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Complete Set Of PF70 Proof ASEs....need Enlightenment

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Valued Member
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 Posted 06/18/2013  4:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add LXShutter to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I think you folks missed my point. You are paying a BIG premium for "70's" which, if the TPG were to look at them again, half of them would not be "70's". So save a lot of money and buy 69's because half of the 70's are 69's anyway.

And you have not explained the circumstances under which you would re-submit the coin. Also 69 coins carry a premium compared to 68. Not as big as as 70, but still a premium. Should we avoid those and just buy the lowest grade available? Finally, if you don't crack out the coin and submit to the original TPG, they will either affirm 70 grade, or provide compensation.
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basebal21's Avatar
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 Posted 06/18/2013  4:48 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Plus the fact that theres a good chance if you crack it and resubmit it the damage you did to it cracking it out if why it may not be a 70 anymore.
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jbuck's Avatar
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189120 Posts
 Posted 06/18/2013  5:49 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
And you have not explained the circumstances under which you would re-submit the coin.
The resubmission is hypothetical and is posed only to demonstrate that you are paying for an opinion and not something truly special.

You are paying extra for a number, that is all. One that is, more often than not, subjectively attributed.
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dave700x's Avatar
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 Posted 06/18/2013  7:32 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add dave700x to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
with jbuck. I read this during my lunch break and planned to post nearly exactly what jbuck posted. This was a complete hypothetical situation that conder101 posted.
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 Posted 06/18/2013  7:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add LXShutter to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
you are paying for an opinion and not something truly special.


The "specialness" depends on specific coin. But the opinion is typically solid. Whenever I had a chance to examine a 69 and a 70 of the same coin graded by the same company, I could tell the difference. It may be confirmation bias, but I think I can see the difference.
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basebal21's Avatar
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 Posted 06/18/2013  10:42 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
The resubmission is hypothetical and is posed only to demonstrate that you are paying for an opinion and not something truly special.


I get that but the notion that they wouldnt all regrade 70s because thats just how it is is all hypothetical is well.

You dont know what itd redo until you resent it and then youd still have to try and prove the the grading was just so so as opposed to you damaging it breaking it out ect.

When you think about it with coins youre always paying extra from a number. Whether its a year, your own grading or slabbed, pretty much everything we do with coins is pay extra for a number, numbers owe us a lot of money .

You can put me down in the camp that believes theres more to the 70s then just selecting some 69s to give the 70 too
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jbuck's Avatar
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 Posted 06/19/2013  12:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
It may be confirmation bias...
This.

The only way to prove anything is to collect a group of 69 and 70 graded 2013 Proof ASE dollars, cover the grades, and see how well someone can sort them correctly into two piles.

My guess (and it is only a guess) is that each pile will have near equal numbers of 69 and 70 coins in it.
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Doug58s's Avatar
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 Posted 06/19/2013  12:59 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Doug58s to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
jbuck - but - would the piles be the same 69's & 70's going in and coming out. I like slabbed coins - but - I am not convinced that all grading - graders are the same. It is a subjective opinion... and not a lot more.
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jbuck's Avatar
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189120 Posts
 Posted 06/19/2013  2:34 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Get ten slabbed PF-69 2013 ASEs and ten slabbed PF-70 2013 ASEs.

Cover the labels. Mix them up. Have a person sort them into two piles, one for the 69s, one for the 70s.

Make it more interesting by not telling them how many of each their are.

Make it even more interesting by getting an uneven split, like eight PF-69 and twelve PF-70.



Quote:
I am not convinced that all grading - graders are the same. It is a subjective opinion... and not a lot more.
You most definitely get it.
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 Posted 06/19/2013  3:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add LXShutter to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Cover the labels. Mix them up. Have a person sort them into two piles, one for the 69s, one for the 70s.


That won't really prove all that much. Typically the differences between 69 and 70 are extremely slight. And most people aren't capable of grading coins. Judging by the various comments on the quality of US Mint products in this forum and elsewhere, some people would end up with with a single pile of 69 or lower, while others would claim every last one of them a 70.

I think most people would be able to compare 2 coins and decide that one is better than the other fairly predictably. Your test requires them to have a skill they simply don't.

In the end it doesn't matter. A coin graded 69 by first tier TPG, is darn near perfect. People want 70 because of perceived rarity and because a 70 of the same coin will alway be worth more than 69.
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Doug58s's Avatar
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 Posted 06/19/2013  3:54 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Doug58s to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think his test would work - even with TPG looking at the coins.

You fallacy is believing they are more than they are - they are just another set of eyes - yes perhaps a bit more skilled than most - but at the end of the day they are nothing more than another set of eyes.

I seem to remember a thread recently about a coin that went to the paid graders and came back as unable to validate the authenticity of the coin. It got sent to another grader and came back authentic - the diference was thosuands of dollars... and yet which grader do we believe?
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basebal21's Avatar
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 Posted 06/19/2013  4:37 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Youre also hypothetically assuming the TPGs wouldnt be able to do it. Maybe theyd get a couple wrong but likely the would get the overwhelming majority right. Pretending like we know what the outcome would be though is nothing more than speculation on our part.

I would say though yes they are better at grading than other people. They grade coins all day long 5 days a week, thats a lot of practice. Maybe some arent as good as others but every coin gets looked at by at least two people as well so youre getting multiple opinions.

Shutters also right too just because someone else may not be able to spot a difference doesn't mean that a difference doesn't exist. 69s look very very good, it is a very small difference too look for. If someone doesn't care about that difference it doesn't bother me its their collection to do what makes them happy. But just because they dont care doesn't mean their isn't one and certainly doesn't mean that TPGs are just randomly picking coins for 70s that they wouldnt be able to pick out again
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jbuck's Avatar
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 Posted 06/19/2013  5:52 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Why spend more money for a coin (PF-70) that appears to be identical to cheaper one (PF-69)?

People who do this are trusting the number, and the number is what they are paying for if they cannot tell the coins apart.
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Doug58s's Avatar
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 Posted 06/19/2013  6:48 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Doug58s to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The trend has been to buy anything that is graded a 70. I think it is more for a resell than a collection. Some seem to believe the graded coin is the only way to buy coins, and it wasn't that long ago buying coins didn't involve TPG at all...
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 Posted 06/19/2013  10:27 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
People who do this are trusting the number, and the number is what they are paying for if they cannot tell the coins apart.


People do that for all grades both graded and ungraded all the time. Thats nothing unique to 70s or even TPGs. I dont see a difference between that and someone who pays a dealer big bucks for say a raw ms 66 71 p Ike. Either way your trusting someone else to an extent where at least with a slabbed coin on the other side of a big price jump your resale investment is more protected. That doesn't mean to just blindly buy labels, but it doesn't make the labels worthless either.


Quote:
and it wasn't that long ago buying coins didn't involve TPG at all...


It was kind of long ago at this point in all honest. I mean its been over a decade and more coins are getting slabbed now not less. New collectors and younger ones are also coming in with slabs and much friendlier attitudes towards them.

Everything we do whether real estate, antiques, art, cars ect are all based off of third party valuations. Coins are now no different. I fully understand some people dont like slabs and thats fine it makes no difference to me how someone collects. But theres a difference between saying its not for me and that theyre no better than the average joe at grading, they didnt get billions of dollars worth of coins certified in their holders by not being good at it or just randomly selecting coins for certain grades that they couldnt repeat
Edited by basebal21
06/19/2013 10:32 pm
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