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Restoring Faith In Dollars Via Silver Without Denominations

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Libertad's Avatar
Canada
3692 Posts
 Posted 08/08/2012  7:21 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add Libertad to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers

For reading pleasure:
Hugo Salinas Price: "Silver Money For Americans"
http://www.plata.com.mx/mplata/docu...mericans.pdf

This was written by Hugo Salinas Price, a wealthy billionaire from Mexico. He constantly endorses introducing a silver one-ounce coin in Mexico, without the use of denominations (pesos y centavos). His latest endeavors extend to Greece and now the U.S.A.

To sum up the article, he wants treasuries to circulate silver one-ounce coins that do not go down in value from the last quoted price. This keeps the coins in circulation and makes the silver go into savings that do not go down in value and forces people to spend their paper dollars and bank deposits first via Gresham's Law. These would circulate simultaneously with paper dollars.

If I can find one single flaw with his proposal, it's this: that he makes the analogy of silver escaping the melting pot in the American Great Depression. He says that even though the price of silver went down in price during that time that the coins continued to serve the American public because the "engraved" monetary value did not change. However, his whole thesis is based on the fact that he supports a coin without this "engraved" monetary value. His analogy is fallacious, but it still manages to prove his point. The treaury was not required to quote the dollar's value, and this job was left entirely to the mint in the years prior. However, had the price of silver gone up during this time his point would have still been proven because all of those silver coins may have ended up in the melting pot.

Read, discuss, speculate!
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sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 08/08/2012  8:59 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Using bullion silver for trading would not work. There is simply not enough of it, and would badly skew it's price for use in industry.

Gold is much more useless, and much better suited for use as money. Only a small portion of it is is actually used for industrial purposes.

It has to be a sad statement of fact that fiat money has to be foisted on us to allow the banking industry to be sometimes dishonest.

I would rather be in debt in fiat money terms than in precious metal value terms.

It is much easier to fight a war with fiat money than with precious metal values.
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Clint's Avatar
United States
194 Posts
 Posted 08/08/2012  9:10 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Clint to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I enjoyed the article and appreciated the sentiment, however sel-69l is right.
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1967Canadapenny's Avatar
United States
965 Posts
 Posted 08/08/2012  10:37 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 1967Canadapenny to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Sel_169, I think that you are right in one regard, the western consumption based economies could not exist in their current format.BUT, it could work if our economy was more sustainable, eg. people tried this novel idea called only buying things they could afford. (in other words no credit cards/mortgage/car payment)Will this happen, probably not, but one can dream
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coinwatch's Avatar
United States
808 Posts
 Posted 08/09/2012  02:21 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coinwatch to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
While I genuinely appreciated the sentiment of the document, the proposal reads like a marketing campaign for Mexico's vast silver mining industry. And I'm not saying that's a bad thing. I won't fault someone for promoting their own interests.
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Sap's Avatar
Australia
16849 Posts
 Posted 08/09/2012  04:52 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Sap to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Yep, it's a Mexican silver lobby spokesman. Gotta give 'em credit for trying. But his face-valueless coinage proposal is impractical in the real world, for several reasons.

- A one ounce coin is simply too big and unwieldy for anyone to be happy using them in day to day commerce. Even a half-ounce or third-ounce is considered too big for a circulating coin these days. You'd need to make them quarter-ouncers, or maybe use goloid or a similar electrum alloy to boost the value of a smaller coin.

- He talks about money needing to be "stable", and it's true. People need certainty that the pieces of money they have are constant, neither going up nor down. While I'm sure many people would be happy to discover that some of their money was suddenly worth more, it would create a nightmare for others.

- How easy would it be to find out what the face value for the coin is at any given moment? For normal coins, it's easy - you just read what it says on it. But if you've got to go to a website, or look it up in a newspaper, or sign up for an SMS message service... it's extra inconvenience. And heaven help a merchant who was unaware of a face value increase and "ripped people off" by only crediting them for the old amount.

- Other ramifications would have to be considered. Banks, for instance - if people deposited silver coins into their accounts, would the banks be forced to credit the extra money from a face value increase to their customers, or would they be allowed to keep it themselves? If the former, you've basically created an entire second currency system they'd have to keep track of separately. If the latter, then I think you'd quickly find the banks themselves hoarding the silver coins all up and never issuing them to the public.

- Then there's taxation. Would people have to declare any increases-in-face-value for their hoard of coins as a capital gain?

- Finally, what government is going to sign up to a scheme where they would be forced to buy back their own silver coins at a huge loss if the price of silver collapses again?
Don't say "infinitely" when you mean "very"; otherwise, you'll have no word left when you want to talk about something really infinite. - C. S. Lewis
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silvercoinrn's Avatar
United States
863 Posts
 Posted 08/09/2012  12:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add silvercoinrn to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
People would just hoard themoney. too many people would know that you couldnt keep pumping out silver coins and that they would soon be more valuable than money. they would not circulate.
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coinwatch's Avatar
United States
808 Posts
 Posted 08/09/2012  2:14 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coinwatch to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
...you couldnt keep pumping out silver coins and that they would soon be more valuable than money.


Technically, what they are proposing is a silver "Krugerrand" coin with legal tender status but no denominated value. In the most extreme scenario, the monetary value of these coins would simply inflate relative to the continued debasement of the fiat dollar. And since these coins actually exist as legal tender, they could never inflate beyond their own monetary value.

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Libertad's Avatar
Canada
3692 Posts
 Posted 08/09/2012  7:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Libertad to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I hadn't thought of the Mexican silver mines aspect of this. Mexico and Peru have the biggest known deposits of only-silver mines in the world. They have long been abandoned because of their great expense to mine them.

