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Would Any Of US Really Complain About A Silver Price Crash?

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Pillar of the Community
United States
3789 Posts
 Posted 04/02/2013  7:09 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add yup7676 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
OH I think I may have confused many of you when I say sell in this case.

I am saying sell, in this case, as in selling short silver. I am not saying to take your coins and dump them,, you do that when the prices are going wild and you can sense the frenzy. As we say, sell when you can, NOT when you have too.

But yes, the game now, is to sell silver, as in SELL IT SHORT,, and watch it come down until the market decides it has had enough of selling. Sell short futures contracts, ETFs, silver mining companies, you name it.. and this also applies to gold.

Silver and gold gave many signals 12 months ago. Price and volume gave clues that silver was done moving higher in November and December of last year.

Once this trend is in place, it will follow the path of least resistance, which is now down.

At this point, I would expect some sort of bounce. Then either it continues its run lower OR we again see more chop and sideways narrow range bound trading until it resolves the move,,, which again probablities point toward a move lower.


Which I like basebal's line where he says, would we complain at getting a MB of say eagles for 3K? I wouldnt mind.

ANyways, I highly doubt we ever see single digits, nor do I think we see teens. I think we see lower 20s tho.... and I could see it hitting that area,, and then doing absolutely NOTHING for many years, just choppying around and range bound for a long time. However, this wouldnt be a bad thing, as it would provide a floor.
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barryg's Avatar
United States
5821 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2013  08:38 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add barryg to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Now the game is to sell and continue to sell as it slides down.



Quote:
I am saying sell, in this case, as in selling short silver. I am not saying to take your coins and dump them.


Yes, it is confusing when you say one thing and then say you meant something else.
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Northerncoins's Avatar
Canada
2019 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2013  09:17 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Northerncoins to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Bottom line is, it doesn't matter much where silver goes , if you buy physical silver you will always have it in hand versus paper/or some number in a computer that can go poof at a moments notice. You wont be able to buy much with a bunch of worthless paper if things turn really bad, but silver and gold will always be of some worth , more so when the recovery takes place.
Pillar of the Community
United States
3789 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2013  11:04 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add yup7676 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
IF things turn really bad, and you have silver and gold and no one else has cash to buy it from you.. guess what,, you are stuck with the silvr and good. .. and one of the worst ways to kick off an investment is buying it and then it goes negative on it, followed by hoping that it will turn around and make you a profit.
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Northerncoins's Avatar
Canada
2019 Posts
 Posted 04/03/2013  11:25 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Northerncoins to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I will take my chances with PM over paper/digits on a computer. You will still need to pay your property taxes when the tax man comes knocking , chances are he will take some silver or gold as payment. Other people will have other things you will need, food for one, PMs always have had value through out history no mater what other money systems were in place.
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BadToTheBone's Avatar
United States
1795 Posts
 Posted 04/04/2013  9:49 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BadToTheBone to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Well Northerncoins has a valid point. Precious Metals in hand are as the saying goes: A Bird in the Hand is worth 10 in the Bush.
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tpg22's Avatar
United States
919 Posts
 Posted 04/04/2013  10:16 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tpg22 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm in this for 20 years so I don't look a day later to see if I'm negative. I'm a buyer at this level. If it hits $50 in my lifetime I don't care if I bought at $26 or $21. Seems I remember someone pushing Platinum and Palladium and those are down big. I remember reading posts on how great those PM's are. I'll take silver in the form of 70-100 year old coins any day.
Bedrock of the Community
basebal21's Avatar
13014 Posts
 Posted 04/04/2013  10:47 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
You will still need to pay your property taxes when the tax man comes knocking , chances are he will take some silver or gold as payment.


Im pretty sure you can only pay taxes in US dollars in America


Quote:
If it hits $50 in my lifetime I don't care if I bought at $26 or $21.


Assuming you live a long life chances are it will spike again at some point. The question is will it be a real gain to 50 or just an inflation gain where all youve done is have the value move sideways
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tpg22's Avatar
United States
919 Posts
 Posted 04/05/2013  09:28 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tpg22 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
For me this is all fun money. If it sat in the bank it would earn from .25%-1%. I know for a fact inflation will kill that "investment". It would take 70 to 200+ years for that investment to double. If 20 years from now I can't get more then $35 for an Unc Silver dollar, oh well.
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starbuxinvestor's Avatar
United Kingdom
616 Posts
 Posted 04/05/2013  09:41 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add starbuxinvestor to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
TPQ22

I really like to read level headed well reasoned posts like yours. I feel similar. I plan to stack at least a 100 ounces a year and if in 20 years from know it is worth a lot great, if I only get my money back so be it. I give silver coins to my nephews to expose them to the concept of hard assets and interest them in countries around the world. I hope someday they profit from the coins and can buy something meaningful but for now I hope they just enjoy getting shiny 1 oz. cool looking coins that their dad tells them are worth about $25-$30 a piece.
Edited by starbuxinvestor
04/05/2013 10:18 am
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Connor's Avatar
United States
2130 Posts
 Posted 04/05/2013  09:59 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Connor to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I totally agree with tpg22. I'm in the same boat.
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Fat Freddy's Avatar
United States
1200 Posts
 Posted 04/05/2013  11:02 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Fat Freddy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I agree that the only sensible perspective is the long term view. Like others, the extent of my PM investments is "play money." My perspective on PMs goes beyond my lifetime,
because whatever I manage to stash away will end up with my heirs. My only hope is that it'll be a valuable pile and not something that'll leave them sighing with disappointment.
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BadToTheBone's Avatar
United States
1795 Posts
 Posted 04/05/2013  11:21 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BadToTheBone to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
@Fat Freddy....So True my fellow collector So True.
Valued Member
Arcticsparky's Avatar
United States
380 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2013  12:17 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Arcticsparky to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
My silver coins are still selling like hot cakes. And for much more than I paid for them. I don't know why the market is down, but it isn't affecting the prices I'm getting for the real thing.
SO THERE
Valued Member
1188howest's Avatar
Canada
470 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2013  04:55 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 1188howest to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
a silver crash is impossible at this point in the game and any dramatic suppression tactic(below $20) will signal it's final dizzying leap into infamy.
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