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Economic Collapse - Numismatic Coins Vs Bullion

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Rest in Peace
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United States
1380 Posts
 Posted 01/03/2014  3:30 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jgfindring to your friends list
I second Freddy's comment.
Bedrock of the Community
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 Posted 01/03/2014  3:48 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list

Quote:
Lets say, after a economic collapse the print out a new currency backed by gold


Backing a currency with metal creates more problems than it solves. You have to constantly be at war amassing more and more metal as the wealth of your country and population grows. Its one reason why Rome fell once they stopped expanding. It also doesn't leave any wiggle room in times of crisis. The US had to be bailed out by private wealth in its early days, and the Romans started debasing their money to compensate when necessary.

Granted most of the worlds population would die in a world wide collapse making it more doable, but the days of metal currencies are over. Theres not enough metal to go around with todays populations and its too restrictive in down times. Theres numerous examples of other metals or bills being put into play during hard times throughout history of pm based currencies.


Quote:

I do know someone who considers himself to be a prepper. He built an underground bunker and has all the basics of food, water, etc.. but mostly guns and ammunition. He also planned for a barter scenario and has a huge stash of alcohol including whiskey, scotch, and bourbon.


Which is actually smart if someone thinks it really will happen. Pleasure items would have great value as opposed to heavy metals that would have to be lugged around.


Quote:
In that situation, I think that bullion would be your better bet. People don't collect coins for numismatic value when times are tough and bullion represents a historical store of value.


It really depends on your economic situation. Theres definitely times when bullion can be very profitable, but without a price increase you will lose value just from buy and sell rates converting money back and forth to pay bills. Someone living pay check to pay check would likely be better off just leaving their money as is unless they time it right.

If you live comfortably or have a lot saved up you could do well putting a percentage into bullion. Its not that they represent a historical store of value, theres only certain times when that holds true adjusting for inflation as theres just as many times if not more going year to year where they would have lost value. But during uncertainty everyone runs to PMs which gives a good change of a fast value run up like we saw a few years back and in the 80s.

On the flip side though you can also do pretty good in the long run with numismatics once bullion has topped out. A lot of things prices are down from a couple years ago, and if you expect a recovery at some point its a good time to buy stuff while its cheaper than it used to be. Kind of like stocks how picking the right things during the crash can get you great values dirt cheap when everyone else is selling out of fear.


Quote:
This is a hobby, sometimes you luck out, but a hobby (I think all will agree)not a hedge or an investment strategy.


Well said. Its more about just liking coins than anything. On the bright side its a lot better than going out and blowing 100+ dollars at the bar every night.
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 Posted 01/04/2014  01:43 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add yup7676 to your friends list
what about Zombies?!!?! will they trade with you? oh wait, if Zombies get you then your silver and gold are worthless
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Australia
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 Posted 01/04/2014  06:30 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add gxseries to your friends list
You can't really survive on bullions or cash alone. What's important is that you need to network as well as certificates / credientials to show that you are capable of doing all sorts of works to ensure that you have a job well into retirement age. You can always stash away some cash / bullion for emergency purposes but unless you have a fair amount stashed away when you lose your job, you always need to have a job to keep you going.

I'll rather invest in education and ensure that I keep in contact with important people. I'm sure you can afford a few cups of coffee once in a while to keep your network in check. I'm sure just one ounce of silver can get you a few cups of coffee AND you get interesting conversations / knowledge from others.

Currency backed by precious metal is very unlikely happen - there's just too much cost associated with maintaining such vault. A bank cannot earn interest by having hoards of gold in their vault and instead lose more money from security, insurance etc.
My partial coin collection http://www.omnicoin.com/collection/gxseries
My numismatics articles and collection: http://www.gxseries.com/numis/numis_index.htm
Regularly updated at least once a month.
Bedrock of the Community
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 01/04/2014  06:38 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list
After World economic collapse, Bitcoins will reign supreme
Bedrock of the Community
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 01/04/2014  06:43 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list
If everybody is going to panic, it is best to have it organized professionally.

I would recommend the leading managers in the current World banking system.
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United States
3079 Posts
 Posted 01/04/2014  07:15 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Circus to your friends list
Guns and ammo will be worth more than all the gold and silver let alone collectors coins and bullion!
Don't forget that even the members of this forum have a hard time deciding if something is "REAL" or fake. So the General public will be at a loss.

Most store owners and people in general don't have a clue about the current price of PM's. Let alone how will they take a piece of your gold coin. There will be no more numismatics in the sense that we know it.
You will be more worried on how you will get your medications. Since the drug Zombies will hit the corner drug stores first and take and then destroy anything left.

You will be better off stock piling useful items copper wire on spools, hardware, batteries, shovels,etc. Things people can really use.

If the collapse is as bad as you describe, it probably will not make much a difference if you are sitting on a ton as soon as word would get out after the first trade. every slug would be at your place, in an eye blink! and some would have bigger fire power than yours.

I get people really upset, when I ask where are you going to go with your "GO Bag", as there really isn't a place to go. And if you have a bunker in the boonies, Don't you think that if and when you get there a local will already be living in your place!

I don't remember if this was posted or not
http://washingtonexaminer.com/be-pr...icle/2541205

This quote is from a guy on a reloading forum I am a member of.

Quote:
I was in Argentina 1999-2000. Total and complete economic collapse. No cops anywhere. Sporadic electricity and water etc. Gangs roaming the streets. Army patrolled only the rich neighborhoods. Everybody else was on their own. I had British "security" also known as mercenaries. Serious gentlemen.

