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Morning Pm Rise! Will It Hold?

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hockingzig's Avatar
United States
1450 Posts
 Posted 08/06/2012  11:28 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add hockingzig to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
This may be one of those days that stocks and PM's both rise. We survived the 10 am eastern time smackdown so that's one hurdle down. Could be a plus day if you are looking to sell!
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rgathright's Avatar
United States
264 Posts
 Posted 08/06/2012  12:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add rgathright to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Today is definitely a bright day in silver trading. Tomorrow brings more risk of Euro failure and lower silver.
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silvercoinrn's Avatar
United States
863 Posts
 Posted 08/06/2012  3:23 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add silvercoinrn to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I do find it odd that more people are not moving their money into PMS. I am hoping that it happens this fall being that I have made a few large purchases since silver dropped below 30. Maybe I will be able to flip some of it
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rgathright's Avatar
United States
264 Posts
 Posted 08/07/2012  3:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add rgathright to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:

I do find it odd that more people are not moving their money into PMS.


You really want to know?

Here is what "we" = "the people", think...

The Buy
Today $100,000 of APMEX 1 oz Gold American Eagles will get you 59 at their price of $1680.99 each when paid by wire transfer while the current gold bid is $1609.

The Sell
Luckily, Kitco and APMEX will buy back your gold usually at current bid price.

The problem is that Gold and other PM's have not traded at these levels in over 10 years. Investing right now has huge downside potential that many of "us" are painfully aware of. Don't forget, "we" also watched the .COM boom and bust. Many .COM Tech stocks, like AOL, had the same type of chart.

For now, the US dollar is not paying any interest but is still the world's #1 safety currency. You have a high chance that the Euro will crash, causing US cash to jump in value overnight. At that point, the PM charts will fall back into line and might be a safer investment.

What Are People Doing?
In my opinion, hoarding US Dollars and waiting for PM's to stabilize for the next 2 years. Please look at the Kitco charts to see how PM's traded for decades before 2005.

Morning-Pm-Rise!-Will-It-Hold?

THE DANGER
Using my 59 gold coin for $100,000 at today's pricing example...

If gold dropped back to 2007 levels, you could have 142 gold coins in your pocket instead!
Edited by rgathright
08/07/2012 3:17 pm
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 08/07/2012  4:34 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I do find it odd that more people are not moving their money into PMS.

Yes, it does seem counter-intuitive, doesn't it? My thought is that only a small fraction of the public is in PMs at the moment and that it is only desperation that will drive those not currently in PMs into them. So far, the situation does not seem that desperate to a lot of dollar holders. One would think that the Europeans would be much more interested in diversifying out of their troubled currency. While there has been some of that, mostly into gold, there hasn't been a lot of it. More money has moved into US dollars and into US Treasury paper than has moved into PMs. They say that knowledge is power. If so, then perhaps there are a lot of people out there who do not fully grasp the gravity of the current fiat paper problems. It is clear that very few financial advisers are steering people towards PMs. Some have added the gold and silver ETFs to their clients portfolios but that is hardly the same as owning physical gold and silver, now, is it? Should there ever be a run on GLD or SLV, they will certainly discover the difference between a paper claim on PMs and real physical PMs that one can hold in their hands. Of course, by that time, it will be far too late for them to actually DO anything about their collapsing financial situation.


Quote:
If gold dropped back to 2007 levels, you could have 142 gold coins in your pocket instead!

Yes, that is true. Or, if gold were to drop back to $35 an oz., they would have 2600 of those 1-oz. coins! But... just how likely is that? Not very. Neither are 2007 gold prices IMO. From the way things are looking with the dollar, yen, and euro, all the sovereign debt out there, plus all of the unfunded and underfunded liabilities of the various entitlement programs, we may not see $1500 an oz. gold ever again. But then, that's what makes horse races, as they say.
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