage has been sent in at that level. The sticker can be the difference of 100 dollars or more in sale price depending on the date and mint mark. If you look at the CAC pop you can further break it down and see a lot of those 1000 stickers ended up on the easier to get D mints that had a higher quality overall.

Using the 1971 P MS 66 as a case study PCGS has 56 graded at that level and NGC is likely around the same if not more. Being a 4 figure coin this is a coin where most of them have probably been submitted with a little over 100 examples graded. A CAC on this one is a good value jump so the incentive is certainly there. Out of those 100 plus only 11 have stickered. Even if you say only half of them have been submitted thats only 1 out of 5 stickering. Thats a pretty low rate and its likely more like 1 out of 8 or 9.

The 76 P Type 1 has 477 65s and 23 66s from PCGS and again double the number to count NGC ones as well. CAC has stickered 0 in 66 and 9 in 65. Theres a good chance every MS 66 for that one has come across their grading floor at some point.

Its not that easy to get things stickered especially rare and high end things. You can find similar type numbers across a lot of series when controlling for the grade levels and price ranges that are almost assured to have been submitted at some time. Even assuming only half were submitted you still end up with a low stickering level.

They dont say when a coins been rejected because they dont want to create a bias against them. A low percentage are over graded just like a low percentage are undergraded, most are accurately graded though. Not stickering doesn't mean its over graded, just that its not a premium coin for the grade. It can be an accurately graded coin just on the low end of the scale that would sticker a grade lower since it would be very strong for the next grade down.

Its true not every coin has been there and there are premium coins that just havent been put in front of them that would sticker. However, the more expensive the coin is the less likely it is they havent reviewed it at some point even if the current owner didnt send it in.
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 Posted 04/23/2014  2:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BuffalosRock to your friends list

Quote:
Please don't take this the wrong way, but I'm going to assume you are not over the age of 50. Back in the late 80s, and early 90s this was a very common practice amongst dealers


I am over 50 Tbone, but only became an active collector again about 4.5 years ago so I have no idea what went on in the 80's 90's 00's. I just think it crazy for anyone to deal in high price coins sight-unseen, PERIOD. There are certain gold coin dealers I stay away from because they literally sell the slab and don't care what the coin looks like one iota - they use bait-and-switch pics or "stock pics" and think that is fine business practice. I find that off-putting and it just strikes me as weird. But at least gold has the melt-value part going for it on low UNC and lower grades.

I do thank you for your info tho as it explains some of the dealers I see who still want you to buy w/o pics and think descriptions-only, or slabbed grades only, are acceptable for listing to sell ( IMO pics can be doctored/deceptive enough as it is but buying on description alone is really out there! )

Thanks for the info guys, I'm learning some from it.
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 Posted 04/23/2014  4:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list
Buffalo, the "sight unseen" part is where you go to your dealer and tell him you want, say, a nice 1925 Saint in MS65. He doesn't have one, so he calls his buddy across the country (another dealer) who*does* happen to have one. Buddy ships the coin, your guy ships him $15k because like all dealers Buddy needs the cashflow.

Since you can trust the grade sight-unseen, the coin is good and you like it and buy it. That's where the sight-unseen part comes in. It's the dealer-dealer end, and it's why for all it's done at the retail level, CAC wasn't created with you and me in mind.
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 Posted 04/23/2014  11:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add DVCollector to your friends list
I won't argue the CAC idea, but on an individual basis...I have seen some questionable grades w/CAC stickers, such as this PCGS AU58 (clearly scratched) :

CAC-Opinions?

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 Posted 04/24/2014  04:55 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add burks to your friends list
A seller absolutely loves CAC. A non-CAC stickered coin isn't going to lose value. It's still (supposedly) the grade PCGS/NGC assigned it. A CAC stickered coin only adds value.

A buyer hates CAC. It takes a little of the "skill" away from cherry picking the best of the best. I've seen some dogs in CAC stickered holders that could be beat easily. CAC has already (supposedly) identified that coin as being top XX% for that grade. Not only do you lose some of that cherry picking, a CAC stickered coin is now going to cost your through the nose even if it isn't better than a non-stickered coin.





I personally think it was and still is a stupid thing. To me it just keeps driving coin prices up and puts a lot of little guys out of contention and keeps new people from ever progressing. I understand why it was created (besides making money) but seriously.......I'd never buy a 72 Chevelle SS 454 sight unseen, why buy a $50k coin unseen? Why buy anything unseen except bullion?

For the guy that started it though, an amazing idea.
Edited by burks
04/24/2014 04:56 am
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 Posted 04/24/2014  08:24 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list
The guy who started it is losing money on every coin stickered; consider what these peoples' time is actually worth compared to the minimal cost of the sticker. What I'm left wondering most, though, is "how much have values been dragged down/failed to appreciate properly because so many dogs exist at the same grade?"

And yeah, I've seen dogs in CAC-stickered slabs as well. Just the other day I was looking at a CAC/PCGS MS67 Lincoln (a Top Pop, to boot) which I wouldn't have offered a 65. Half the reverse lettering had visible dings. I kind of wonder if they've bit off more workload than they can chew.
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 Posted 04/24/2014  2:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BuffalosRock to your friends list

Quote:
CAC wasn't created with you and me in mind.

Probably why I detest the whole idea Ssup.

I inquired about a coin and was told "it just left to get CACed" (he is one of the dealers who apparently gets them all beaned and it wasn't a "out HOPING to get one" either, then once it was back POW $50 more added to the price. No longer in the rhealm of worth haggling for even. A viable coin became NOT! Same coin, different collectability. STUPID IMO

burks is spot on, I wouldn't buy a car sight-unseen - so why would I buy a $50K coin that way? Idiotic in concept and execution.


