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Noob Question About Gold Pieces And The Price Of Gold

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tfred's Avatar
Canada
627 Posts
 Posted 08/11/2012  6:49 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add tfred to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
So how does the price of gold affect the gold ancient coins, or does it? Does the melt value of a gold piece ever reach the numismatic value of a gold piece?
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echizento's Avatar
United States
23731 Posts
 Posted 08/11/2012  7:19 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add echizento to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I don't believe that the price of gold has any effect on the value of ancient gold coins.
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Ancientnoob's Avatar
United States
5155 Posts
 Posted 08/11/2012  7:19 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ancientnoob to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
At least from my experience the price of a gold ancient coin far exceeds the value of gold melt weight. As gold climbs the gap between the melt value and the numismatic value becomes smaller. Most ancient gold coins that are relatively affordable to the modern Plebeian (Ancient Roman middle class guys) are very small coins. Most no more then 9 grams or so. At figure 1600 USD per 1 ozt...thats about 51 USD a gram you would be very hard pressed to find an ancient 9 gram gold coin for less that $500. A coin assuming it was real, with out any knowledge of the particular time or ruler would be worth a couple thousand at least. I know if you look around you can find a Byzantine Coin of John II from the 12th century AD ,for close to spot of gold. Other than that Carthage, Roman and Greek gold coins 2000USD all day for a a coin weighing only a few grams. I hope I kinda answered your question.

Nate
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United States
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 Posted 08/11/2012  7:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add dougsmit to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
This strikes me as a good question. I have only two ancient golds (a Theodosius II and a Phocas). When I bought them they were $400 and $115 respectively but in the lower-mid 4g range the Phocas is now getting close to $250 melt. Would it still sell for several times melt? I doubt it but it should always being a premium over melt. Certainly, melt will provide a floor price for damaged and worn gold but I doubt many coins are bad enough that someone would not now pay $250 for a solidus. The Theodosius is probably the cheapest Roman gold available but even at the price I paid would be close to double melt at $51/g. Fools are probably melting them.

A number of years ago I recall being in a coin shop that priced all its gold and silver coins at a dollar value that was added to the day's melt for that coin to provide the current price. That means that a worn quarter did not have to be repriced every day to prevent it from going under melt and saved the dealer the labor of frequent remarking. I thought it was a good idea at the time.
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DavidUK's Avatar
United Kingdom
2624 Posts
 Posted 08/11/2012  8:05 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add DavidUK to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
One would pressume that even though the value of a numismatic coin exceeds its scrap price there must be a physchological push for the coins value to inflate if the scrap price increases drastically.

If modern gold coins are not much less money than ancient ones simply because of bullion prices then surely that must increase demand on ancients as more collectors think "for not much more money I could buy a coin 2000 years old"

This view is only speculation but surely it is logical?

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 Posted 08/11/2012  8:16 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add dougsmit to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The question I fail to understand is how people benefit by melting things that have any numismatic identification. When held as a coin, the item is still melt plus numismatic value. Once melted, it is simply melted and forever limited in value to spot. In a thousand years what will be the relative value of a coin (1964 quarter or Phocas solidus) and their equivalent weight in metal?
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sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 08/12/2012  04:36 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think that ancient gold coins are quite cheap for what you get.

Remember: gold coins have been repeatedly melted and recycled since ancient times into current gold coins of the times throughout the ages.

This fact has made the survival rate of ancient gold coins very low and therefore quite rare. Against this, you have the current relatively high bullion price for gold. Which brings me back to my first statement.

Another remember: (VERY important!) There are a lot of extremely good modern fakes of ancient gold coins around, so be very careful when you buy. Almost all of these are of good gold.

Verify: provinance, seller, weight for issue, and photomicrography to be connected to the invoice details. You will need this information if they are to be sold decades later, perhaps at auction. Due dilligence is essential.

I have seen quite a few absolutely pristine Athena / Nike gold staters of Macedon. It absolutely astounds me that these nearly pure and very soft gold coins should survive for 2,200 years, completely unmarked in any way.
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Sap's Avatar
Australia
16832 Posts
 Posted 08/12/2012  06:49 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Sap to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Obviously, the price of a gold coin does indeed go up when the price of gold goes up. if it didn't, then the coins would all be melted as soon as the bullion value went above the numismatic market value.

I prefer to think of it in this sense: all coins have a "total value" comprised of three components: face value (the amount of money you'd get for it at the bank), the "bullion/scrap premium" (the difference between what a bank will give you and what a jeweller or scrap metal merchant will give you) and numismatic premium (the difference between what a scrap metal merchant will give you and what a coin collector will give you). Add the three together and you obtain the total value to a coin collector.

For ancient coins, the face value is of course zero, since no country today still uses ancient coins as legal tender. The bullion/scrap premium goes up and down with metal prices. The numismatic premium goes up and down with collector supply and demand.

For most ancient gold coins, the numismatic premium is still two or three times the bullion value. The price of a typical aureus will go up and down a little, but not measurably so. However, some Byzantine and early Islamic gold coins can still be obtainable with a numismatic premium so low it is comparable to a modern bullion-grade coin like a sovereign.

Quote:
The question I fail to understand is how people benefit by melting things that have any numismatic identification. When held as a coin, the item is still melt plus numismatic value. Once melted, it is simply melted and forever limited in value to spot. In a thousand years what will be the relative value of a coin (1964 quarter or Phocas solidus) and their equivalent weight in metal?

The vast majority of Westerners would recognize that an ancient coin is worth far more as an intact ancient coin, or even as an identifiable ancient coin in a piece of jewellery, than as a piece of scrap metal. I suspect most of the melting of ancient coins that happens these days is happening in countries where owning and selling ancient coins is illegal. If, say, a peasant farmer in Lebanon finds a gold coin in their field, they have three options:

- Do what Lebanese law says they're supposed to do and hand it over to the government. Low risk, but low returns: I'm not entirely sure what compensation they would be entitled to under the new 2008 Movable Cultural Property laws since I can't find a reliable English translation of the laws, but it's likely it will be minimal, if not zero. The Lebanese government certainly can't afford to pay full and fair market value for all the antiquities found on their soil.

- Keep it for themselves, and/or try to sell the coin illegally on the black market. This has the highest possible return, since they'd likely get close to full and fair market value, but also the highest risk, of jail time if they get caught.

- Take the safe middle path: destroy the coin and sell it for scrap. Once melted, no-one can tell it used to be a coin and it isn't a crime in Lebanon to sell scrap gold for scrap gold value. Before the civil wars tore their country apart, the gold markets of Lebanon were world-famous. They'd only be in legal trouble if they happened to get caught in the act of melting.
Don't say "infinitely" when you mean "very"; otherwise, you'll have no word left when you want to talk about something really infinite. - C. S. Lewis
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