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Mint Sets And Junk Silver Prices

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larsdog's Avatar
United States
593 Posts
 Posted 05/12/2012  2:34 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add larsdog to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Silver just keeps dropping!
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traevin's Avatar
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 05/12/2012  7:27 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add traevin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
LD,

If you use the 2011 highs as a reference point, then the drop has indeed been pretty spectacular. But for the price to halve again from the current spot, that might be expecting too much. IJDK.
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larsdog's Avatar
United States
593 Posts
 Posted 05/13/2012  3:23 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add larsdog to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
My prediction is based on history. I remember the spectacular run-up in precious metals in 1980 and the equally spectacular crash. Silver was exacerbated by the Hunt Bros trying to corner the market, but even without that spike it was a big run-up. Shops opened up everywhere - SELL YOUR GOLD! Toward the end of the cycle the airwaves were saturated with ads telling us to BUY GOLD! Then the bottom fell out of the market. Silver tanked all the way to $5. It rebounded to $15 once, back to $5, rebound to $10, back to $5 and pretty much stayed there until 2004. Gold was a more modest crash from $800 to $400. The silver:gold ratio was in the 80:1 ballpark for years. I think silver is still OVERpriced relative to gold. That's why I predict $15 silver and $1200 gold in a year or two as long as the Euro crisis doesn't tank the economy. But hey, guessing is free! I'm still waiting for a while before buying anything I need with 90% silver.
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larsdog's Avatar
United States
593 Posts
 Posted 05/13/2012  3:34 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add larsdog to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
CORRECTION: The gold/silver ratio hasn't been as stead as I remembered. It looks like 60:1 is a better average which would lead to $20 silver if gold tanks to $1200. I think $20 is my new target price.
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