Quote:
this PCGS AU58 (clearly scratched)

WOWSER DVCollector. That graded a 58? I don't know if I'd give it a 50 even. Lots of wear on the feathers, headdress, only 1 full diamond showing and just a hint of 2 others (PCGS photograde shows at least MOST of all 4 diamonds on ALL AU grades BTW) and considerable wear all over. My grade would be a 45 on it TOPS.

But the point is that CAC isn't some magic "sight unseen" phenomenon, IMO they are fallable and the whole idea is daft!
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 Posted 04/24/2014  2:54 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add JimmyJames to your friends list
I personally think the rise of CAC is a signal of the failures of the major TPGs. With current PCGS/NGC submissions, you can use the '+' indicator to indicate something is strong for the grade. So it doesn't just boil down to CAC being able to tell if something is graded conservatively. CAC considers eye appeal, and other small characteristics that the TPGs should be weighing into their grading system but aren't. Collectors value these characteristics that CAC considers that TPGs are undervaluing. That's why these coins will consistently bring more money. From my experience, CAC stickered coins tend to be strong examples. Sure, it's only a sticker, and there are always exceptions. And there are tons of coins without the CAC sticker that are amazing.
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 Posted 04/24/2014  10:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add burks to your friends list
I don't see how they are losing money with the volume they are doing. You're talking $12.50 a coin. Say they do 20 coins an hour (easy to do considering they don't have to worry about damaging them). That's $250 a hour for one person. Now I know they don't do that every day but I fail to see how they are losing money.

Why would anyone work for a loss? Especially the volume they are putting out. It doesn't make sense.
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 Posted 04/25/2014  05:59 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list

Quote:
Why would anyone work for a loss? Especially the volume they are putting out. It doesn't make sense.


Well, we don't really know what kind of volume they're moving. What we *do* know, though, is that the people doing it are high-level dealers, the kind of folks who move $10k coins as opposed to AU Morgans. What do you suppose John Albanese would charge if you wanted to hire him by the hour for a numismatic endeavor?

CAC isn't about being a for-profit company. It's about re-creating a coin market where accurate grades are leading to fair pricing, the whole point that Albanese was reaching for in the founding of PCGS and NGC. Except they've perverted that market over the years, cheapened and diluted it to the point where we're frankly spoiled by what we can afford. I'm just not really sure if MS65 stuff the average collector can afford today, should be within their reach.

Yeah, I get that I'm sounding like a corporate shill here. But I'm also somebody who has gotten crud prices for really nice coins, since so much of the buyer demographic honestly places hard faith in the number on the slab. And I'm disgusted by what I see in slabs sometimes. CAC ones, too, as I've mentioned here, but at least those guys are putting their money where their mouths are. I like the fact that they're risking personal profit on the outcome. What better motivator?
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 Posted 04/28/2014  12:18 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BuffalosRock to your friends list
JimmyJames posted:

Quote:
With current PCGS/NGC submissions, you can use the '+' indicator to indicate something is strong for the grade.


The + is more like an added .5 to the grade, than an indication it is top X%. It is a way of creating 65.5, 66.5 etc. for high end gem grades ( tho I have seen 58+ and lower 60's so it is just a way to squeeze more grades into the UNC category mostly ). NGC's * might be more like CAC tho. All little gimmicks to create more $.

I will say PCGS is rather stingy with the +'s overall tho. Their stats show that of the 2.18 million coins they've graded in the last year, only 51 thousand got +'s. I realize that only a small % of those submitted are even eligible by grade-level, but at 2.3% they aren't exactly throwing +'s out like crazy.
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 Posted 04/29/2014  03:57 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add justin3651 to your friends list
"PCGS founder David Hall stated, "The reality of the market place is that coins considered high end for the grade are recognized by sophisticated dealers and collectors and such coins are worth a premium in the marketplace. The term "plus" has been part of the everyday trading and grading lingo for years. The high end for any particular grade represents the top 30 percent of the scale within a grade and I estimate that the plus designation would apply to approximately 15 percent to 20 percent of the coins within any individual grade. For the market's two leading grading services to recognize this reality and designate these premium coins as part of their grading services is a huge benefit to all participants in the rare coin market."
To me that sounds more like it's a premium coin for the grade like with cac than a halfway point between the grades. don willis, current pcgs presidents statement on it seems to indicate the same "A Plus coin is a coin that is very high end for the assigned grade. The coin does not quite make it to the next grade but has superior qualities for the grade it's in. Some people call them sliders. Some call them PQ. The coin stands out.Several factors go into determining whether a coin is Plus or not. Eye appeal such as beautiful toning is just one of several factors. Strike, luster, marks, originality and eye appeal all are part of the Plus decision. "
id link directly to it but its from a site that isn't allowed to be linked to here.
Edited by justin3651
04/29/2014 10:20 am
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 Posted 04/29/2014  2:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BuffalosRock to your friends list
The reason I said it was more like a .5 is that is what weight it is given within the PCGS registry system, by points. So if a 65 gets 65 points, a 65+ gets 65.5 points in their OWN SYSTEM.

I would find it interesting to know what exact percent they give + to of say newly graded MS60 and above coins. Overall %'s are somewhat meaningless as are totals as they went so long before implementing the +'s.

I've also read elsewhere that a + was considered "almost" the next grade up, not top X% of the current grade. That would explain why there can be coins that are 68+ when there are no 68's in that coin. How can you grade coins as in the top X% when there are NO OTHERS graded? That would be inconsistent and plain screwy! Saying that one 68 they graded was "almost a 69" in technical merit, and thus got a +, makes more sense.

So you could have all coins graded in a grade be +'s, whereas if the definition meant some top X% implied then there could only ever be a small % at a + in any particular grade.

JMHO
Edited by BuffalosRock
04/29/2014 2:59 pm
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