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Investing In Paper Silver

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basebal21's Avatar
13014 Posts
 Posted 08/19/2012  4:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
That would depend on the form of the paper silver involved. If you buy into silver futures contracts, yes, you can "stand for delivery" and receive actual physical silver instead of money when you liquidate your holdings. In most cases, this takes a LOT of money.


Well thats how it is supposed to work but they could never ever fill all the orders if everyone cashed out. In the doomsday situation that was being asked about those who only hold silver through these types of stocks will be left with nothing. Aside from the fact they dont own the silver to fill the stocks, and there just isn't enough currently available too if that ever did happen the bigger orders would be filled first wiping out their supply if they even filled orders at all and didnt keep it for them selves. Never underestimate what people would do in such a situation to survive

Theyre a good way to make money through the stock market off of them, but dont expect to have them as a backup plan to get these metals if everything falls apart.
Edited by basebal21
08/19/2012 4:15 pm
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silvercoinrn's Avatar
United States
863 Posts
 Posted 08/19/2012  4:21 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add silvercoinrn to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
This is true but in a SHTF situation your S.O.O.Luck. THey wont care what debts are owed and probably wont remember. If the internet went down there would be no proof of your investments.
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Tim Stroud's Avatar
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2661 Posts
 Posted 08/19/2012  5:12 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tim Stroud to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

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I have always been a big believer in "If you don't hold it, you don't own it".


Same here, shares of a company is one thing. But how much paper can one issue against an ounce of PM before that house of cards comes tumbling down?
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silvercoinrn's Avatar
United States
863 Posts
 Posted 08/19/2012  5:17 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add silvercoinrn to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
you can issue it out untill people come looking to own the physical thing. In this day many people are stupid and do not realize what they are invested in. Because of this I do not see it coming tumbeling down. Many people would rather own the cash than the silver.

I like the saying jack nickelson says in bucket list "iv often found that 95% of the population is wrong"
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United States
3184 Posts
 Posted 08/19/2012  5:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mkman123 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I only want physical
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GoThunder's Avatar
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830 Posts
 Posted 08/19/2012  6:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Unless they are lying in the prospectus GLD and SLV both own almost 100 percent of the outstanding shares in physical PM in vaults. I've even seen a video of the gold bars held by GLD because CNBC sent a reporter into the vault with cameras rolling. The only reason its not 100 percent is because of the fees for running the ETF and storage.

It is true though that you have to be a big investor to ever take possession of the physical when invested in GLD or SLV. But most don't want to take possession. If they wanted physical they would just buy physical in the first place.
Edited by GoThunder
08/19/2012 6:10 pm
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Ed_B's Avatar
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4008 Posts
 Posted 08/19/2012  8:59 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
The thing to remember is, the paper market has far more contracts issued than there is physical metal to back them up, it's a house of cards right now.

If you are talking about the silver futures market, I agree 100%. However, in the market, there is paper and then there is paper. Not all paper is equal. Because of the JPM connection, I would not touch SLV or GLD with a stick. That said, there ARE ETFs that are 100% backed by the metal they represent and they are independently audited on a routine basis for compliance with that standard. So, yes, they have the metal that their shares represent. Whether you can get to it, have it sent to you, or can even log in to their web site during the initial obvious SHTF stage, who knows? Maybe and maybe not. SHTF could take any of several well-discussed forms or it could be something completely different that no one expects. Difficult to see...always in motion the future is...


Quote:
But for an IRA its even more costly to hold physical because it has to be stored by a 3rd party.

In most cases, this is true. It is, however, possible to form an LLC in your state, set up a self-directed IRA at a local bank that actually understands what this means, transfer your IRA to the local bank, and invest the money in the LLC (which you own and can direct how it invests). At that point, you can buy PMs via the LLC and store them where you wish. If you are ever audited, which is not impossible, you would need to show that these metals investments exist and you didn't just spend the money. Other than that, it should work well. I looked into this and in my state an LLC can be formed for a $200 state registration fee. The local bank would also want some fees to set up the IRA. The Silver Doctors web site has some articles on this that are interesting.


Quote:
Well thats how it is supposed to work but they could never ever fill all the orders if everyone cashed out.

This is true but the vast majority of people who invest in silver and gold futures never want to redeem their shares for metal. They want cash. All they are doing is investing in something that tracks the metals prices. They have no interest in a truck pulling up to the curb at their home or office and unloading a ton or two of silver bars. Most on here think that they would be better off it they did but that's not how they see it.


