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The Silver Smart People Were Wrong

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GTALLEN's Avatar
United States
315 Posts
 Posted 08/22/2011  9:48 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GTALLEN to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply


Actions that are being taken by some governments around the world resemble the initial power give away to Adolph Hitler. "If we do not study and remember history we are doomed to repeat it." or so the quote goes. I don't remember who said it. But, it seems like we are "repeating" history.

Most people buy at the top of a bubble market and lose money. I am out of gold. I think it still will go above $2000, maybe $3000.

I see more opportunity, for me, in Silver, I don't know if it is heading to $250 or $2. Right now, if the trends continue, I think we could see $100+ an ozt silver in the near future.

Before the next Presidential elections I think we could see new all time record highs in PM. If the polices remain ie..low interest rates, cheap dollars, etc....then there would be no reason for PM to drop massively.

Just my humble opinion based on nothing more than what I perceive as a continuation of world wide fears of possible collapse of the finical markets.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 08/22/2011  10:35 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Unlike in years past, we now have many more citizens who understand the basics of economics. Someone telling us that we have lower inflation and unemployment than is well known to exist does not impress too many folks with his / her economic acumen. On top of that, telling us that printing trillions of extra dollars out of thin air with zero backing of any kind could not possibly cause commodity inflation, via a rapidly shrinking dollar, is not believed by the majority of US citizens. Unfortunately for Uncle Ben, that is THE definition of inflation, which is nothing more than the market's response to a bubble in the money supply... the old too few goods being chased by too much money in Econ 101. This means that we are either being lied to or we are being treated like imbeciles. Yes... the election of 2012 WILL be a genuine inflection point in American politics. Apparently, the election of 2010 was not sufficiently clear to those who remained in office. That WILL be remedied.
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GTALLEN's Avatar
United States
315 Posts
 Posted 08/22/2011  11:34 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GTALLEN to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

I hope for the USA and the world you are correct. The message was not heard. We sent people to do a job and they crawled in bed with the rest of Washington.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 08/23/2011  7:05 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
We sent people to do a job and they crawled in bed with the rest of Washington.

Or did they simply realize that they did not have enough political clout to make the changes most of us wanted? If the Dems were not in control of the US Senate, the recent debt debate would have been FAR different, I think. OK, so that was Round 1 in a 10 round fight. Round 2 should be very interesting.
Valued Member
United States
302 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  04:34 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mmerlinn to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Actions that are being taken by some governments around the world resemble the initial power give away to Adolph Hitler. "If we do not study and remember history we are doomed to repeat it." or so the quote goes. I don't remember who said it. But, it seems like we are "repeating" history.


History does repeat. New generations never learn the lessons of the past, so they always do the same things, but expect different results. Same actions always equal the same results.

And if you somehow don't believe history is repeating, this article (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...ngPage=true) may wake you up.

Only thing missing is a new "Hitler." And those of you who know history know that Hitler came to power in 1933 in the midst of economic upheaval, four years after the crash of 1929. The economic crises of today are not unlike the economic crises of 1932. Next year is four years after the crash of 2008. Will we see Karl Theodor von- und zu-Guttenberg step in to fill the vacuum in leadership in Europe today? Or maybe Edmund Stoiber?

Will history repeat again like it did in the 1930's? Every indicator I see says we are exactly repeating that history. Same actions get same results, so expect the same exact turmoil that happened 80 years ago.
Rest in Peace
biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  07:05 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Sooner or later (within 1 year) gold will be over $2,000 and silver will be over $50 again.