Life went on. Kids went to school and people went to work.
Barter was king. Everything was barter. I was working for a British company at the time...all the contractors wanted was American dollars....or food/liquor/medicine.

I will tell you gold wasn't worth nothing.....people did not know if it was real or not. Guns and bullets would get you whatever you wanted. So I do not hoard nor invest in Gold nor Silver. I have seen it's value on the streets after a collapse. Worthless. Bullets/guns.....priceless.
That $99 Chinese T53 bolt action at JG sales today....in a total economic collapse with surplus 7.62X54R will get you gasoline and food.

International Monetary Fund did the Argentines in.

Now if it is a zombie apocalypse here you go

*** Image with inappropriate text removed by the staff! ***


Economic-Collapse---Numismatic-Coins-Vs-Bullion
When the ammo runs out you can use it as a battle axe!
Economic-Collapse---Numismatic-Coins-Vs-Bullion
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 Posted 01/04/2014  2:38 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add yup7676 to your friends list
the idea of economic collapse is a silly one. So I am not going to waste my time at all addressing it because it wont and isn't going to happen.

But I do want to highlight what works and what leads up to panic and fear and market crashes briefly.

One of the first weak components to a another financial panic will be as has always happened each time, it will happen in the banks. When you the financial start to rattle, shake and roll, the fear and panic is spreading. It spreads to all banks, everywhere.

Credit spreads go crazy. One way to monitor this everyday is by watching the TED spreads. Very simple to follow and use and you can compare it to historical points where it has gone into crisis mode.

The way to prepare for this sort of financial panic is-

1- buying US dollars
2- buying the US long bond
3- selling short markets


gold would be the last and farthest vehicle on my list.

All these panics and the crisis points all start the same.
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United States
78 Posts
 Posted 01/05/2014  11:14 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add My Silver Destiny to your friends list
All you guys are so wrong, besides that nobody answered any of my questions, your facts and theories are wrong. I'm not here to argue on politics and economy, also I am NOT here to teach history, this argument can take days , so I will just stick with educating myself on the numismatics.

You guys are in for one big surprise

PS. I am NOT a doomsday prepper
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Canada
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 Posted 01/05/2014  11:24 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nalaberong to your friends list

Quote:
besides that nobody answered any of my questions


Quote:
All you guys are so wrong [...] I'm not here to argue on politics and economy, also I am NOT here to teach history

Can you smell the irony?
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United States
3789 Posts
 Posted 01/06/2014  02:11 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add yup7676 to your friends list
George-

look, I am sorry but your supposed scenario makes me laugh. You are talking about something that isn't going to happen, its silly. It is no different from me saying "hey guys, whats the sound of one hand clapping?".

Finally, we came out of the most hardest economic panics man has seen. There will be no surprise for me when it hits again, I will be profiting and adding zeros to my bank account and at a very rapid pace because I love it when things crash, you really make money twice if not three times as fast.

and guess what... in fear and panic, in a meltdown, numismatics will not hold their value and certainly bullion wont. Gonna clue you in on something- when there is fear and panic, everything goes down. This past event we had, real estate went down, commodities such as corn, wheat, soybeans went down, prices for Ag land tanked, high end art tanked, Sothebys was reeling, and the higher it was in worth, the lower it went.

I went on vacation in 09 while everyone was fretting and still smashed. I could, at a moments notice and no need to get on a waiting list, book a weekend on Peeble Beach for a weekend with meals for only 500 bucks. You know that place was empty, before things crashed it cost 1500 for a weekend and the waiting list was crazy.

So no matter what you think, fear, panic, a meltdown, all that did happen and it could have been worse. You can all get on your hands and knees and thank the world's centrals banks who stepped in and restored order. Without out them, we would not be in recovery mode and buying coins for our collections.

Thats why USD and the US long bond are the only place to park your money when the next meltdown happens.

So again, in a panic and fear, nothing will be spared, and for sure bullion and numismatic coins will not be safe havens.
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Canada
815 Posts
 Posted 01/13/2014  01:57 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Anjohl to your friends list
Steel and lead make more sense as stores against catastrophic collapse. Or, you know, liquor.
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United States
69 Posts
 Posted 01/19/2014  08:18 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Georgios H to your friends list
Very interesting conversation. In my opinion nothing will happen, but then again, who knows, nothing is written in stone.
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Australia
852 Posts
 Posted 01/26/2014  1:03 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nealeffendi to your friends list
yup7676
How do you KNOW there won't be an economic collapse?
A quadrillion dollars in promises are out there and if (when) the market takes a hit there is no guarantee that a crisis like 2008 will again be averted. Only takes contagion to take hold and all bets are off.
Who will get their contracts met when Comex has 114 calls on each ounce of silver?
The day EBT cards stop working expect the Rodney King riots x 100.
How healthy is the US economy? or Europe, or Turkey or China or...
A similar big problem with oil. China is now the worlds biggest importer and their credit is better than Americas. Only takes a small disruption in supply to see oil over $300. Back in 73-74 the OPEC shenanigans quadrupled oil prices in a year, caused queues at petrol stations, rationing, odds and evens (remember that) and stagflation. The embargo only required world oil production to fall 5%. Peak oil will do that and then keep on doing that.
Chuck in Obamacare being a drag on the economy, debt ceilings, the SS fund running close to max, munis risking default, bank leverage, sky high PE ratios and everything is just hunky dory (not).
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 Posted 01/26/2014  2:05 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list
This is lunacy.
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