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What Do You Think Is Going To Happen Next?

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Pillar of the Community
Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 08/23/2011  7:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Yeah we all wish we had a crystal ball as good as the wicked witch of the west but even she didn't know Dorothy was going to throw a bucket of water on her.

Thanks, Thunder. What I want is one of those TVs that George Burns had that allowed him to "tune in" to everyone around him. Imagine what we'd see and hear if we tuned into the "private" conversations at the Congress, Fed, and White House!

Thanks, Hawk. I don't know a lot about ebay but I can well imagine that train jumping the tracks in an O-S situation. At times like that, it might be MUCH better to sell PMs locally... and bring a few armed friends for backup.


Quote:
I dont think its so much precious metals having boom and bust cycles but more as to economies having boom and bust cycles.

There have been enough times when the economy was doing one thing and PMs were doing something completely different that I tend to think of them as being completely different markets. Each to their own, I suppose.
Pillar of the Community
United States
511 Posts
 Posted 08/23/2011  11:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 3stooges to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm guessing that gold and silver will tread water (plus or minus 4 percent)around current levels for awhile before another significant move to the upside.
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mkfarm's Avatar
United States
667 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  12:51 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mkfarm to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I don't know that is why I don't bet the entire farm on PM's.
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GoThunder's Avatar
United States
830 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  08:39 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply



Yeah good link Ron2012. I watched that the other day but I got more out of it this time. If Peter is right, and all those people who fled to US bonds for safety wake up and realize its not safe there could be a REAL flood into hard assets. I'd put food, stocks, real estate, and energy into that category with PMs too.
Edited by GoThunder
08/24/2011 08:46 am
Pillar of the Community
nod2003's Avatar
United States
3294 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  10:00 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nod2003 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
What I want is one of those TVs that George Burns had that allowed him to "tune in" to everyone around him. Imagine what we'd see and hear if we tuned into the "private" conversations at the Congress, Fed, and White House!


I bet it would sound something like, "Gotta get re-elected. Gotta get re-elected. Gotta get re-elected."
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GoThunder's Avatar
United States
830 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  10:27 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Got that right, the "keep my job tour".
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junior e's Avatar
United States
931 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  10:44 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add junior e to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Gold is getting the expected correction. What is the level that you would add multiple ounces to your holdings? I am thinking at $1550 I would pick up about three ounces. Speculators are bailing out.
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GoThunder's Avatar
United States
830 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  11:03 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I just heard a gold trader on CNBC talking about 1700 as a support level, below that he said 1580. He was hoping for 1700 to hold by the end of the week.

I still like the "Gold game plan" here: http://lewrockwell.com/spl3/is-gold...incible.html

But according to the game plan this correction may have a way to go.



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JackB's Avatar
United States
1064 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  11:09 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add JackB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
With all the mechanical trading going on these days, I don't see how anyone can keep track of the ups and downs. Not to mention all the 'experts' and their various opinions of what's going on. "It's a correction, it's a crash, it will go down to $1500, it will go up to $2000". It's dizzying!
New Member
cfibaker's Avatar
United States
46 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  11:22 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add cfibaker to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
With all the mechanical trading going on these days, I don't see how anyone can keep track of the ups and downs. Not to mention all the 'experts' and their various opinions of what's going on. "It's a correction, it's a crash, it will go down to $1500, it will go up to $2000". It's dizzying!


Sounds like the markets are "talking" themselves into a correction. Just trying to imagine all the people who bought an ounce of silver at 78 dollars + shipping in full anticipation that it would hit 200 by the end of next week. LOL! I guess a bunch of people are unloading.

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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  5:09 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I don't know that is why I don't bet the entire farm on PM's.

A wise decision in any case. Diversification is one of the few ways to protect our assets from sudden market corrections. In most cases, there will be some ups and some downs that help moderate what is happening. Only in some very rare cases, such as in 2008, do we see everything go up or down at the same time.


Quote:
I bet it would sound something like, "Gotta get re-elected. Gotta get re-elected. Gotta get re-elected."

No doubt... but the interesting part would be the conniving, bribery, and outright back-stabbery that would be going on at the same time!


Quote:
With all the mechanical trading going on these days, I don't see how anyone can keep track of the ups and downs.

That's just it, Jack... we can't. The best analogy I've heard on this lately is that "the small investor is like a boxer who has been punched in the head too many times". We're still on our feet but are dizzy and sick. We've been hit so many times and from so many different directions that we do not know where the next blow is coming from. Many of us have left the market in the hope that it will settle down at some point and become at least semi-understandable. No luck so far, though.

A lot will hinge on the Jackson Hole commentary this week. Much is expected from Bernanke and the recent stock rally shows that many of the traders and speculators are thinking that QE3, in one form or another, is coming and will be announced on Friday. If it is, there will be a big rally in the soon-to-be-inflated paper products markets and PMs will take a big hit. If not, then the reverse will occur. I have no idea which way it will go. Pessimists see QE3 coming and optimists see an improving economy that does not need any additional boost from the Fed. I must be somewhere in between those but am perhaps leaning slightly towards pessimism.

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GoThunder's Avatar
United States
830 Posts
 Posted 08/24/2011  5:44 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm thinking PMs will rebound even more if there is a QE3 comment Fri. I mean PM's did well during QE2 didn't they? I think either way PMs will rebound and move to new highs in the mid to long term. I'm not betting on QE3 now, but I think its the only way to pay debts long term. Especially if bond rates start moving up (they can't get any lower), the interest on 15 going on 17 trillion debt could get huge real fast.
Rest in Peace
biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 08/25/2011  07:27 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The economy is much like a game of chess or painting yourself into a corner. A series of bad moves mean severe cutbacks like haven't been seen by at least two generations (losing the queen and a rook), or finding yourself in a series of checks and eventual mate.
Valued Member
United States
362 Posts
 Posted 08/25/2011  08:47 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add ICanSeeYou7687 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think once silver hits 37$ I am going to buy some more. I am unsure about gold though. Its tough though, since I'm in college, my preffered dealer is in my hometown, not where I am. He charges a 5% premium on all gold bullion, and that's it, I haven't found better prices anywhere.

He also sells 90% silver at spot, or a tad under, I have trouble doin business anywhere else, lol
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 08/25/2011  8:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I mean PM's did well during QE2 didn't they?

Yes, they did... and so did a lot of stocks. The problem with this is that the paper assets responded to an artificial stimulus by rising to absorb the huge amount of money injected into the economy. Once that stimulus ended, so did the market gains. In fact, the market could not sustain the level to which it had risen and fell back nearly 2000 points.


Quote:
The economy is much like a game of chess...

Yes, it is. But it also has elements of roulette and poker.
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