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Is Trend Pricing Published Too Often?

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1352 Posts
 Posted 05/02/2011  6:37 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add bosox to your friends list
Actually, it was Fred Bowman who first said that the 1858 mintage and the 1859 mintage were both included in the 10 million Provincial cent mintage number published by The Royal Mint. He wrote that over 50 years ago. He calculated the 1858 mintage at 400,000 from a footnote in a much later mint report that reported 9.6 million cents coined in 1859. He deducted 9.6 million from 10 million to get to 400,000.

In 2007 I published that both the 10 million and the 400,000 are wrong. I'll leave the explanation of why to those who read the book.
http://www.victoriancent.com

2011 & 2025 Fred Bowman Award Winner, 2020 J. Douglas Ferguson Award Winner, & 2022 Paul Fiocca Award Winner. Life Member of RCNA.
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Canada
1733 Posts
 Posted 05/02/2011  8:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ugly to your friends list
I think the accounting was so atrocious and theft so prevalent that no one has any real idea of how many of anything were minted in the UK. The lousy quality of the pour that resulted in the brass penny should be a clue. Even that mint had better metallurgists than that.

I don't believe any of the records. Not one. Nor do I believe any written explanation based on them because none of them take into account the social facts of the time; corruption was rampant and graft was the rule of the day. It's like ignoring the fact that the sun rises.

No offense intended for the strong opinion.
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 Posted 05/02/2011  8:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add bosox to your friends list
None taken, but I think it is a little short-sighted to form such an opinion when you have no idea upon what the conclusion was based.
http://www.victoriancent.com

2011 & 2025 Fred Bowman Award Winner, 2020 J. Douglas Ferguson Award Winner, & 2022 Paul Fiocca Award Winner. Life Member of RCNA.
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Canada
183 Posts
 Posted 05/02/2011  8:48 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add david mackenzie to your friends list
Michael Findlay is stepping down soon,maybe you guys should take over.
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 Posted 05/02/2011  8:50 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ugly to your friends list
No short sightedness required, I stated specifically that conclusions based on PUBLISHED figures were unreliable in my personal opinion and I did not discount by saying this any conclusions that were based on other factors. New data is always relevant to one degree or another.
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 Posted 05/02/2011  8:56 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ugly to your friends list
@David,

Uhm, no. I retired once. That's pretty much enough :)

Again, it's much more fun to debate these things over a beer where we realize that the hops quality that year is much more important and we can see the body language and jest incorporated in these musings.
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 Posted 05/02/2011  8:56 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add bosox to your friends list
Point taken.

I wouldn't like the Trends job very much. Strict deadlines, dealers want high prices, collectors want low prices, flucuating bullion prices affecting many issues, NCLT after market pricing = thankless job I think. Ric, Mike, and anybody else who does it has my respect.
http://www.victoriancent.com

2011 & 2025 Fred Bowman Award Winner, 2020 J. Douglas Ferguson Award Winner, & 2022 Paul Fiocca Award Winner. Life Member of RCNA.
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Canada
183 Posts
 Posted 05/02/2011  9:31 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add david mackenzie to your friends list
I heard the pay is low,the headaches are high,and lots of B.S. from dealers and some collectors,i seen Mike at a coin show.
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United States
629 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  09:10 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Colhand1 to your friends list
What does population report of the 1858/1859 large cent have to do with this topic?
The topic here has to do with the frequency of trends being published in the CCN.
I suppose you just like to make comments on obscure things to show that you don't read the topic, just want to express an opinion?
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 Posted 05/03/2011  09:41 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add DBM to your friends list
I would like to see trends split into six sections so that we have a three month cycle,prices don't change that quickly and perhaps CCN would have increased circulation.
The then empty pages should be filled with more comments and articles.

As for the hijacking,I agree with Ugly,mint records of the time are totally unreliable.
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 Posted 05/03/2011  09:43 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ugly to your friends list
No need to be ticked, we got off base discussing other things that could be used to fill the empty pages. Relax.

If you want to chop available advertising space there needs to be ways to stretch things out and make what does get published more relevant.
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 Posted 05/03/2011  1:50 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Colhand1 to your friends list
Ugly - thanks for the update I will be more patience next time!
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Canada
2426 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  6:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add darryldarryl to your friends list
Leave CCN trends as is. Making trends monthly or every three months serves no purpose! The actual trends will not deviate any more or less. Having trends posted in every edition is probably good for CCN sales as some buy it just for trends. Personally, I toss out my issue once I read them so I like the fact that the trends are there for me when my next issue arrives.
Just my opinion!
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650 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  12:18 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MrCanada to your friends list
I thought Mr Findlay did a god job he brought a personal aspect to the trends and have often thought that the task was rather daunting just by the sure size.
I have no problem with the rotating format.Having a committee will be interesting
Switching with US data would be nice once or 2wice a year, would be a plus.
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3692 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2011  06:52 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Libertad to your friends list
You guys are subscribers so I don't have to remind you that they rotate price sections every issue (proof-like, Newfoundland, etc).

Once in a while it'd be nice to see some US/UK coin prices in there from time to time.

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