2010 Lincoln Shield Cent Cent CAC MS-67RD, Trouble With Value.

I'd just put it on ebay as buy it now. Will be interesting to see what happens. Good luck!

Good luck!

This post illustrates a perfect example of a point I was trying to make in a recent post here. Investment and trying to profit from Memorial cents is a big gamble. That is quite a price spread. I wish you the best in your endeavor. Got my fingers crossed for ya.

I guess it just boils down to the old saying, " It's only worth what someone will pay for it." I guess that is what the coin is worth.

If you were to inquire and get a straight answer, they would just say "dealer data". They track everything they can, they're like google. And where there is no public trail, they may have proprietary data.

Keep in mind, PCGS openly admits, they BUY their coins on the open market. I suspect they often make the market by gambling on some top-pop coins ---- which simultaneously rigs the market by skewing prices upward.

Ok everyone my coin goes to auction in about a week. So everyone has to go and bid on it. Those are the new community rules John1 told me about.

Good luck!

There is always a disconnect for these very new coins that are business strikes

The reality is that there will be for sure many thousands of this coin in that condition its just they haven't been graded.

So to me, paying anything close to 1000 for such a thing is madness.

There are SOME business strikes where it has become clear over time that there are very few coins in good condition - one example is the kiribati 5 dollars business strike from 79 where it seems like most coins develop surface hairlines over time

BUT looking at the above example the number of coins even minted is less than 2000 in total, and they were silver which means that some were probably melted in the last two silver bubbles , and finallly they have been around for almost half a century

This coin whilst being US (and therefore far more collectors) has had 2 billion minted and most US collectors will have at least a couple of BU rolls in their collections - I do and I am not even a serious US collector of new coins at any rate. You can literally buy them for 2.5 dollars a roll for BU

Now at 2.5 dollars a roll, if an MS67RD is worth 50 USD, that implies that there is a 5% chance of getting one in any given roll. However given the quality of coins minted today, I would be shocked if there wasn't one every 2 rolls or even more.
Of course there is the cost of getting it graded etc but honestly at current priced I would not rate even the top pop coins

One thing people could do to check is simply take 5 coins at random from a BU roll and have them graded and see what distribution you get.

Regardless my view, and of course it is just a view, is that the NGC price is if anything high

By the way, I did this sort of test on a bunch of Japanese coins from the 80s that I had. Someone on ebay was selling top pcgs grade stuff at around 100 bucks for the 500 yen for example.
I sent in a few examples from the non mint authorized business strike sets that got sold a couple of decades ago, and I managed to get a top pop for every type that I sent in. And these were much older circulated coins (from the 80s)with the 500 yen from 87 having only a 2.5 million mintage.