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Frequency Of Wide AM Cents

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 Posted 01/03/2008  8:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MountainXBGL to your friends list
I found 2 1998's in one box from the bank, but haven't found another since. Yet to find a 2000, 1999 or 1992.
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 Posted 01/04/2008  12:18 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add foundinrolls to your friends list
I cant give you numbers but 1998 and 2000 dated coins show up more frequently. 1999 dated Wide AM cents are very difficult to find and are seemingly extremely rare in comparison to the others.
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 Posted 01/04/2008  07:18 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add j_h_s to your friends list
Patrick...dont give up. The wide AMs are not readily visible (they dont stick out like aged sore thumbs) in piles/lots/pocketfuls of change -- nor are they as well-known common errors or coins as many (collectors and non-collectors alike) know about as key dates (e.g. 1955, 1909) -- therefore, far fewer people are looking for them. I believe you'll find one one day as long as you keep looking. I'm going to.

Jim
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 Posted 01/05/2008  02:03 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Kabiye_Lady to your friends list
Ditto the remark about geographic location. I roll search and keep high quality examples and I have very, very few P-mintmarks.

Also keep in mind that if you find one that is well-circulated, it'll be cool because it's an error, but its value will be minimal compared to an MS example.

My understanding that the 2000 is the most plentiful and that's by far the most probable one to find.
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 Posted 01/05/2008  9:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add foundinrolls to your friends list
It's a die variety and not an error.
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 Posted 01/05/2008  9:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MountainXBGL to your friends list
or is it a variety?
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 Posted 01/07/2008  03:44 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add j_h_s to your friends list
right, foundinrolls...die variety; my mistake; not payna tension so early in the a.m.

Jim
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United States
90 Posts
 Posted 01/09/2008  9:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tomb to your friends list
Keep looking, they're out there. Just found this yesterday.

Frequency-Of-Wide-AM-Cents Frequency-Of-Wide-AM-Cents Frequency-Of-Wide-AM-Cents

Got the 98 now the 99 all that's left is the 2000.
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 Posted 01/09/2008  11:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add patrick to your friends list
Awesome find Tomb! Congratulations! I'm not having much luck finding non-Denver coins where I am. I need to talk my father-in-law into sending me some $25 boxes from Delaware....
Edited by patrick
01/09/2008 11:02 pm
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 Posted 01/11/2008  9:29 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coppercoins to your friends list
Odd that Tomb found the two scarce ones and can't find the common one.

There aren't any real numbers to describe how many out of how many are Wide AM, because there aren't any official numbers kept by the mint on them. Given the following possible scanarios, this might help...

There are at least two, possibly three different dies known to have made the 1998 Wide AM cents. There is but one die known for all the 1999 Wide AM cents discovered to date. In 2000, there are at least a half dozen, with more possible.

If a die makes it all the way through it's expected life, it mints around 500,000 coins.

Assume the dies all made it through their expected life, and assume the numbers of dies reported above as the total existing...big assumption, but this has to be done to even come close.

There were a million and a half of the 1998 coins made, 500,000 of the 1999 coins, and at least 3 million of the 2000 coins.

Compare this to overall mintage and your chances are the following:

1998 - 1,500,000 in 5,032,155,000, or about 1 in 5,000.
1999 - 500,000 in 5,237,600,000, or about 1 in 10,000.
2000 - 3,000,000 in 5,503,200,000, or about 1 in 1,800.

Of course these numbers are only a very erroneously basic idea of what's probably actually out there. Take away half of the number made for any given die because of shorter die life, and your odds double that you won't find one...very possible.

Reason? Die life can be rounded down closely by examining a broad group of the coins minted by a die. If a decent sampling are observed for die wear, the latest die state found can be assumed to be the latest die state made, thus helping draw closer to the actual number of coins minted by that die.

One example - 1960D-1MM-004 (RPM#4). It is scarce, and is only known in very early die state and early die state. No examples of later die states are known and probably do not exist. Given this, we can assume that this die minted only around 2,000-5,000 coins. Take that to the same math above, and we end up with a number like 5,000 in 700,000,000 (about half the 1960D mintage, accounting for large and small date). This deduces to 1 in 140,000. Pretty scarce.
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 Posted 01/11/2008  11:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tomb to your friends list
Thanks for the info CC, always appreciated.
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 Posted 01/16/2008  10:49 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add rohumpy to your friends list
Coppercoin, I am constantly impressed with the depth of your knowledge. Let me ask you a question. I am thinking of buying a 1972 DDO Lincoln Cent. I know that there are several DDO's. What is the designation of THE DDO? I mean the really cool one with the obvious doubling and of course the priciest. I am assuming that I should get a slabbed example. Also, any general advice as to who I should get one from, if it is proper to ask this question?
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 Posted 01/16/2008  10:58 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Jim1953 to your friends list
I have gone thru 25,000 in the immediate past and have found two 2000 and one 1998.
Jim
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 Posted 01/16/2008  1:52 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add KurtS to your friends list
I agree with others on the scarcity of P-cents on the west coast.
I just searched 5000 specifically for the Wide AM. Out of 5000, I found perhaps a dozen Ps in that date range, none wide AM.
I found more wheat cents from the 30s than P-cents from the 90s!
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 Posted 01/16/2008  4:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add patrick to your friends list
coppercoins,
Thanks for the great information! Even though the numbers are only estimates, it's still good to have some notion.
patrick
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