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Silver Price Correction

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silver4ever's Avatar
Canada
37 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  6:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add silver4ever to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Ya I'm still hunting for that gold, can't get a claim till june to try a new spot I found.

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nod2003's Avatar
United States
3294 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  7:16 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nod2003 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Not too surprised to see this, I think silver is coming back to earth after a bubble.
New Member
United States
23 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  7:25 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add westsea301 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Looks like some profit taking with mostly manipulation, margin requirements have been raised three times within the last few weeks. Coordinated "flash crashes" are popping up in both silver and gold, where they drop several dollars worth in less than a second. Coordinated computerized selling on low volume. I am curious to see if the physical market will sell at these lower prices. So far on ebay, the ASEs are still selling for $50. I assume they will have to come down but the premiums requested may be larger than what we are used to. I have seen APMEX raise the premiums of ASEs from $4 to $5.50 per coin. We may not see the physical metal market entirely match the paper market.
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fenton's Avatar
United States
4989 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  10:35 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add fenton to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Some great data on supply and demand. Looks like world production of silver has ramped up dramatically in recent years to meet increased investment demand.

http://www.silverinstitute.org/supply_demand.php

If a crash scenario unfolds and investment demand dries up, it could touch multi-decade lows if/when a glut ensues.
Edited by fenton
05/03/2011 10:36 pm
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  03:04 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Looks like world production of silver has ramped up dramatically in recent years to meet increased investment demand. - Fenton

Watch the amount of copper produced. Both silver and gold can be obtained via copper processing. If copper demand decreases, less is produced, and less byproduct silver will be produced as well. China seems to be the primary copper buyer these days, so watching the Chinese copper imports should help describe part of what is happening to silver.
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Ceylon62's Avatar
United States
1285 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  07:55 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ceylon62 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
If you are anti-PM why do you keep posting?


BH, I don't think Fenton is anti PM and I THINK Fenton is giving folks a reality check indirectly. jmo

Fenton -- There are silver mining CO's whose cost basis is $5 per oz or less (South America). Is $8 per oz for the state side CO's?
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fenton's Avatar
United States
4989 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  08:52 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add fenton to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm not anti-PM at all. There is definitely a price point where Silver is a screaming bargain and should be acquired.

I don't honestly know whether that is $10, $20, or even $25 but I'm pretty sure $40 is too pricey.
Valued Member
bryan1234's Avatar
United States
463 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  10:51 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add bryan1234 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
looks alot more then a correction to me right now, now under 40 an oz. A 9 dollar drop in less then a week doesn't look good, I'm keeping what I got now but I'm a little worried that it will continue to drop. As you dont loose anything until you sell, if it does go back down to 20-30 an oz I will buy some more but right now I'm a little worried with these big pull backs
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rjkingston's Avatar
United States
642 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  10:56 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add rjkingston to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I said it just before it hit $40, the bubble is going to burst. The next question is, Does this ball bounce!

Get your checkbooks ready, we're about to hit a great buying opportunity.
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United States
648 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  11:00 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tripncoins to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
My checkbook is ready and patiently waiting! C'mon 30's!
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trdhrdr007's Avatar
United States
2335 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  11:18 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add trdhrdr007 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm going to say(AGAIN) that I have absolutely no idea what the future holds for silver. I do know, & have been repeatedly saying on many of the recent threads in this section that the current price rise was unsustainable. The reason I kept saying that was because many people were constantly cheering the price of silver on, mentioning that they were buying more as the price rose.

It's quite possible that in the long run silver will go higher....maybe much higher. However, IMO the market was getting overheated. On April 4th silver was at $38, by the 28th it was over $49. That's a 29% increase in 24 days. As I type this silver is around $40, a 17% decrease in under 6 days. I'm not surprised by this. What surprises me is that people thought a 26% rise over 24 days was normal & sustainable, while a 17% drop over 6 days was something that couldn't happen.
Edited by trdhrdr007
05/04/2011 11:19 am
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w1a9c8k5's Avatar
United States
1348 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  11:42 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add w1a9c8k5 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Agreed. I think silver will continue to rise in the long run. This is just big boys dropping their silver on the millions who have been buying it up
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rjkingston's Avatar
United States
642 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  11:59 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add rjkingston to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
, all the analysts saying $100 an ounce or $300 an ounce by the end of this year are just quacks. Whenever there's a massive rally, normal people start taking what these quacks say seriously. (sorry, not trying to offend anybody)

The long term real value line for silver is around $24 right now. I think when the Fed pulls back its buying in June, we'll get down to around this level. In the mean time, anything above that is fair game.

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United States
648 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  12:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tripncoins to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Even when I bought silver in the 30's and some in the 40's - I even had a feeling when it 50 there would be correction. I am not much of a charts guy but the RSI was indicating overbought. I just like collecting silver regardless of the price and if I get some ounces cheaper then what I paid before? That's fine - I'll be happy to avg down on my oz's.
Edited by tripncoins
05/04/2011 12:16 pm
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tokenmast's Avatar
United States
648 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  1:09 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tokenmast to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
What surprises me is that people thought a 26% rise over 24 days was normal & sustainable, while a 17% drop over 6 days was something that couldn't happen.

Somehow that Quote struck me as "Familiar" ooh yeah if you change days to months then does it look like real estate!! GOOD Job trdhrdr007
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