I think that the argument is not to be carrying the Libertad EVERYDAY in commerce, but to have it as a well-known option to be ABLE to spend it when the time came for a family to invest their savings into something like a down payment on a house or a car, or any other expense over $30 per unit.

Taxes: it would simply be a change in the rules. I don't think that taxes are as important as bribes in Mexico, anyhow. America is another story entirely.

@Sap: According to Price's recommendation, the banks would not be obligated to return to you the silver ounce you had deposited. It would simply be reflected in your account as the value it had on the day of deposit. This is better for the public if they are physically saving their silver/money. Most transactions there are cash, anyways, so the silver would be saved nonetheless.

Remember that Mexico had some disgusting hyperinflation in the 1980s and they have a readily available source of silver all around them. Mexico MAY just be in a unique position to take advantage of this market but I wonder how the world would react to this change if it were to happen. The recommendations to USA and Greece are just wishful thinking, in my opinion.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
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 Posted 08/09/2012  7:42 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
...a wealthy billionaire from Mexico...

Are there any non-wealthy billionaires from Mexico?

As to silver as money and whether or not it would work... Hmmm... seems we do have about 4,000 years of history that say that it has worked in the past. Yes, there IS enough of it if the price is equal to the value of the silver and not to the manipulated paper numbers.

As to a 1-oz. silver coin being worth too much, I seem to recall using $50 and $100 paper currency quite often and both of those are worth more than an oz. of silver, at least at the current price. No reason that we also could not have fractional silver coins down to 1/20th or 1/25th of an oz. Better yet, use a gram or grain system of coin silver content measurement if smaller amounts are needed. What we do not need, however, are silver coins that have a value stamped on them. All that is needed are the weight, metal type, and purity. For coins, we already have used a 90% silver content standard, so 2 of the 3 have already been used successfully. It isn't as if this is an experiment of unknown result.

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Sap's Avatar
Australia
16849 Posts
 Posted 08/09/2012  10:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Sap to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Technically, what they are proposing is a silver "Krugerrand" coin with legal tender status but no denominated value.

The key difference is this: the krugerrand's legal tender value goes up and down, according to the free market price of gold. He's proposing a fixed pseudo-face-value that only ever goes up, never down, with a value set by the government.

It is, of course, in the silver lobby's interest to have the US government declare an artificially high price of silver that only ever goes up, never down. If the government says that silver is worth $40 an ounce when everyone else is paying only $15 for it, well then, it must really be worth more than $15, mustn't it?

Quote:
Remember that Mexico had some disgusting hyperinflation in the 1980s and they have a readily available source of silver all around them. Mexico MAY just be in a unique position to take advantage of this market but I wonder how the world would react to this change if it were to happen.

Back in the 1980s, the Mexican silver lobby persuaded the Mexican government that the answer to their inflation problems was putting silver back in circulation. So when they replaced the Old Peso with the New Peso at a rate of 1000:1 in 1993, they did just that, making circulating bimetallic 10 and 20 peso coins - the first time legal tender silver coins had actually circulated anywhere in the world since the 1970s. Example of a 10 peso coin on WCG.

The experiment failed. Inflation continued in spite of the silver coinage in circulation, because the silver coinage was only a tiny fraction of the total money supply. And as soon as the silver content exceeded the face value, the coins disappeared from circulation; their silver cores were punched out and tossed into the melting pot. Mexico was forced to issue nickel-cored replacements.

I'm not entirely certain that Version 2.0 of the silver lobby scheme would work in practice any better.
Don't say "infinitely" when you mean "very"; otherwise, you'll have no word left when you want to talk about something really infinite. - C. S. Lewis
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
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 Posted 08/10/2012  11:35 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Like oil and water, it is possible that fiat and real money cannot exist in the same place at the same time. If so, then I vote for real money and to heck with fiat!
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Libertad's Avatar
Canada
3692 Posts
 Posted 08/12/2012  10:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Libertad to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Well, Ed, the idea is for the two to compete at the same time and declare a winner via Gresham's Law.

And isn't putting a denomination on a silver coin the same as fiat, anyways? We trust that the government will honor the face value on the coin, and of course they will because the value only ever goes up from there. Look at bullion - ASE is $1 and Maple Leaves are $5. Libertads follow the market fluctuations the same as Krugerands, and for a while the Philharmonics did, too, until they started minting them with a 1,50 Euro label. Anyone with half a brain would pay those face values for the silver and that's why they never circulate within the common marketplace.

The difference with the N$10 and N$20 peso coins was that they still had fiat face values on them and they circulated with crappy aluminum-bronze coins so they got hoarded and melted much faster. The point is to circulate your money, not trade it in for "fake" money at a "profit".

I'm still contemplating whether or not HSP has other motives other than to help the working class with their savings. The guy IS pretty wealthy... However, if you've ever been to Mexico City, you would instantly see how bundled up and mixed people are in terms of poor and wealthy. HSP probably sees his people living in squalor straight from his bedroom window - but again, I'm only speculating.
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Ed_B's Avatar
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4008 Posts
 Posted 08/14/2012  6:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I dunno, Libertad. Putting the words "trust" and "government" in the same sentence without the word "not" in their somewhere does not seem reasonable to me. I guess the older generations, such as mine, still believe that trust is EARNED, not given, and from what I see happening these days, no one in government seems to be working very hard on doing that.

My question about all this is this... if silver money is circulated, will it be used in commerce or will it all end up in private silver hoards and not circulated? Back in the early 1960s and before, silver money was circulated because that is all that there was in terms of coins. You could hoard some of that if you wanted but you still needed to spend it for things. If you have fiat, why not spend that and hoard the silver? That's what I would do and I suspect that a lot of others would do the same.
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