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Platinum Question?

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traevin's Avatar
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 03/25/2012  1:06 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add traevin to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
Platinum nearly crested $2300 before the 2008 collapse, making it more than twice the value of gold at the time. But is the platinum to gold ratio likely to deviate that much in the near future? I ask this because I'm contemplating cashing in some silver and purchasing a little platinum as an investment to sell if/when the metal rebounds. Is there reason to believe the 2008 highs were atypical or fluky in some way, making it unlikely that the metal will reach those heights or achieve a similar ratio discrepancy w/gold again? FWIU, platinum used to be the primary metal in catalytic converters; but other less expensive metals like rhodium and palladium are now being used with greater frequency. Perhaps its decline as an industrial metal, assuming there's been one, is partially a factor in the drop compared to other PMs, which have all risen precipitously since the 2008 collapse?

Chart from Seeking Alpha site
Platinum-Question?
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throwbackid's Avatar
1283 Posts
 Posted 03/25/2012  1:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add throwbackid to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Though Platinum is relatively low GL getting some anywhere near spot, esp american platinum. No one is selling there platinum now at least not for a reason price in relation to spot. I have a couple oz that I am contemplating selling and putting the moony into low premium name brand silver bars, or ASE.

Well written, liked the chart gives me something to think about.

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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 03/26/2012  8:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I have a small investment in the PPLT physical platinum ETF that is doing reasonably well for now. While this is not metal in hand, it does seem to be a decent substitute that tracks the price of platinum pretty well. I would not want to own a lot of this but a small position seems OK and certainly no worse than any other paper investment.

The premiums charged on platinum coins and bars have been pretty high lately and have caused me not to buy any of them, even though I would like to have some 1/4 or 1/2 oz. platinum coins.

Historically, when the price of platinum falls below that of gold, there is about a 60% rise in the price of platinum over the 2-3 years following that price inversion. While this is not guaranteed, it does seem to occur with some frequency. Because of this, buying a little platinum these days seems a pretty decent idea even if the premiums are pretty high.
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traevin's Avatar
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 03/26/2012  10:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add traevin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thanks, Ed. Maybe on the next big platinum pullback, I'll dip my feet in the water, check the temp, and give you a report of my findings, then!
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 03/27/2012  6:16 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
No problem, Traevin. Sounds good on the report. More info is almost always a good thing... and who knows, I might just dip a toe in that water myself.
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