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junior e's Avatar
United States
931 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  08:18 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add junior e to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Back on the original topic about the naysayers being wrong, Joe316 is the epitome of what it is to be an Internet troll. I did a wide forum search of joe316 and he doesn't even own any gold or silver. I especially loved his call that gold would tank badly as soon as the debt agreement was reached. Gold was at $1640 on August 2nd. Who goes on a precious metals discussion forum while holding no PM', and yet be making all of these crazy predictions. He was correct exactly zero times. joe316 at the plate, his season average is .000 with zero hits in 19 at bats. I say we send him back down to the minors, Kitco Forum!
Edited by junior e
08/24/2011 08:25 am
Pillar of the Community
United States
1026 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  08:25 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Brucec to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Out with life long representatives, I have been saying limit their term of office to eight years for years but now think if it were eight years nothing would get done the first four years so make there maximum term of office to four years.

I am now a registered independent if everyone would register independent we would send a very loud message and then what would they do in the primary as no one could vote for any republican or democrat would be interesting and send a loud message.
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nod2003's Avatar
United States
3294 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  08:59 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nod2003 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
To be fair to Joe, if I beleived what he was saying I also would not have owned any gold or silver (besides my numismatic pieces of course), and there really was no debt agreement other then, "worry about it later". That doesn't mean he was not a troll, but his view was not completely without merit.
New Member
cfibaker's Avatar
United States
46 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  09:33 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add cfibaker to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I have to admit that the addiction with people shunning Joe (to whom I am not related to, or even remotely know) is disturbing at best and deducts from this forum quite a bit.

Despite our self-prescribed national emo and doomsday crisis and all the small time PM hunters, people do have the right to their own opinion and may choose to share it, even if it's not "popular".

I have to admit that I was sucked in by all the "investment" talk that is happening here, it seems as if hunting for silver coins or even storing tons of copper cents is part of the doomsday gang, which believes that we will be defending ourselves against each other with wooden sticks and stone axes sometime soon.

I for one would like to believe that the people of this "highly civilized" country will soon wake up to all the artificial hype about the next best way to make a free lunch - because there isn't one.

Those who keep our sinking ship afloat right now are not the investment brokers or speculators. It's the little schmucks, who can't afford to invest because most of their money is burned up from years of milkmaids politics, mixed with our holier than thou attitude against everything that is even remotely different from our "way of life in debt".

In fact, I'd almost advocate to stock up on debt, because just like the dollar, every dime in debt will be worth nothing, at some point.

BTW: A internet troll is commonly understood to be a person trying to invoke anger/ response by making off the wall or unsubstantiated statements. Given the fact that the small investors (everywhere, even here, where we supposedly deal with coins for collecting purposes) are commonly found with both their thumbs in their mouth, trying to second-guess what the markets may do, I'll still sleep well, knowing that the real winners are in the background, trading PM's and everything else in amounts never seen by common man.

They have so much of it, that a minor 10 dollars in fluctuation already makes them millions. Imagine you put 1 buck in a slot, play it up to 12.50, cash out and then keep repeating the game until you have the slot empty. The difference between slot and real world: You can't artificially control how much the slot spits out. The investment market can be played like a slot machine - and if enough people do it, it becomes predictable. I think the big boys are playing the slot machine right now.

As far as speculating is concerned: Sooner or later things will change, sooner or later we all die. History is bound to repeat itself because Homo Sapiens is essentially learning disabled. I have yet to see a person that jumped in their grave happy because they owned a large house or a bar of gold. Once you're dead, your Rolex is going on sale on ebay, too, it does not usually go into your grave with you and people won't remember you because you owned one or not.

When a supposed long term investment starts trading like a Chinese chocolate cookie it's time to buckle up. I see a gigantic shift in the works in terms of money changing pockets, but not much else. If gold in fact bubbles out and you loose it all, or the government seizes it or rigs the price, don't cry. If it pans out to cost 150.000/ ounce one day, don't brag, either...

Best investment advise ever: "Buy low, sell high". If you can't, it's just not your time to play. Next best advise ever: "If you have it, it can and will eventually be taken from you." If needed by force.

We've got some 80-90 years on this planet, and it's our choice to spend that time engulfed in endless greed, hunting what someone calls money, or not. Maybe Joe is trying to make people think?

Rant OFF.

