COA Number - Low COA Number Vs Good Series Of Numbers

I will agree with John, but will not expect much.
You already paid (CAD 200?) premium for #1, so that's probably expected market price.

As for the long term...probably no NCLT with the exception of some "first" / "limited" / "classic design" keep the value.

And congrats for nice coin (I like the design of 2015 gold) with numbered #1 certificate.

Never know unless you try or you are happy keeping it.

I would agree with that statement as this has happened to myself on occasion (2009 Moon Mask for example). The certificates are entirely randomly inserted from what I understood. Case in point I ordered the $3 Flanders fields coins numbered 06269 and 06334 at the same time.

Also a lower number is just a lower number and does not have any real correlation to strike quality. Likewise a higher certificate number won't imply die wear or abnormalities.

It's just a number but if you're collecting something specific like 00001 8888, 9999 or 05, etc then good luck. I drove the poor Mint officials nuts in Halifax having them go through their proof sets looking for specific number and finally ended up with parchment 47/200.

Back a few years ago when the RCM was selling souvenir 'PL' sets at the RCNA Conventions, I found that the quality of coins were the same throughout, no matter what the back of the folder said. Sadly all were circulation strikes, but that's a different subject matter all together.

Here on this side of the border packaging and minting are completely two separate entities and thankfully we haven't jumped on the 'first strike' bandwagon.

For me all that matters is the quality and presentation of the NCLT coin and if it's going to hold most of it's value in a few years time. The certificate is nice as it 'validates' the coin but doesn't prove the authenticity.