Quote:
If the internet went down there would be no proof of your investments.

Perhaps not on their end but a lot of investors print out their monthly statements and save them as either hard copies or as graphics files. Yes, these can be fiddled with but such fiddling IS visible and detectable by computer graphics experts.

This is a HUGE concern to me in regards going to an all digital currency. They say that they have multiple backups and all that but... anything that can screw up will do so and at the worst possible time. See: Law, Murphy's. In addition to an accidental loss of wealth there is also the possibility of outright theft. If it was easy to rip off the MF Global customers, just think how much easier it would be to do if there was no currency or gold / silver bars involved. Just tap a few computer keys and ZAP! billions of dollars stolen in a flash.


Quote:
"iv often found that 95% of the population is wrong"

At one time, 95% of the population of Europe believed that the Earth was flat. Their belief did not make it so.


Quote:
Unless they are lying in the prospectus GLD and SLV both own almost 100 percent of the outstanding shares in physical PM in vaults.

What? GLD and SLV, owned by JP Morgan Chase? Lie? Oh,the very thought!


Quote:
I've even seen a video of the gold bars held by GLD because CNBC sent a reporter into the vault with cameras rolling.

Yes, I saw that as well. Unfortunately for Mr. Pisani, the bar that he held up was allocated to a different owner and not to GLD at all. There was quite a flap on the Internet about this some time ago. You can probably find this info via a search for "Pisani gold bar".
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basebal21's Avatar
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 Posted 08/19/2012  9:32 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
This is true but the vast majority of people who invest in silver and gold futures never want to redeem their shares for metal. They want cash. All they are doing is investing in something that tracks the metals prices. They have no interest in a truck pulling up to the curb at their home or office and unloading a ton or two of silver bars. Most on here think that they would be better off it they did but that's not how they see it.


Agreed. Good way to make money trading stocks terrible doomsday back up plan
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Drsandman2's Avatar
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1374 Posts
 Posted 08/19/2012  10:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Drsandman2 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
My Two Cents, I wouldn't touch paper silver with a million foot pole. If you are interested in PMs, buy them physical.
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silvercoinrn's Avatar
United States
863 Posts
 Posted 08/19/2012  11:09 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add silvercoinrn to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Ed, I know they say that they have back ups but if the shtf there wouldn't be anyone to run the things needed to perform the back up. If all of the people at the electric plans decided not to go to work we wouldn't have electric. In the shtf case this would include many peoples jobs and I doubt people would care about work and more about their and their families safety
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basebal21's Avatar
13014 Posts
 Posted 08/20/2012  12:05 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It wouldnt even matter with records or power, they would just simply keep it to them selves for their own survival in such a c ASE
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GoThunder's Avatar
United States
830 Posts
 Posted 08/20/2012  09:06 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
So are we talking about investing or an end of the world plan here?

I'm reminded of an old wall street guy named Art Cashin who always says you can't invest for the end of the world because it will only happen once and well...that's the end lol. Or it was sometime like that.

Ed good to know about the LLC thing for IRAs.

I think I'll buy some more food for the pantry, batteries, and solar panels for charging them now. I already have plenty of guns and ammo.
Edited by GoThunder
08/20/2012 09:10 am
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silvercoinrn's Avatar
United States
863 Posts
 Posted 08/20/2012  10:09 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add silvercoinrn to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
We should surly listen to that guy. I'm sure he had the Art of Cashing In.

but its not the end of the world we are looking for but could be seen as an opportunity. people make millions when SHTF you just have to hae the right commodities. people who owned gold and silver made fortunes since 2008
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GoThunder's Avatar
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830 Posts
 Posted 08/20/2012  11:33 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Yeah, I can see the US dollar getting into serious trouble if the rest of the world starts using a different (stronger) currency for reserve and the US bond rates start going up. What that currency would be I don't know, but I have some guesses.

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GoThunder's Avatar
United States
830 Posts
 Posted 08/20/2012  11:49 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Getting back to one of your original questions, I don't like etrade because they screwed me over when they started charging a monthly fee if you didn't make enough trades each month. It forced me to sell a position I didn't want to at the time to get away from them. I use Charles Schwab now, very happy with them. It is about $9.95 per trade.
Edited by GoThunder
08/20/2012 11:51 am
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