Edited by cfibaker
08/24/2011 09:36 am
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JackB's Avatar
United States
1064 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  09:51 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add JackB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thanks cfibaker, it's good to calm the waters in threads like this. We don't want to get carried away bashing an individual, usually ends with someone saying something they later regret, and possibly locked out! We don't want that, we want the free-flowing back and forth.
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CoinHunter53562's Avatar
United States
2049 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  10:06 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CoinHunter53562 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Certainly Joe is entitled to his own opinion, but I think what rubbed many people the wrong way (including myself) was the tone of his posts. To me, it came across as trolling and flaming versus just merely sharing an opinion. Maybe his intent was to share an opinion and nothing else, however his tact was then very poor.
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allranger's Avatar
United States
1391 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  10:07 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add allranger to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
"I have to admit that the addiction with people shunning Joe (to whom I am not related to, or even remotely know) is disturbing at best and deducts from this forum quite a bit."

You should probably go back and read his posts. (Along with that other guy who claimed that investing in silver was taking a pee on the flag or whatever).

"Despite our self-prescribed national emo and doomsday crisis and all the small time PM hunters, people do have the right to their own opinion and may choose to share it, even if it's not "popular". "

You mean like their opinion that joe316's opinions are worth making fun of?
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cfibaker's Avatar
United States
46 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  10:59 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add cfibaker to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
You should probably go back and read his posts. (Along with that other guy who claimed that investing in silver was taking a pee on the flag or whatever).


That would require for me to search for something that is not very important to me personally. I believe that the only way to be on a forum is to take different opinions in, process them and come up with one's own conclusion. I have not seen a single post from Joe. Early on I was mistaken (or was reminding someone) of Joe because I am not very impressed with the PM markets right now. There are always going to be people who violently disagree or call one an idiot for having a certain opinion. Our website logo says: Coin Community Family and the strength of this site is made up by the expertise, the friendliness, the ability to find information or being able to ask for help. If I find myself in violent disagreement with any one particular member, I am not going to jeopardize the purpose/ goal of this forum over it.


Quote:
You mean like their opinion that joe316's opinions are worth making fun of?


Kinda yes, kinda no. Again, I don't know Joe or anyone on this site, don't belong to any secret clubs, wasn't born with a golden spoon in my mouth, or a mine of Silver/ Gold in the basement. I didn't come here to show the world what a smart investor I am and how rich I am in gold. I won't tell where I store my goodies, how much I have/make or anticipate to make off some bargain deal or how much money is in my checking account, because the good chicks ain't impressed by that. Mine certainly isn't.

I am more impressed with the beauty of finding coins (while penny hunting, which by the way, to me is more fun than doing it for the copper investment) which have been in circulation for 97 years! Or having found a whole bunch of wheat pennies while straining my eyesight on trying to read the years.

What I've learned here about coins beats what I've learned over the last 7 years combined. The longer I am here, the more I realize how far from a cool collection I really am. I sincerely regret not having bought Kilo Bars of Silver when it was in the basement, but I am not going to panic and spend my last shirt on getting some now, while the prices are way up and the market is extremely violent.

There... hope this explains it in a nutshell. My post wasn't aimed at junior_e at all, I just don't get why a single persons statements are so important. For all I know, Joe might be sitting on a truckload of PM's.

Cheers,

cfib
Edited by cfibaker
08/24/2011 11:06 am
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GoThunder's Avatar
United States
830 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  11:28 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
People who are in short positions will often try to spook the market and cause a crash so they can profit on the move. So there are several reasons someone might "claim" to know a direction in price. I tend to listen more to people that are humble in their opinions than those who try and act like they know exactly what is going happen. I can't think of another market harder to predict than the silver market. Anyone that claims to know exactly what the short term future holds for silver is either a fool, or trying to manipulate the market, or just taking a guess hoping they will be right so later they can claim to be all knowing (some news letter sellers come to mind here).
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